XV de Marco Sporte Clube Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Beat UBR 9-1, playoff odds up 12.6 to 42.2%
6 points 2-0-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UBR 28 XVmarco 21 | -11.6 | +10.8 | -0.8 | |||
| Uniao 28 Steirdoff 24 | +0.8 | -1.6 | +0.0 | |||
| Werklagger 35 Ligeiros 17 | +0.5 | -0.5 | ||||
| AEV 14 Leoes 32 | +0.3 | -0.6 | ||||
| AtleticoWal 40 Fortaleza 21 | +0.3 | -0.2 | ||||
| CCP 43 Ferroviaria 17 | *-0.1 | +0.5 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| XVmarco vs Ferroviaria | +15.1-2.8-12.9 | -14.1+1.4+13.0 | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | |||
| Uniao vs XVmarco | -11.0-3.1+13.3 | +9.8+2.0-11.3 | -0.7-0.2+0.9 | |||
| UBR vs Uniao | -1.8+0.3+1.6 | +1.5*-0.1-1.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Werklagger vs UBR | +1.5+0.3-1.8 | -1.3-0.2+1.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Steirdoff vs Werklagger | -1.5+0.4+1.2 | +2.0-0.4-1.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Ligeiros vs Uniao | -1.4+0.3+1.1 | +1.0-0.2-0.9 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| AtleticoWal vs Ligeiros | +1.0+0.3-1.2 | -0.8*-0.1+0.9 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| CCP vs Leoes | -1.3+0.4+0.9 | +1.6-0.3-1.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Fortaleza vs CCP | +0.3+0.5-0.7 | -0.9-0.4+1.2 | ||||
| Ferroviaria vs Fortaleza | -0.6+0.7*+0.0 | +1.6-0.5-1.2 | ||||
| AEV vs Steirdoff | -0.3+0.7-0.3 | -0.4-0.5+0.7 | ||||
| Ligeiros vs AEV | *-0.1+0.6-0.4 | -0.2-0.3+0.5 | ||||
| Leoes vs AtleticoWal | -0.3*-0.0+0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the XVmarco finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Segunda | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Divisão | Count | ||||
| 39 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | No | 625 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 89 | 11 | No | 340 | ||||||||||||||
| 36 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 75 | 25 | 0 | No | 408 | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 69 | 29 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,272 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 51 | 41 | 8 | 1 | No | 3,285 | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 37 | 46 | 15 | 2 | No | 4,968 | * | |||||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 22 | 46 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,489 | ||||||||||
| 31 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 10 | 37 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 19,180 | * | |||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 4 | 25 | 42 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 29,871 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 50,616 | * | |||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 39,030 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 32,010 | |||||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 98,303 | * | |||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 105,531 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 29,941 | |||||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 96,686 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 98.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 70,477 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 94.5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 165,297 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 96.4 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 19,450 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 91.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 17,479 | ||||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 77.9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 158,615 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 83.2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 74,974 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 56.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | 160,850 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 50.7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2.1 | 90,643 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 27.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 7.9 | 206,628 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 33.3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 5.6 | 38,917 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 23.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 10.4 | 17,732 | * | ||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 9.7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 39 | 20 | 3 | 23.3 | 161,413 | * | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 2 | 19.3 | 100,143 | |||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 9 | 41.6 | 160,752 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 46.2 | 68,461 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 3.9 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 30 | 7 | 37.1 | 13,010 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 65.3 | 164,011 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 62.9 | 51,744 | * | ||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 83.1 | 106,162 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 35 | 80.5 | 77,274 | * | ||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 54 | 92.3 | 96,085 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 57 | 93.0 | 47,785 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 72 | 97.6 | 88,803 | * | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 3 | 27 | 69 | 96.9 | 19,524 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 99.4 | 45,501 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 99.3 | 30,474 | * | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 99.8 | 32,244 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.9 | 17,079 | * | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 29,430 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | 2 | 98 | Yes | 16,421 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,750 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,433 | * | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,257 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | -7 | Out | 100 | Yes | 955 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 42.2 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 31.1 | % | 2,884,328 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
