Bev Facey Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to HA 13-18, playoff odds down 3.3 to 95.4%
10 points 5-2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 4/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| BF 13 HA 18 | -2.7 | -0.9 | ||
| LO 24 MEL 13 | -0.0 | |||
| LO 1 QE 0 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| MEL vs QE | -0.0*+0.1+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Wednesday, 4/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| BF vs MEL | +1.6-7.8-11.9 | +0.1-0.4-0.6 | ||
| BF vs SAL | +3.8-0.4-3.2 | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | ||
| EC vs OS | +3.1+0.3-0.9 | |||
| EC vs SPA | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the BF finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 18 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 6 | 32 | 62 | 628,066 | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 11 | 81 | 8 | 156,851 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 1 | 45 | 33 | 20 | 2 | 3,487,075 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 1 | 42 | 38 | 19 | 1 | 13,734 | ||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 11 | 42 | 40 | 7 | 582,142 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 6 | 30 | 46 | 18 | 456 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.3 | % | 1 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 5,842,807 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.4 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 44 | 1 | 30,180 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 78 | 22 | 9 | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 93.3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 71 | 7 | 0 | 569,672 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 93.9 | 5 | 89 | 6 | 460 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 88.4 | 0 | 4 | 84 | 12 | 0 | 3,330,415 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 87.6 | 0 | 87 | 12 | 0 | 12,309 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 53.9 | 0 | 54 | 44 | 2 | 119,903 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 46.0 | 46 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 310,921 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 95.4 | % | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15,085,000 | ||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:30 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
