UniÃ;£o Belga de Rugby Title Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Destecheu 8-21, title odds down 0.1 to 0.08%
15 points 5-0-9
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UBR 8 Destecheu 21 | -0.2 | +13.5 | -0.8 | |||
| AEV 14 Ferroviarios 28 | +0.1 | +1.3 | -0.1 | |||
| AtlÃ;©ticoWal 48 LeÃ;µes 28 | +0.1 | |||||
| Werklagger 37 Fortaleza 14 | +0.7 | -0.0 | ||||
| UDR 14 Riolagen 34 | +2.3 | -0.0 | ||||
| CCP 10 XVmarÃ;§o 17 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| XVmarÃ;§o vs UBR | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | +12.7+1.9-12.8 | -0.7-0.2+0.7 | |||
| Fortaleza vs AEV | +0.6*-0.3-0.6 | |||||
| Riolagen vs AtlÃ;©ticoWal | +2.8-1.7-2.7 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| LeÃ;µes vs Werklagger | -0.8*-0.0+0.8 | |||||
| Destecheu vs UDR | +2.0*+0.1-2.0 | |||||
| Ferroviarios vs CCP | -0.4+0.4+0.4 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the UBR finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | Count | ||||
| 39 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 20.3 | % | 20 | 47 | 27 | 5 | 0 | No | 25,574 | ||||||||||
| 37 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 5.3 | 5 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 0 | No | 11,018 | ||||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 191,397 | ||||||||
| 35 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,234 | ||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 77,295 | |||||||
| 33 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 671,184 | |||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 5 | 31 | 35 | 26 | 3 | No | 251 | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 0 | 6 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | No | 13,434 | |||||||||
| 31 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 230,865 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 6 | 6 | 19 | 63 | 6 | No | 16 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3.5 | 1,345,243 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1.8 | 1,229 | |||||||||
| 29 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 3 | 17 | 39 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 8.8 | 33,070 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 20.4 | 386,550 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 1 | 7 | 26 | 39 | 24 | 3 | 26.3 | 76 | |||||||||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 12 | 50.2 | 1,678,018 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 35 | 10 | 44.8 | 2,564 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 4 | 27 | 46 | 22 | 68.3 | 44,559 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 33 | 67 | 66.7 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 48 | 32 | 79.6 | 386,761 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 1 | 16 | 53 | 30 | 82.8 | 99 | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 53 | 92.3 | 1,342,942 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 8 | 43 | 48 | 91.6 | 2,604 | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 3 | 30 | 67 | 96.5 | 33,522 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 25 | 25 | 50 | 75.0 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 98.3 | 232,291 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 3 | 26 | 71 | 97.1 | 68 | ||||||||||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 99.5 | 671,030 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 1 | 15 | 84 | 99.4 | 1,358 | ||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 7 | 92 | 99.8 | 13,504 | |||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 99.9 | 77,618 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 4 | 96 | Yes | 25 | |||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 2 | 97 | 100.0 | 192,507 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 3 | 97 | Yes | 279 | |||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,287 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 11,023 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 25,825 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 28 | 49.4 | % | 7,708,328 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
