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Werklagger Jager Rugby Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Plays at Ligeiros, playoff odds down 0.06 to 97.9%
15 points 5-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Werklagger 35 Ligeiros 17 | +3.5 | -0.9 | +0.8 | |||
| Uniao 28 Steirdoff 24 | +0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||
| AEV 14 Leoes 32 | +0.1 | |||||
| AtleticoWal 40 Fortaleza 21 | *+0.1 | |||||
| UBR 28 XVmarco 21 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Werklagger vs UBR | +1.6+0.2-1.7 | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | +0.6-0.1-0.6 | |||
| Steirdoff vs Werklagger | -1.7+0.1+1.6 | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | |||
| Uniao vs XVmarco | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Ligeiros vs Uniao | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | |||||
| UBR vs Uniao | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| CCP vs Leoes | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| AtleticoWal vs Ligeiros | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| XVmarco vs Ferroviaria | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | |||||
| Fortaleza vs CCP | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Ferroviaria vs Fortaleza | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Ligeiros vs AEV | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Werklagger finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Segunda | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Divisão | Count | ||||
| 47 | -51 | In | 100 | No | 1,433 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 1,435 | ||||||||||||||
| 45 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 2,315 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | No | 5,273 | ||||||||||||||
| 43 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 99 | 1 | No | 9,570 | * | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | No | 15,570 | * | |||||||||||||
| 41 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 27,543 | * | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 21,223 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 20,000 | ||||||||||||||
| 39 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 91 | 9 | 0 | No | 60,749 | * | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 85 | 15 | 0 | 0 | No | 65,527 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 88 | 12 | 0 | No | 21,961 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 69,394 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 76 | 23 | 1 | 0 | No | 43,567 | * | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 69 | 29 | 2 | 0 | No | 118,749 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 70 | 28 | 2 | 0 | No | 27,608 | * | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 55 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 114,602 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | 61 | 35 | 4 | 0 | No | 65,632 | * | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | 45 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 138,559 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 42 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,246 | * | |||||||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 30 | 50 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 177,708 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | 33 | 49 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 54,939 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | 17 | 46 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 137,319 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | In | 21 | 49 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 111,154 | * | ||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | 10 | 39 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 173,006 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | In | 9 | 37 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 77,924 | * | ||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | 3 | 24 | 44 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 189,455 | * | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | In | 5 | 30 | 43 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 56,669 | * | ||||||||||
| 29 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | In | 1 | 10 | 36 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 114,454 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | In | 1 | 14 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 113,500 | * | |||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 4 | 24 | 42 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 138,637 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | In | 0 | 4 | 22 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 60,750 | * | ||||||||
| 27 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 118,388 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 49,522 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 99.9 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 65,699 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 100.0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 67,720 | * | ||||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 78,906 | * | ||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 98.4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 21,287 | * | ||||||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 92.9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 50,968 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 94.5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 20,078 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 71.7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 24,709 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 79.3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 22,357 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 45.7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3.1 | 28,493 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 19.0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 12.9 | 16,383 | * | ||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 33.7 | 8,681 | * | ||||||||
| 19 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 0.8 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 58.7 | 3,808 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 33 | 80.1 | 1,570 | * | ||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 6 | 37 | 57 | 94.2 | 548 | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | 25 | 75 | Yes | 130 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 99.8 | 610 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 97.9 | % | 27 | 24 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | % | 2,884,328 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
