Rugby Clubes LeÃ;µes de Homefreigger Title Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to AtlÃ;©ticoWal 28-48, title odds down 5.7 to 8.9%
24 points 8-0-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| AtlÃ;©ticoWal 48 LeÃ;µes 28 | -7.8 | +0.7 | -0.8 | |||
| AEV 14 Ferroviarios 28 | +2.6 | +0.1 | ||||
| UDR 14 Riolagen 34 | +0.6 | +0.1 | +0.1 | |||
| Werklagger 37 Fortaleza 14 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||
| CCP 10 XVmarÃ;§o 17 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LeÃ;µes vs Werklagger | +4.9*-0.1-4.9 | -1.5-0.3+1.6 | +0.9+0.1-0.9 | |||
| Riolagen vs AtlÃ;©ticoWal | +1.8+1.2-1.8 | +0.3-0.2-0.3 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Fortaleza vs AEV | +1.4+1.3-1.4 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Destecheu vs UDR | +0.3+0.2-0.3 | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| XVmarÃ;§o vs UBR | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Ferroviarios vs CCP | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the LeÃ;µes finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | Count | ||||
| 48 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96.5 | % | 96 | 4 | No | 25,509 | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 93.9 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 11,084 | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 80.0 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 190,991 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 76.5 | 76 | 23 | 1 | No | 2,285 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 68.7 | 69 | 29 | 2 | 0 | No | 77,352 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 41.9 | 42 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 673,080 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 46.3 | 46 | 45 | 8 | No | 272 | ||||||||||||||
| 41 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 38.4 | 38 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 13,115 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 25.9 | 26 | 50 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 231,879 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 45.5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 9 | No | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 6.6 | 7 | 34 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,343,266 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 9.0 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 9 | 1 | No | 1,326 | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 5.3 | 5 | 32 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 33,394 | ||||||||||
| 37 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 386,010 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | 23 | 38 | 31 | 8 | No | 88 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,678,915 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,596 | |||||||||
| 35 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 44,461 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 67 | 33 | No | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 386,676 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 5 | 26 | 35 | 25 | 9 | No | 93 | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,345,041 | |||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | No | 2,560 | ||||||||||
| 32 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 33,294 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 25 | 25 | 50 | No | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 231,893 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 3 | 13 | 43 | 30 | 11 | No | 70 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2.4 | 670,715 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 2 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0.8 | 1,263 | |||||||||||
| 29 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 7.9 | 13,394 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 20.4 | 77,293 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 11 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 27.8 | 18 | |||||||||||||
| 27 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 35 | 11 | 45.9 | 191,639 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 1 | 20 | 38 | 34 | 7 | 40.3 | 253 | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 5 | 27 | 45 | 22 | 67.1 | 2,177 | |||||||||||
| 25 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 34 | 80.8 | 11,079 | |||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 54 | 91.2 | 25,228 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 8.9 | % | 9 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | % | 7,708,328 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
