Uniao Belga de Rugby Playoff Chances 2019
Lost to XVmarco 1-9, playoff odds down 18.5 to 53.4%
9 points 3-0-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UBR 28 XVmarco 21 | +10.0 | -4.9 | +0.6 | |||
| AEV 14 Leoes 32 | +0.9 | -0.3 | ||||
| Werklagger 35 Ligeiros 17 | +0.7 | -0.1 | +0.0 | |||
| Uniao 28 Steirdoff 24 | +0.6 | -0.5 | +0.0 | |||
| CCP 43 Ferroviaria 17 | +0.6 | +0.6 | ||||
| AtleticoWal 40 Fortaleza 21 | +0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UBR vs Uniao | +17.9+0.9-8.3 | -10.7-1.3+5.4 | +1.0+0.0-0.4 | |||
| Werklagger vs UBR | -6.6+2.5+19.3 | +4.2-2.3-11.2 | -0.4+0.1+1.0 | |||
| Steirdoff vs Werklagger | -3.0*-0.1+1.4 | +2.3+0.2-1.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Uniao vs XVmarco | +0.8-0.5-3.4 | -0.8+0.6+2.9 | +0.0-0.0-0.2 | |||
| CCP vs Leoes | -2.5+0.3+1.6 | +1.8-0.1-1.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Ligeiros vs Uniao | -2.3-0.1+1.2 | +0.9+0.1-0.5 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||
| AtleticoWal vs Ligeiros | +0.9-0.3-2.5 | -0.4+0.2+1.0 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Ferroviaria vs Fortaleza | -1.5+0.7+1.0 | +1.7-0.4-1.4 | ||||
| Fortaleza vs CCP | +0.7+0.3-1.8 | -0.8*+0.0+1.6 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| XVmarco vs Ferroviaria | -0.3+1.3-0.8 | +0.5-0.8*-0.0 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| AEV vs Steirdoff | -0.3+1.0-0.5 | -0.3-0.3+0.8 | ||||
| Ligeiros vs AEV | -0.2+0.8-0.5 | *-0.0-0.2+0.3 | ||||
| Leoes vs AtleticoWal | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the UBR finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Segunda | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Divisão | Count | ||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 65 | 34 | 1 | No | 1,804 | |||||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 36 | 53 | 12 | No | 118 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 23 | 52 | 24 | 2 | No | 197 | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 19 | 53 | 26 | 3 | No | 680 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 6 | 37 | 44 | 12 | 1 | No | 2,300 | |||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 28 | 47 | 21 | 2 | 0 | No | 4,000 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 15 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 0 | No | 10,827 | ||||||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 6 | 34 | 46 | 14 | 1 | No | 21,799 | * | |||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 2 | 23 | 50 | 24 | 2 | 0 | No | 37,254 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,887 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 4 | 32 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 76,186 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 45,025 | |||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 2 | 22 | 52 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 152,187 | * | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 1 | 18 | 51 | 27 | 3 | 0 | No | 31,182 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 10 | 45 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 240,975 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 48 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 47,311 | |||||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 46 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 197,251 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 196,310 | * | |||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 46 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 419,822 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 99.6 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 64,052 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 99.8 | 2 | 23 | 47 | 25 | 4 | 0 | No | 33,358 | |||||||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 98.0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 507,338 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 98.6 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 161,069 | * | |||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 93.3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 429,977 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 92.0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 339,543 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 79.4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 683,232 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 77.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 86,045 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 81.5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 81,719 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 55.9 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | 652,962 | * | |||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 58.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | 257,806 | ||||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 32.2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 5.5 | 507,085 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 30.5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 | 362,475 | * | ||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 17.2 | 635,769 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 13.9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 16.3 | 84,489 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 12.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 17.7 | 76,421 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 37.2 | 490,108 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 36.4 | 198,393 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 43 | 17 | 59.9 | 304,276 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 43 | 17 | 60.4 | 227,278 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 33 | 79.9 | 309,735 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 33 | 79.5 | 40,978 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 46 | 33 | 79.7 | 30,786 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 52 | 91.8 | 200,810 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 7 | 40 | 52 | 92.3 | 57,094 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 2 | 28 | 70 | 97.5 | 75,924 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 2 | 27 | 70 | 97.6 | 72,016 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 99.5 | 74,137 | * | |||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.9 | 34,503 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 11,061 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | 1 | 99 | Yes | 3,430 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 53.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 18.3 | % | 8,652,984 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
