Birmingham United Title Chances Soring2018 50/50
Beat VHSC Steamers 5-0, title odds up 5.3 to 10.8%
9 points 2-3-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| VHSC Steamers 0 Birmingham United 5 | +5.4 | +1.2 | ||
| United SC 5 Real Athletic D 0 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 3/17 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Real Athletic D vs Birmingham United | -8.0-3.4+10.9 | -1.0-0.2+1.1 | ||
| Tallahassee FC vs Birmingham United | -6.4-3.1+9.0 | -0.8-0.1+0.9 | ||
| Tallahassee FC vs United SC | +1.9+0.8-2.6 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | ||
| South Mississip vs United SC | +1.8+0.9-2.6 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Hattiesburg FC vs United SC | -0.6+2.1-1.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Hattiesburg FC vs Louisiana Fire | -1.3+1.6*-0.0 | -0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Louisiana Fire vs South Mississip | -1.5+0.6+1.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Real Athletic D vs VHSC Steamers | -1.1+0.4+0.8 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | ||
| VHSC Steamers vs Tallahassee FC | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Birmingham United finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 21 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 94.5 | % | 95 | 5 | 0 | 185,980 | |||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 72.9 | 73 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 627,677 | |||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 42.1 | 42 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 733,441 | ||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 27.1 | 27 | 50 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 808,430 | |||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 7.2 | 7 | 36 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1,884,009 | |||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.8 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1,100,698 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1.5 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 461,429 | |||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,611,757 | |||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 44 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,883,893 | ||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 0 | 5 | 30 | 46 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 98,233 | |||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 733,629 | ||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 460,813 | ||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 806,605 | |||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 44 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 628,325 | |||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 44 | 20 | 1 | 185,821 | ||||||
| Total: | 10.8 | % | 11 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12,210,740 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:30 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
