Portland LumberJax Playoff Chances Season1
Beat Barrage 13-7, playoff odds up 46.6 to 98.8%
4 points 2 2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Thursday, 2/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LumberJax 13 Barrage 7 | +46.6 | -1.5 | +0.5 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Friday, 2/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Swarm vs Barrage | +0.3-0.0-10.3-12.1 | NoNo*No+0.2 | +0.0*+0.0+0.4-0.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||
| LumberJax vs Lizards | InIn+1.2-0.3 | +0.1+0.1NoNo | NoNo-0.6+2.9 | +1.0+1.0+0.0-0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the LumberJax finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Disbanded | Count | ||||||
| 8 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 2.4 | % | 2 | 98 | No | 108,677 | |||||||
| 7 | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | 100 | No | 634,511 | |||||||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | 53 | 47 | 47.3 | % | 3,598,431 | |||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | In | No | 2 | 98 | 98.1 | 2,063,751 | |||||||||
| 5 | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | No | 2 | 98 | 0 | 98.5 | 23,392,952 | ||||||
| 4 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 98.2 | No | 98 | 2 | Yes | 66,380,166 | ||||||||
| Total: | 98.8 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 96 | 1 | 96.8 | % | 96,178,488 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Thursday, 2/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LumberJax 13 Barrage 7 | -0.5 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||
| Friday, 2/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LumberJax vs Lizards | -1.0-1.0-0.0+0.0 | |
| Swarm vs Barrage | -0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
What If
No lottery.
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||
| 8 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 98 | ||||
| 7 | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 53 | 47 | ||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 98 | |||||
| 5 | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 98 | 0 | |||
| 4 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | ||||
| Total: | 0 | 3 | 96 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:26 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
