Woodford Law Boxers Playoff Chances SBFallWinter201920

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 36.6%

11 points 5 11-0 1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
WoodfordLawBoxers 2 ATCJets 5	-7.8		-0.1
Ducks 7 Brewskis 3	+6.1		+0.1
PlymouthCountyAllStars 0 Bevman 1	+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks vs WoodfordLawBoxers	-6.3+6.0+16.3		-0.1+0.1+0.2
FightingSquirrels vs Brewskis	+5.5-3.8-14.9		+0.1-0.0-0.2
PlymouthCountyAllStars vs SSFlyers	-0.2*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the WoodfordLawBoxers finish out the regular season. Explain

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chowder	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		Cup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

21		5	0		-	0	0		100.0	%	No			72	28	0				10,644
20		4	0		-	0	1		99.7		No			52	48	0				17,394
19		4	1		-	0	0		97.4		No			26	71	3				104,599
		3	0		-	0	2		97.6		No			27	71	2				11,481
18		3	1		-	0	1		91.9		No			11	81	8				136,201
		2	0		-	0	3		91.2		No			8	84	9				3,692
17		3	2		-	0	0		77.9		No			2	76	22				402,167
		2	1		-	0	2		78.5		No			2	76	22				64,543
		1	0		-	0	4		80.7		No			2	79	19				585
16		2	2		-	0	1		60.3		No			0	60	40				380,734
		1	1		-	0	3		57.1		No				57	43				13,346
		0	0		-	0	5		46.7		No				47	53				30
15		2	3		-	0	0		37.1		No				37	63				737,563
		1	2		-	0	2		36.6		No				37	63				117,674
		0	1		-	0	4		34.0		No				34	66				997
14		1	3		-	0	1		18.8		No				19	81				450,285
		0	2		-	0	3		12.8		No				13	87				11,878
13		1	4		-	0	0		5.5		No				6	94				647,183
		0	3		-	0	2		4.5		No				4	96				67,753
11	-12								Out		No					100				409,053	*

Total:									36.6	%	No			2	35	63				3,587,802

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 3/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
WoodfordLawBoxers 2 ATCJets 5	+1.3
Beavers 5 Cyclones 1	+0.1
IceAge 3 Sharks 6	-0.1
Ticklefight 9 HighWide 2	-0.1
BashBros 4 LuckyDawgs 6	-0.1
Haulers 4 Blackbeers 5	-0.1
Chiefs 10 WFD 4	+0.1
Ducks 7 Brewskis 3	-0.1
FightingSquirrels 4 Dynamo 3	-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ducks vs WoodfordLawBoxers	+1.0-0.7-2.7
Bevman vs Haulers	-0.1+0.0+0.2
FightingSquirrels vs Brewskis	-0.1+0.0+0.2
Rangers vs SurgeSouth	+0.1+0.0-0.1
BashBros vs Rippers	+0.0-0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs SilkyMitts	+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs RocklandLiquors	+0.1+0.0-0.0
Cyclones vs Sharks	+0.0-0.0-0.1

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35	36	37	38	39	40	41	42	43

21	5	0		-	0	0																0	0	0	1	5	15	25	27	17	8	2	0	0
20	4	0		-	0	1																			0	0	1	3	11	21	26	21	12	4	1	0	0
19	4	1		-	0	0																					0	0	0	3	8	17	23	23	15	7	2	1	0	0	0
	3	0		-	0	2																						0	1	3	9	18	22	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
18	3	1		-	0	1																							0	0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	13	5	2	0	0	0
	2	0		-	0	3																								0	0	1	4	10	19	23	21	13	6	2	0
17	3	2		-	0	0																									0	0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
	2	1		-	0	2																										0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0
	1	0		-	0	4																											1	0	3	6	9	24	24	18	11	5	1	1
16	2	2		-	0	1																												0	0	0	1	3	9	17	24	23	15	7	2	0	0
	1	1		-	0	3																														0	1	3	9	17	23	23	15	7	2	0	0
	0	0		-	0	5																															3		13	7	40	13	13	10
15	2	3		-	0	0																															0	0	0	2	6	15	24	26	19	7	1	0
	1	2		-	0	2																																0	0	2	7	15	24	26	18	7	1	0
	0	1		-	0	4																																0	0	2	7	16	22	27	18	7	1
14	1	3		-	0	1																																	0	0	0	1	6	17	30	30	13	1	0
	0	2		-	0	3																																		0	0	1	5	16	30	32	14	1	0
13	1	4		-	0	0																																			0	0	0	3	14	35	38	10	0
	0	3		-	0	2																																				0	0	3	14	35	38	10	0
12	0	4		-	0	1																																					0	0	1	11	43	42	4
11	0	5		-	0	0																																							0	1	26	60	13

Total:																						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	11	13	13	8	1