How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SurgeSouth 3 ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy 3 (ot)+0.5
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs SurgeSouth-0.3+0.2+0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
MooseKnuckles vs Magoos+0.1+0.1-0.2
FHTP vs RoyalDangleBerries+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup12345678Count
2630-00InNo245818392,005
2520-01InNo85339247,221
2421-00InNo2345861,046,200
10-02InNo23359651,748
2311-01InNo0167014435,573
00-03InNo01570153,688
2212-00InNo0447472914,433
01-02InNo044748245,085
2102-01100.0%No1336150189,009
2003-0097.2No0456383262,840
Total:99.8%No4234624403,587,802
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/9100.0*Lottery seed
SurgeSouth 3 ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy 3 (ot)-0.3
PourSports 5 AnnasHarborsideGrille 2 +0.2
BashBros 4 LuckyDawgs 6 +0.1
Haulers 4 Blackbeers 5 +0.1
PlymouthCountyAllStars 0 Bevman 1 -0.1
Ticklefight 9 HighWide 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
SilkyMitts vs NESHLSouth+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16100.0*Lottery seed
WFD vs Triceratopshelf-0.2-0.1+0.1
Ticklefight vs Hogbuffs+0.2+0.1-0.1
Surge vs LuckyDawgs-0.1+0.1+0.2
Blackbeers vs ATCJets+0.1+0.0-0.1
Rangers vs SurgeSouth-0.1-0.1+0.1
PlymouthCountyAllStars vs SSFlyers+0.2+0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs SilkyMitts-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sullivans vs AnnasHarborsideGrille+0.1+0.0-0.1
JagrBombs vs PourSports-0.1-0.0+0.0
Chiefs vs RocklandLiquors+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243
2630-000031329311851000
2520-010018223125113000
2421-0000021024302292000
10-02002102430219200
2311-0100017182926144100
00-0301718302713310
2212-00000161627281651000
01-0200016162727165100
2102-0100027192825134100
2003-00000141324271982000
Total:0002467101312101096432110000