"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 2/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Disbanded100.0*Average seed
LumberJax 13 Barrage 7 -0.6
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday, 2/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Disbanded100.0*Average seed
LumberJax vs Lizards-12.6-11.6-2.9+15.1
YesYes-0.6-30.3
-0.4-0.4-0.0+0.5
Swarm vs Barrage+3.2-1.5-2.2-2.5
-3.6+2.2+2.7+2.8
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Lizards finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1234DisbandedCount
620-0InNo9377.5%5,206,571
510-181.5%No11711889.11,555,798
411-063.0No4593795.58,836,216
00-2OutNo100Yes116,167
2-3OutNo100Yes5,088,744*
Total:57.9%No26324274.1%20,803,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday, 2/6100.0*Lottery seed
LumberJax 13 Barrage 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday, 2/7100.0*Lottery seed
LumberJax vs Lizards+0.4+0.4+0.0-0.5
Swarm vs Barrage-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

No lottery.

100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT1234
620-0937
510-1117118
411-045937
00-2100
2-3100
Total:263242