Associacaoo de Ferroviarios do Remo Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 31.4%
6 points 2-0-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| CCP 43 Ferroviaria 17 | -12.6 | +12.5 | -0.8 | |||
| Uniao 28 Steirdoff 24 | +1.0 | -1.6 | +0.1 | |||
| Werklagger 35 Ligeiros 17 | +0.8 | -0.6 | ||||
| AEV 14 Leoes 32 | +0.4 | -0.6 | ||||
| AtleticoWal 40 Fortaleza 21 | +0.4 | -0.3 | ||||
| UBR 28 XVmarco 21 | -0.2 | -0.5 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Segunda Divisão | 100.0* | Average seed |
| XVmarco vs Ferroviaria | -12.1-3.0+14.4 | +14.2+2.1-15.7 | -0.8-0.2+0.9 | |||
| Ferroviaria vs Fortaleza | +13.8-3.3-11.3 | -14.0+2.5+12.0 | +0.8-0.2-0.7 | |||
| UBR vs Uniao | -1.7+0.4+1.4 | +1.7-0.2-1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Werklagger vs UBR | +1.4+0.4-1.7 | -1.6-0.2+1.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Uniao vs XVmarco | +1.2+0.3-1.5 | -1.8-0.4+2.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Steirdoff vs Werklagger | -1.5+0.3+1.2 | +2.1-0.4-1.8 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Ligeiros vs Uniao | -1.3+0.2+1.1 | +1.2*-0.1-1.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| AtleticoWal vs Ligeiros | +1.0+0.2-1.2 | -1.1*-0.1+1.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| CCP vs Leoes | -1.2+0.4+0.8 | +1.8-0.3-1.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Fortaleza vs CCP | +0.2+0.6-0.6 | -1.1-0.3+1.3 | ||||
| AEV vs Steirdoff | -0.3+0.8-0.3 | *-0.0-0.7+0.6 | ||||
| Ligeiros vs AEV | *-0.0+0.6-0.4 | -0.4-0.4+0.7 | ||||
| Leoes vs AtleticoWal | -0.4*-0.0+0.4 | +0.3*+0.0-0.3 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Ferroviaria finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Segunda | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Divisão | Count | ||||
| 36 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | No | 695 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 43 | 44 | 11 | 1 | No | 854 | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 26 | 48 | 23 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,086 | |||||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 18 | 44 | 31 | 6 | 0 | No | 2,862 | |||||||||||
| 31 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 8 | 34 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 7,346 | ||||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 0 | No | 10,525 | * | |||||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 22,897 | |||||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 29,458 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 4 | 23 | 44 | 25 | 4 | 0 | No | 8,078 | ||||||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 42,068 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 5 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 0 | No | 12,640 | ||||||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 80,464 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 7,715 | ||||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 69,024 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 48,658 | ||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 96.1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 125,281 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 94.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 27,283 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 81.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 160,411 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 87.6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 37,576 | |||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 61.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | 121,443 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 53.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 105,471 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 31.2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 6.9 | 208,150 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 24.8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 10.0 | 26,621 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 39.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4.5 | 19,507 | |||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 22.5 | 200,891 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 14.8 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 17.5 | 76,385 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 32 | 8 | 39.8 | 161,619 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 2.7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 45.5 | 109,308 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 64.7 | 209,016 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 42 | 17 | 59.4 | 29,509 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.4 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 45 | 24 | 69.2 | 22,306 | * | |||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 83.4 | 161,186 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 45 | 34 | 79.9 | 76,946 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 54 | 92.2 | 121,217 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 57 | 93.3 | 74,866 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 2 | 26 | 71 | 97.5 | 125,207 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 97.0 | 19,640 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 98.1 | 12,982 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 1 | 16 | 84 | 99.4 | 80,046 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 17 | 82 | 99.2 | 38,538 | * | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 9 | 91 | 99.8 | 50,639 | * | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.8 | 29,422 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 41,626 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 9,695 | * | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 22,687 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,526 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | 1 | 99 | Yes | 8,252 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,225 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 100 | Yes | 7,021 | * | |||||||||||||
| 6 | -8 | Out | 100 | Yes | 4,460 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 31.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 23 | 41.6 | % | 2,884,328 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
