AssociaÃ;§Ã;£o de Ferroviarios do Remo Title Chances 2018 50/50
Beat AEV 28-14, title odds up 1 to 2.2%
21 points 7-0-7
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| AEV 14 Ferroviarios 28 | +1.1 | -6.6 | +0.8 | |||
| AtlÃ;©ticoWal 48 LeÃ;µes 28 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Werklagger 37 Fortaleza 14 | +0.4 | -0.0 | ||||
| UDR 14 Riolagen 34 | +1.2 | |||||
| UBR 8 Destecheu 21 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ferroviarios vs CCP | +1.5*-0.1-1.5 | -6.1-1.1+6.1 | +1.0+0.0-1.0 | |||
| Riolagen vs AtlÃ;©ticoWal | +0.6+0.3-0.6 | +1.0-0.7-1.0 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Fortaleza vs AEV | +0.5+0.5-0.5 | +0.3-0.2-0.3 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| XVmarÃ;§o vs UBR | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.8-0.7+0.8 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Destecheu vs UDR | +0.6*-0.1-0.6 | |||||
| LeÃ;µes vs Werklagger | -0.2*-0.2+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Ferroviarios finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | Count | ||||
| 45 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 75.5 | % | 75 | 24 | 1 | No | 25,625 | ||||||||||||
| 43 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 68.2 | 68 | 30 | 2 | No | 10,858 | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 38.5 | 38 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 0 | No | 192,268 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 36.3 | 36 | 50 | 13 | 1 | No | 2,240 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 27.4 | 27 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 77,648 | |||||||||||
| 39 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 6.1 | 6 | 33 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 670,593 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 7.7 | 8 | 35 | 42 | 15 | 0 | No | 261 | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 4.8 | 5 | 29 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 13,210 | ||||||||||
| 37 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 2.1 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 232,980 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 5.6 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 33 | 6 | No | 18 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,341,911 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 3 | 23 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 1 | No | 1,317 | |||||||||||
| 35 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 33,311 | ||||||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 386,986 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 7 | 26 | 45 | 16 | 7 | No | 76 | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,678,801 | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,599 | |||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 0 | No | 45,098 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 20 | 60 | 20 | No | 5 | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 386,384 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 2 | 22 | 35 | 32 | 7 | 2 | No | 114 | |||||||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4.4 | 1,343,938 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | 2,591 | |||||||||
| 29 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6.6 | 33,112 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 50 | 50 | No | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 2 | 21.2 | 232,227 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 1 | 7 | 42 | 37 | 11 | 3 | 13.2 | 76 | |||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 58.8 | 670,754 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 13 | 48.6 | 1,299 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 6 | 28 | 45 | 20 | 65.5 | 13,192 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 38 | 83.2 | 77,761 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 19 | 38 | 43 | 81.0 | 21 | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 4 | 29 | 67 | 96.3 | 191,922 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 5 | 41 | 54 | 95.3 | 275 | ||||||||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 2 | 26 | 72 | 97.8 | 2,158 | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 99.3 | 11,112 | ||||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 25,582 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 2.2 | % | 2 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10.4 | % | 7,708,328 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
