Ligeiros Rugby Clube Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Plays Werklagger, playoff odds down 0.2 to 65.6%
6 points 2-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Werklagger 35 Ligeiros 17 | -8.6 | +4.5 | -0.8 | |||
| Uniao 28 Steirdoff 24 | +0.8 | -0.7 | ||||
| AEV 14 Leoes 32 | +0.3 | -0.2 | ||||
| AtleticoWal 40 Fortaleza 21 | +0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| UBR 28 XVmarco 21 | -0.2 | -0.3 | ||||
| CCP 43 Ferroviaria 17 | +0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ligeiros vs AEV | +13.0-1.8-11.6 | -7.7+0.6+7.2 | +1.0-0.2-0.9 | |||
| AtleticoWal vs Ligeiros | -9.8-2.2+11.5 | +6.1+0.9-6.7 | -0.8-0.2+0.9 | |||
| Ligeiros vs Uniao | +11.2-2.0-9.7 | -6.7+0.9+6.0 | +0.9-0.2-0.8 | |||
| UBR vs Uniao | -1.5+0.3+1.3 | +0.7*-0.1-0.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Uniao vs XVmarco | +1.2+0.4-1.5 | -1.0-0.2+1.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Werklagger vs UBR | +1.2+0.3-1.4 | -0.6*-0.1+0.7 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Steirdoff vs Werklagger | -1.4+0.4+1.1 | +1.2-0.2-1.0 | ||||
| CCP vs Leoes | -1.1+0.4+0.9 | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | ||||
| Ferroviaria vs Fortaleza | -0.6+0.6+0.2 | +0.9-0.2-0.7 | ||||
| XVmarco vs Ferroviaria | -0.4+0.8-0.2 | *+0.0-0.4+0.3 | ||||
| Fortaleza vs CCP | +0.3+0.5-0.7 | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | ||||
| AEV vs Steirdoff | -0.2+0.7-0.3 | -0.2-0.3+0.5 | ||||
| Leoes vs AtleticoWal | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Ligeiros finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Segunda | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Divisão | Count | ||||
| 45 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | No | 602 | |||||||||||||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | No | 51 | ||||||||||||||
| 42 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | No | 62 | ||||||||||||||
| 41 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | No | 228 | ||||||||||||||
| 40 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | No | 590 | ||||||||||||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 1,040 | * | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 2,581 | |||||||||||||
| 37 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 82 | 18 | 1 | No | 4,524 | * | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 73 | 25 | 2 | 0 | No | 8,066 | * | |||||||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | No | 14,509 | * | |||||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 45 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 22,393 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 31 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 35,494 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 18 | 44 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 52,605 | * | |||||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 8 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 72,663 | * | |||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 98,797 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 76,793 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 11 | 36 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 51,466 | * | |||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 108,044 | ||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 48,175 | * | ||||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 138,919 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | No | 47,445 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 99.9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 107,483 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 105,626 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 162,583 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 99.1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,391 | * | ||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 94.8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 166,251 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 96.3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 74,704 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 84.2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 125,609 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 80.0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 115,590 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 59.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | 161,626 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 51.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 39,376 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 65.8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 29,506 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 30.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 6.9 | 139,086 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 35.5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 5.5 | 73,872 | * | ||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 17.8 | 101,053 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 20.6 | 85,435 | * | ||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39.1 | 154,981 | * | ||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 62.6 | 79,403 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 42 | 17 | 59.2 | 43,905 | * | ||||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 46 | 33 | 78.7 | 54,675 | * | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 37 | 81.9 | 38,416 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 53 | 91.3 | 66,335 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 3 | 28 | 69 | 97.0 | 44,268 | * | |||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 99.2 | 27,797 | * | |||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 9 | 91 | 99.8 | 16,533 | * | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 8,794 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 4,401 | * | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,913 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 100 | Yes | 784 | * | |||||||||||||
| 6 | -8 | Out | 100 | Yes | 885 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 65.6 | % | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 14.8 | % | 2,884,328 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
