Louisiana Fire Title Chances Soring2018
Did not play, title odds down 0.5 to 16.6%
7 points 2-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| VHSC Steamers 0 Birmingham United 5 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| United SC 5 Real Athletic D 0 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 3/17 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hattiesburg FC vs Louisiana Fire | -11.0-3.1+13.7 | -0.8-0.1+0.9 | ||
| Louisiana Fire vs South Mississip | +5.8-5.8-9.4 | +0.5-0.4-0.9 | ||
| Tallahassee FC vs United SC | +5.4+3.2-2.4 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| South Mississip vs United SC | +5.2+3.0-2.5 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Hattiesburg FC vs United SC | +1.0+2.7-2.7 | |||
| Real Athletic D vs VHSC Steamers | -0.9+0.6+1.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Real Athletic D vs Birmingham United | -0.7+0.8*+0.0 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Tallahassee FC vs Birmingham United | +0.7+0.5-0.5 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Louisiana Fire finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 25 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | 100 | 164,852 | ||||||||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 715,172 | ||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 86.1 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 734,575 | ||||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 85.8 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 1,356,454 | ||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 57.9 | 58 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 2,756,801 | |||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 24.0 | 24 | 57 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1,376,220 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 48.9 | 49 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 1,356,318 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 17.1 | 17 | 53 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4,083,119 | |||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 3.1 | 3 | 31 | 48 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 4,026,884 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 8.5 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 755,374 | ||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.9 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 2,996,165 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.2 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1,298,499 | |||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 46 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 4,372,305 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 46 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 223,203 | |||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 45 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2,777,137 | |||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 42 | 12 | 0 | 1,089,937 | |||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 2,087,012 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 647,012 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 27,048 | |||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 3 | 28 | 52 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1,957,182 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 0 | 3 | 28 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 156,785 | |||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 897,372 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 52 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 370,056 | |||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 56 | 18 | 0 | 454,208 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 1 | 22 | 57 | 19 | 0 | 159,232 | ||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 305,635 | |||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 1 | 28 | 61 | 11 | 0 | 106,554 | |||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 6 | 65 | 28 | 1 | 24,309 | |||||||||
| Total: | 16.6 | % | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37,275,420 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:30 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
