AssociaÃ;§Ã;£o Esportiva de Sturmovika Title Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Ferroviarios 14-28, title odds down 9 to 40.1%
28 points 9-1-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| AEV 14 Ferroviarios 28 | -10.8 | +0.1 | -0.4 | |||
| Werklagger 37 Fortaleza 14 | +1.4 | |||||
| UDR 14 Riolagen 34 | +1.0 | |||||
| CCP 10 XVmarÃ;§o 17 | -0.5 | |||||
| AtlÃ;©ticoWal 48 LeÃ;µes 28 | -0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Fortaleza vs AEV | -12.7-5.4+13.0 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | -0.6-0.2+0.6 | |||
| Riolagen vs AtlÃ;©ticoWal | +4.2-0.4-4.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| XVmarÃ;§o vs UBR | -1.4+1.2+1.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| LeÃ;µes vs Werklagger | -1.1+0.6+1.1 | |||||
| Destecheu vs UDR | +0.5*-0.0-0.5 | |||||
| Ferroviarios vs CCP | -0.5*+0.0+0.5 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the AEV finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | Count | ||||
| 50 | -52 | Yes | 100 | No | 36,397 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 192,428 | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.5 | 100 | 0 | No | 2,226 | ||||||||||||||
| 47 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 98.6 | 99 | 1 | No | 77,753 | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 97.0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 669,516 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 97.9 | 98 | 2 | No | 243 | |||||||||||||||
| 45 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 92.8 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 13,329 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 87.5 | 88 | 12 | 0 | No | 231,842 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 95.2 | 95 | 5 | No | 21 | |||||||||||||||
| 43 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 79.2 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,344,475 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 83.1 | 83 | 16 | 0 | No | 1,228 | ||||||||||||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 63.6 | 64 | 33 | 3 | 0 | No | 33,411 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Yes | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 50.5 | 51 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 387,830 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 62.3 | 62 | 35 | 3 | No | 69 | ||||||||||||||
| 40 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 34.0 | 34 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,678,680 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 39.7 | 40 | 47 | 13 | 1 | No | 2,521 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 16.5 | 16 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 44,297 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 7.5 | 8 | 34 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 387,607 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 8.0 | 8 | 45 | 33 | 14 | No | 112 | |||||||||||||
| 37 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 2.2 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,341,524 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 0 | No | 2,563 | |||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 33,133 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 20 | 20 | 20 | 40 | No | 5 | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 231,978 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 22 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | No | 90 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 672,157 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,279 | |||||||||
| 33 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 13,495 | |||||||
| 32 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 76,994 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 33 | 60 | 7 | No | 15 | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 191,883 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 277 | |||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 1 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4.1 | 2,249 | |||||||||
| 29 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 12.3 | 10,994 | |||||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 5 | 32.0 | 25,705 | |||||||||
| Total: | 40.1 | % | 40 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 7,708,328 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
