Chiefs Playoff Chances SBFallWinter201920

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.6 to 73.1%

12 points 5 8-0 2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Chiefs finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chowder	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		Cup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

26	7	0		-	0	0		In		No	0	10	87	3					1,592
25	6	0		-	0	1		In		No		3	88	9	0				3,202
24	6	1		-	0	0		In		No		0	67	32	1				18,960
	5	0		-	0	2		In		No			70	29	1				2,948
23	5	1		-	0	1		In		No			48	46	6	0			35,779
	4	0		-	0	3		In		No			47	46	7	0			1,550
22	5	2		-	0	0		In		No			19	60	20	0			104,095
	4	1		-	0	2		In		No			20	58	22	0			27,753
	3	0		-	0	4		In		No			17	58	25				504
21	4	2		-	0	1		100.0	%	No			7	52	39	2	0		159,289
	3	1		-	0	3		In		No			6	49	43	2			11,266
	2	0		-	0	5		In		No			4	39	54	2			92
20	4	3		-	0	0		99.9		No			1	30	62	7	0		305,251
	3	2		-	0	2		99.9		No			1	27	64	8	0		95,679
	2	1		-	0	4		99.8		No			1	25	65	9	0		2,487
	1	0		-	0	6		In		No				20	80				5
19	3	3		-	0	1		98.8		No			0	12	62	25	1	0	363,212
	2	2		-	0	3		98.7		No			0	9	63	27	1		28,309
	1	1		-	0	5		99.0		No				7	65	27	1		298
18	3	4		-	0	0		95.0		No			0	2	50	42	5	0	509,782
	2	3		-	0	2		94.8		No			0	2	50	42	5	0	157,871
	1	2		-	0	4		95.1		No				2	51	42	5	0	4,004
	0	1		-	0	6		In		No					63	38			16
17	2	4		-	0	1		78.3		No				0	19	59	21	1	439,567
	1	3		-	0	3		78.1		No				0	19	59	21	1	30,292
	0	2		-	0	5		75.9		No					23	53	24		232
16	2	5		-	0	0		58.1		No					9	49	38	4	484,917
	1	4		-	0	2		57.4		No					9	48	39	4	123,582
	0	3		-	0	4		57.2		No					9	48	39	4	2,153
15	1	5		-	0	1		26.1		No						26	59	15	269,580
	0	4		-	0	3		25.9		No						26	59	15	11,245
14	1	6		-	0	0		10.5		No						11	54	35	241,983
	0	5		-	0	2		10.4		No						10	53	36	36,327
13	0	6		-	0	1		1.8		No						2	36	62	64,741
12	0	7		-	0	0		0.5		No						1	15	84	49,239

Total:								73.1	%	No	0	0	2	10	30	30	20	7	3,587,802

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 3/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chiefs 10 WFD 4	-1.9
IceAge 3 Sharks 6	-0.2
BashBros 4 LuckyDawgs 6	-0.1
Haulers 4 Blackbeers 5	-0.1
WoodfordLawBoxers 2 ATCJets 5	-0.1
Ducks 7 Brewskis 3	-0.1
FightingSquirrels 4 Dynamo 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chiefs vs SilkyMitts	-2.8-0.5+1.7
Chiefs vs RocklandLiquors	-3.3-1.1+1.2
Cyclones vs Sharks	+0.1-0.1-0.2
FightingSquirrels vs Brewskis	-0.1+0.0+0.2
WFD vs Triceratopshelf	+0.1+0.0-0.1
MooseKnuckles vs Magoos	-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bevman vs Haulers	-0.1+0.0+0.1
Rangers vs SurgeSouth	+0.1-0.0-0.1
JagrBombs vs PourSports	+0.1+0.1-0.1
Ducks vs WoodfordLawBoxers	-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sullivans vs AnnasHarborsideGrille	+0.1+0.0-0.0
Ticklefight vs Hogbuffs	+0.1+0.0-0.0
BashBros vs Rippers	+0.0-0.0-0.1
PlymouthCountyAllStars vs SSFlyers	+0.1+0.0-0.0

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35	36	37	38	39	40	41	42	43

26	7	0		-	0	0									0	1	6	17	30	29	12	3	0
25	6	0		-	0	1										0	0	2	10	27	31	20	8	1	0
24	6	1		-	0	0												0	1	5	16	28	28	16	5	1	0
	5	0		-	0	2												0	1	5	16	29	27	16	5	1	0
23	5	1		-	0	1													0	0	2	8	20	28	24	13	4	1	0
	4	0		-	0	3														0	2	7	20	30	24	12	4	1
22	5	2		-	0	0														0	0	0	1	6	15	25	26	17	7	2	0	0	0
	4	1		-	0	2															0	0	1	5	15	24	27	19	8	2	0	0
	3	0		-	0	4																	2	6	14	22	29	18	7	2
21	4	2		-	0	1																	0	0	1	6	16	26	27	17	6	1	0	0
	3	1		-	0	3																		0	1	5	15	27	28	17	6	1	0
	2	0		-	0	5																			1	3	14	26	22	26	7	1
20	4	3		-	0	0																			0	0	0	2	10	23	30	22	10	3	0	0	0	0
	3	2		-	0	2																			0	0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	3	0	0	0
	2	1		-	0	4																					0	2	8	21	29	24	12	3	1
	1	0		-	0	6																								60	20	20
19	3	3		-	0	1																					0	0	1	4	13	23	26	19	10	3	1	0	0	0
	2	2		-	0	3																						0	0	3	12	23	26	20	11	4	1	0	0
	1	1		-	0	5																							1	2	14	23	30	16	8	4	1	0	0
18	3	4		-	0	0																						0	0	0	0	3	9	18	25	22	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
	2	3		-	0	2																							0	0	0	3	9	18	25	23	14	6	2	0	0	0
	1	2		-	0	4																								0	0	3	9	19	25	21	14	6	1	0	0	0
	0	1		-	0	6																											13	50	19	6	13
17	2	4		-	0	1																									0	0	0	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	5	1	0	0	0	0
	1	3		-	0	3																										0	0	1	6	13	21	22	18	11	5	2	0	0
	0	2		-	0	5																												2	3	12	21	22	17	16	5	1	1
16	2	5		-	0	0																												0	0	0	2	8	17	23	23	16	8	2	1	0	0
	1	4		-	0	2																												0	0	0	2	8	17	24	23	16	8	2	1	0	0
	0	3		-	0	4																														0	2	9	16	24	22	15	7	2	1	0
15	1	5		-	0	1																															0	0	1	5	12	20	24	21	12	4	1	0
	0	4		-	0	3																															0	0	1	4	10	20	25	22	13	4	1	0
14	1	6		-	0	0																																0	0	0	1	4	12	24	29	22	8	1	0
	0	5		-	0	2																																	0	0	1	4	12	24	30	21	8	1	0
13	0	6		-	0	1																																			0	0	1	4	15	32	34	14	0
12	0	7		-	0	0																																					0	0	2	14	39	40	4

Total:															0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	6	6	7	7	6	5	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	2	1	0