"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
Uniao 28 Steirdoff 24 -3.7
+5.1
-0.2
AEV 14 Leoes 32 +0.8
-0.8
Werklagger 35 Ligeiros 17 +0.5
-0.3
UBR 28 XVmarco 21 -0.5
-1.0
CCP 43 Ferroviaria 17 +0.3
+1.2
AtleticoWal 40 Fortaleza 21 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Segunda Divisão100.0*Average seed
AEV vs Steirdoff-9.9-0.3+18.0
+9.9-0.6-17.2
-0.5-0.0+1.0
Steirdoff vs Werklagger+16.1*+0.0-7.1
-15.7-0.9+7.4
+0.9+0.0-0.4
Werklagger vs UBR+1.0-0.4-3.1
-1.0+0.5+2.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
UBR vs Uniao-2.8-0.1+1.3
+2.4+0.3-1.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Uniao vs XVmarco+0.7-0.3-2.8
-1.0+0.7+3.5
+0.0-0.0-0.2
CCP vs Leoes-2.0+0.2+1.3
+2.5-0.1-1.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ligeiros vs Uniao-1.8*-0.1+0.9
+1.0*+0.1-0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.0
AtleticoWal vs Ligeiros+0.7-0.3-1.9
-0.4+0.2+1.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Fortaleza vs CCP+0.5+0.3-1.3
-1.1+0.1+2.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ferroviaria vs Fortaleza-1.0+0.5+0.6
+2.3-0.5-1.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
XVmarco vs Ferroviaria-0.5+1.0-0.3
+0.5-1.0+0.3
Ligeiros vs AEV-0.1+0.6-0.4
-0.1-0.2+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Steirdoff finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112DivisãoCount
3911-0-0In61363No1,795
3710-1-0In3645153No33
3610-0-1In1458261No72
359-2-0In1148347No205
349-1-1In43446161No785
338-3-0In22047273No1,381*
328-2-1In011423980No3,743
318-1-2In0431481710No7,759*
307-3-1In0219492820No14,101*
297-2-2In009424160No28,488*
287-1-3In0331511410No48,525*
276-3-2In0119532520No79,447*
266-2-3100.0%0094538700No132,912*
255-4-2100.00434461510No106,004*
6-1-499.903304618200No86,956
245-3-399.601184529600No277,168*
235-2-497.5073341162000.0%276,449
4-5-298.4093739132000.0111,022*
224-4-392.4022141287100.0298,092
5-1-590.4021840319100.0193,461*
214-3-477.00083039194000.2483,116
3-6-281.2110333816300.177,300*
5-0-672.60062740225000.448,709
204-2-551.60214363413201.8467,207
3-5-357.10317373110101.2254,589*
193-4-429.6005243925606.5502,207
4-1-626.5005223827717.8287,119*
183-3-510.80110313818220.5646,614
2-6-313.20212333715217.5129,266
4-0-79.0018293920322.859,208*
173-2-62.6003163834942.9521,285
2-5-43.4003183932839.5320,077*
162-4-50.501729442064.4499,326
3-1-70.400627452166.2277,448*
152-3-60.100215453883.4533,635
1-6-40.100216463681.8106,697
3-0-80.10114454084.648,669*
142-2-70.0006365893.9365,350
1-5-50.0006375793.6210,315*
131-4-6Out02237598.2271,141
2-1-8Out02237598.3160,797*
121-3-7Out00138799.6245,645
0-6-5Out00138799.660,060*
111-2-8Out069499.9146,339
0-5-6Out059599.954,521
100-4-7Out0298100.062,226
1-1-9Out0298100.051,979
90-3-8Out0100Yes56,993*
80-2-9Out0100Yes25,832
6-7Out100Yes10,916*
Total:32.6%00013710121315172138.6%8,652,984

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs