Werklagger Jager Rugby Title Chances 2018
Beat Fortaleza 37-14, title odds up 0.5 to 0.7%
21 points 7-0-7
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Werklagger 37 Fortaleza 14 | +0.1 | -3.7 | +0.6 | |||
| AEV 14 Ferroviarios 28 | +0.1 | +0.5 | -0.1 | |||
| UDR 14 Riolagen 34 | +1.8 | +0.0 | ||||
| CCP 10 XVmarÃ;§o 17 | -0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LeÃ;µes vs Werklagger | -0.5-0.2+0.9 | +1.5-0.2-2.6 | -0.6-0.1+1.0 | |||
| Fortaleza vs AEV | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Riolagen vs AtlÃ;©ticoWal | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | +0.7-0.2-0.4 | ||||
| XVmarÃ;§o vs UBR | -0.3+0.2+0.8 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Destecheu vs UDR | +0.7*+0.0-0.6 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Ferroviarios vs CCP | -0.2+0.4+0.4 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Werklagger finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | Count | ||||
| 45 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 76.3 | % | 76 | 23 | 1 | No | 42,665 | ||||||||||||
| 43 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 49.8 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 0 | No | 19,523 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 23.4 | 23 | 53 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 381,557 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 15.5 | 15 | 47 | 32 | 5 | 0 | No | 4,466 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 6.7 | 7 | 37 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 172,997 | ||||||||||
| 39 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | 17 | 44 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,652,111 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2.7 | 3 | 24 | 48 | 21 | 4 | 0 | No | 584 | |||||||||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 32,838 | |||||||||
| 37 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 624,762 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 7 | 28 | 33 | 24 | 9 | No | 46 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,937,431 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 1 | 11 | 35 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,506 | ||||||||||
| 35 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 97,584 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,215,741 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 1 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 18 | 1 | No | 212 | |||||||||||
| 33 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 5,628,519 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 33 | 7 | 0 | No | 8,064 | ||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 3 | 0 | No | 147,984 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 40 | 40 | 20 | No | 5 | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,358,991 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 1 | 13 | 44 | 34 | 8 | 1 | No | 389 | |||||||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 48 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 4,930,967 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 5 | 28 | 46 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 8,838 | ||||||||||
| 29 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 121,248 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 20 | 80 | No | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2.3 | 871,961 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 7 | 30 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 1.9 | 257 | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 8.4 | 2,572,423 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 7.4 | 4,675 | ||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 4 | 29 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 23.5 | 50,660 | ||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 31 | 6 | 37.5 | 294,597 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 3 | 28 | 41 | 28 | 28.4 | 74 | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 17 | 58.4 | 728,454 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 1 | 10 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 55.7 | 930 | ||||||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 46 | 34 | 80.3 | 8,381 | |||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 48 | 90.0 | 40,660 | |||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 96.9 | 90,526 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.7 | % | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3.7 | % | 25,054,632 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
