"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
XV de Marco Sporte Clube Playoff Chances 2019
Beat UBR 9-1, playoff odds up 15.4 to 28.1%
6 points 2-0-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UBR 28 XVmarco 21 | -7.1 | +8.7 | -0.4 | |||
| AEV 14 Leoes 32 | +0.7 | -0.7 | ||||
| Werklagger 35 Ligeiros 17 | +0.6 | -0.3 | +0.0 | |||
| Uniao 28 Steirdoff 24 | +0.4 | -1.4 | +0.0 | |||
| CCP 43 Ferroviaria 17 | +0.3 | +1.5 | ||||
| AtleticoWal 40 Fortaleza 21 | +0.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| XVmarco vs Ferroviaria | +12.8-4.6-13.0 | -16.0+4.3+17.5 | +0.7-0.2-0.8 | |||
| Uniao vs XVmarco | -4.7+2.5+19.0 | +5.1-3.5-18.8 | -0.3+0.1+1.0 | |||
| UBR vs Uniao | -2.6-0.2+1.3 | +2.2+0.3-1.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Werklagger vs UBR | +1.0-0.4-2.8 | -0.9+0.5+2.3 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| CCP vs Leoes | -2.0+0.2+1.3 | +2.6-0.1-1.8 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Steirdoff vs Werklagger | -2.0*+0.0+0.9 | +3.5+0.2-1.6 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Ligeiros vs Uniao | -1.8-0.1+1.0 | +1.1+0.2-0.7 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||
| AtleticoWal vs Ligeiros | +0.7-0.3-1.8 | -0.5+0.3+1.1 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Fortaleza vs CCP | +0.4+0.4-1.3 | -1.1*+0.0+2.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Ferroviaria vs Fortaleza | -0.9+0.5+0.5 | +2.5-0.5-2.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| AEV vs Steirdoff | -0.5+0.9-0.1 | -0.6-0.5+1.6 | ||||
| Ligeiros vs AEV | -0.1+0.5-0.4 | -0.1-0.2+0.4 | ||||
| Leoes vs AtleticoWal | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the XVmarco finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Segunda | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Divisão | Count | ||||
| 39 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 77 | 22 | 1 | No | 1,791 | |||||||||||||
| 37 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 42 | 42 | 17 | No | 12 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 19 | 68 | 11 | 3 | No | 37 | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 16 | 48 | 29 | 7 | No | 75 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 5 | 38 | 45 | 11 | 1 | No | 279 | |||||||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 23 | 49 | 23 | 2 | No | 581 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 14 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 0 | No | 1,739 | ||||||||||
| 31 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 6 | 32 | 48 | 13 | 1 | No | 3,948 | * | |||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 2 | 21 | 51 | 24 | 2 | 0 | No | 7,629 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 5 | 0 | No | 17,006 | * | |||||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 4 | 34 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 31,370 | * | ||||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 1 | 22 | 52 | 23 | 2 | 0 | No | 55,009 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 11 | 46 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 96,456 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 81,426 | * | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.9 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 67,931 | |||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 225,632 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 97.5 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 237,870 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 98.0 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 93,893 | * | ||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 91.5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 275,650 | * | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 90.1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 162,605 | ||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 75.4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 494,801 | * | ||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 78.2 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 70,519 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 50.8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1.8 | 455,969 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 54.1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 241,147 | * | ||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 27.7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6.9 | 497,247 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 26.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 7.5 | 287,232 | * | ||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 10.2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 20.2 | 662,095 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 11.4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 18.6 | 129,481 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 21.9 | 62,003 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 34 | 8 | 41.8 | 550,631 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 39.9 | 332,391 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 45 | 19 | 64.0 | 533,115 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 45 | 20 | 65.0 | 298,670 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 37 | 82.7 | 583,846 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 36 | 82.0 | 113,687 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 37 | 83.4 | 54,083 | * | |||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 56 | 93.4 | 406,382 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 56 | 93.2 | 230,083 | * | |||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 98.0 | 301,309 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 98.1 | 181,106 | * | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 99.6 | 277,441 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 99.6 | 67,852 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 6 | 93 | 99.9 | 165,844 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 6 | 94 | 99.9 | 61,526 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 69,484 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 58,548 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | 1 | 99 | Yes | 64,797 | * | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 100 | Yes | 28,803 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,944 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 100 | Yes | 3,009 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 28.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 23 | 42.0 | % | 8,652,984 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
