Fortaleza Rugby Clube Title Chances 2018
Lost to Werklagger 14-37, title odds down 1.6 to 3.3%
22 points 7-1-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Werklagger 37 Fortaleza 14 | -2.6 | +0.2 | -0.6 | |||
| AEV 14 Ferroviarios 28 | +2.4 | |||||
| UDR 14 Riolagen 34 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Fortaleza vs AEV | +3.5-2.0-3.0 | -0.7+0.1+0.6 | +0.8-0.3-0.7 | |||
| Riolagen vs AtlÃ;©ticoWal | +1.0+0.2-0.7 | +0.2*+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| LeÃ;µes vs Werklagger | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| XVmarÃ;§o vs UBR | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Ferroviarios vs CCP | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Destecheu vs UDR | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | Count | ||||
| 46 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 83.8 | % | 84 | 16 | 0 | No | 167,375 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 49.8 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 0 | No | 69,103 | ||||||||||||
| 43 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 38.6 | 39 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,117,397 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 20.7 | 21 | 52 | 26 | 2 | 0 | No | 12,779 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 10.2 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 416,124 | ||||||||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 5.0 | 5 | 33 | 46 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,291,931 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 6.7 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 13 | 1 | No | 1,448 | ||||||||||||
| 39 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 31 | 5 | 0 | No | 65,181 | ||||||||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,032,582 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 7 | 44 | 37 | 12 | No | 89 | |||||||||||||
| 37 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 46 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,350,889 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 46 | 23 | 4 | 0 | No | 5,988 | ||||||||||
| 36 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 134,469 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 67 | 33 | No | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,380,052 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 3 | 21 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 1 | No | 297 | |||||||||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 5,290,106 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 1 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 9,124 | ||||||||||
| 33 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 141,372 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 13 | 50 | 38 | No | 8 | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 43 | 23 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,076,699 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 9 | 28 | 44 | 18 | 2 | No | 352 | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 3,248,861 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 7,279 | |||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 82,178 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 75 | 25 | No | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| 29 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 491,878 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 3 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0.5 | 200 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 46 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 1,215,817 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 5 | 28 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2.5 | 2,796 | ||||||||||
| 27 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 13.7 | 24,568 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 50 | 50 | 50.0 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 3 | 25 | 44 | 24 | 4 | 28.1 | 121,091 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 4 | 39 | 39 | 18 | 17.9 | 28 | |||||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 37 | 9 | 45.6 | 253,142 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 16 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 43.1 | 401 | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 5 | 26 | 46 | 23 | 69.7 | 3,015 | |||||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 40 | 84.0 | 12,225 | |||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 0 | 6 | 35 | 59 | 93.8 | 27,779 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.3 | % | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | % | 25,054,632 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
