Harry Ainlay Playoff Chances 2018Beat EG 33-13, Beat QE 36-16, playoff odds up 15.8 to 96.7% 6 points 3-1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday, 3/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | HA 36 QE 16 | +4.7 | | +0.2 | | HA 33 EG 13 | +4.6 | | +0.2 | | BF 26 SPA 23 | +1.0 | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Tuesday, 4/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | SPA vs QE | -0.2+0.2+0.6 | | | | ME vs JP | -0.2+0.3+0.5 | | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | | ME vs OS | -0.5-0.1+0.2 | | | | SPA vs RS | -0.3*+0.0+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the HA finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 28 | 66 | 6 | | | | | | | | | 761,502 | | 17 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 6 | 65 | 29 | 0 | | | | | | | | 243,445 | | 16 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 28 | 64 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | 4,729,019 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 38 | 58 | 4 | | | | | | | | 31,304 | | 15 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 6 | 68 | 26 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,147,914 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 5 | 54 | 40 | 0 | | | | | | | 2,043 | | 14 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 1 | 41 | 55 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 9,962,813 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 1 | 44 | 53 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 107,516 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | | 1 | 49 | 49 | | | | | | | | 81 | | 13 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | | 0 | 14 | 78 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | 1,791,600 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | | 0 | 9 | 78 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | 4,816 | | 12 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | | 0 | 4 | 59 | 35 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 9,426,836 | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | | 0 | 4 | 65 | 30 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 118,341 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | | | 2 | 76 | 22 | | | | | | | 88 | | 11 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | | | 0 | 35 | 55 | 9 | 0 | | | | | 1,203,315 | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.4 | | | | 0 | 25 | 60 | 13 | 1 | | | | | 3,545 | | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 10 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 93.9 | | | | 0 | 9 | 44 | 41 | 6 | 0 | | | | 4,351,379 | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 94.5 | | | | 0 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 5 | 0 | | | | 50,183 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 87.5 | | | | | 3 | 50 | 34 | 13 | | | | | 32 | | 9 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 64.2 | | | | | 0 | 13 | 51 | 33 | 2 | 0 | | | 351,703 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 58.9 | | | | | 0 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 3 | | | | 638 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 31.6 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 29 | 54 | 15 | 0 | | | 936,197 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 30.1 | | | | | | 1 | 29 | 56 | 13 | 0 | | | 6,968 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1.7 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 36 | 55 | 7 | | | 35,943 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.2 | | | | | | | 0 | 24 | 58 | 18 | 0 | | 78,580 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 96.7 | % | 1 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 35,345,802 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |