Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 88.6%

82 points 37 24-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jets 5 Avalanche 3	+0.7		+0.1
Blackhawks 5 Blues 4 (so)	-0.3		-0.0
Canucks 4 Predators 3 (so)	*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Devils vs Wild	-5.6-0.5-0.5+3.5+3.9+3.9		-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
Oilers vs Sabres	-1.1-1.1-1.1-0.1-0.1+1.0
Coyotes vs Panthers	-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Wild finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

108	13	0		-	0	In		13	46	38	2													2,424
107	12	0		-	1	In		4	34	55	6													2,527
106	12	1		-	0	In		2	23	60	14	0												20,709	*
105	11	1		-	1	In		0	11	62	27	0												25,079	*
104	11	2		-	0	In		0	5	50	44	1												91,920
	10	1		-	2	In		0	5	48	46	1												14,435	*
103	10	2		-	1	In		0	2	37	59	3	0											107,777
	9	1		-	3	In			2	35	60	4												5,080	*
102	10	3		-	0	In		0	0	20	72	7	0											272,372
	9	2		-	2	In			0	19	72	9	0											58,635	*
101	9	3		-	1	In			0	10	73	16	1	0	0									288,115
	8	2		-	3	In			0	9	72	19	1											18,527	*
100	9	4		-	0	In			0	3	68	27	2	0	0									542,941
	8	3		-	2	In			0	3	64	31	2	0	0									137,427
	7	2		-	4	In				2	61	33	4	0	0									3,956	*
99	8	4		-	1	100.0	%			1	53	41	5	0	0	0								517,528
	7	3		-	3	In				1	49	43	7	0	0									38,838	*
98	8	5		-	0	100.0				0	39	49	11	0	0	0								781,633
	7	4		-	2	100.0				0	34	52	14	0	0	0								218,213
	6	3		-	4	99.9				0	31	52	16	0	0	0								7,289	*
97	7	5		-	1	99.9				0	23	53	23	0	1	0	0							659,438
	6	4		-	3	99.8				0	19	52	27	0	1	0								54,831	*
96	7	6		-	0	99.3				0	13	49	34	0	3	1	0							830,310
	6	5		-	2	99.0				0	10	46	39	0	4	1	0							242,963
	5	4		-	4	98.8					8	44	42	0	5	1								8,534	*
95	6	6		-	1	96.6					5	36	48	0	7	3	0	0						611,704
	5	5		-	3	95.6					4	32	51	0	9	4	0							51,654	*
94	6	7		-	0	90.9					2	25	52	0	11	9	0	0						659,144
	5	6		-	2	88.7					1	21	53	0	13	11	1	0						192,334
	4	5		-	4	86.5					1	18	52	0	15	13	1	0						6,710	*
93	5	7		-	1	76.2					0	12	50	0	14	21	3	0	0					414,889
	4	6		-	3	72.6					0	9	48	0	15	24	3	0						34,173	*
92	5	8		-	0	59.9					0	6	40	0	14	32	8	1	0					390,822
	4	7		-	2	55.0					0	4	37	0	14	35	9	1	0					108,915
	3	6		-	4	51.0					0	4	32		15	37	11	1						3,756	*
91	4	8		-	1	35.7					0	2	25	0	9	41	20	3	0					204,908
	3	7		-	3	31.6					0	1	21		9	41	23	4	0					15,336	*
90	4	9		-	0	20.7					0	1	15		5	39	31	8	1	0				172,296
	3	8		-	2	17.2						0	12		5	38	34	10	1	0				43,748	*
89	3	9		-	1	7.7						0	6		2	27	41	21	4	0				71,784
	2	8		-	3	6.5						0	5		2	24	42	23	4	0				4,502	*
88	3	10		-	0	2.9						0	2		1	16	39	32	9	0	0			54,065
	2	9		-	2	2.2						0	2		1	14	38	34	11	1				11,544	*
87	2	10		-	1	0.6							1		0	6	27	42	22	2				17,667	*
86	2	11		-	0	0.1							0			2	17	41	34	6	0			11,646
	1	10		-	2	0.2							0			2	14	39	36	8	0			1,775	*
85	1	11		-	1	Out										0	6	30	49	14	0			2,513	*
84	1	12		-	0	Out										0	3	19	49	27	3			1,598	*
83	0	12		-	1	Out										1		10	41	44	5			166
82	0	13		-	0	Out												3	28	53	16			750

Total:						88.6	%	0	0	3	26	30	25	0	4	7	3	1	0	0	0			8,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Jets 5 Avalanche 3	-0.1
Canucks 4 Predators 3 (so)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Devils vs Wild	+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.7
Oilers vs Sabres	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Flyers vs Stars	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	13	0		-	0	11	38	40	10	1	0
107	12	0		-	1	2	22	45	25	5	0	0
106	12	1		-	0	1	12	38	34	13	2	0	0
105	11	1		-	1	0	3	21	39	27	9	1	0
104	11	2		-	0	0	1	10	29	35	19	5	1	0	0
	10	1		-	2	0	1	10	28	35	20	6	1	0
103	10	2		-	1	0	0	3	15	32	32	15	3	0	0
	9	1		-	3		0	3	14	31	32	17	4	0
102	10	3		-	0		0	1	5	20	34	28	11	2	0	0
	9	2		-	2		0	1	5	18	33	29	12	2	0	0
101	9	3		-	1		0	0	1	7	23	35	24	7	1	0	0
	8	2		-	3			0	1	7	22	35	26	9	1	0
100	9	4		-	0			0	0	2	11	28	35	20	4	0	0
	8	3		-	2			0	0	2	9	26	35	22	5	0	0
	7	2		-	4				0	1	8	25	35	24	6	1	0
99	8	4		-	1				0	0	3	14	32	34	15	2	0	0				0
	7	3		-	3				0	0	2	12	30	35	17	3	0
98	8	5		-	0				0	0	0	4	19	37	29	9	1	0	0			0
	7	4		-	2					0	0	3	17	35	32	11	1	0	0			0
	6	3		-	4					0	0	3	14	34	34	13	2	0				0
97	7	5		-	1					0	0	1	6	24	38	24	6	1	0	0		0	0
	6	4		-	3						0	0	5	21	37	27	8	1	0	0		0
96	7	6		-	0						0	0	1	11	31	35	17	4	0	0		1	0
	6	5		-	2						0	0	1	8	28	36	20	5	1	0		1	0
	5	4		-	4							0	1	7	25	37	23	6	1	0		1
95	6	6		-	1							0	0	2	14	31	32	15	3	0	0	3	0	0
	5	5		-	3								0	1	10	29	33	17	4	0	0	4	0
94	6	7		-	0								0	0	5	18	32	25	9	1	0	9	0	0
	5	6		-	2								0	0	3	15	30	27	11	2	0	11	1	0
	4	5		-	4								0	0	2	12	27	29	14	3	0	13	1	0
93	5	7		-	1									0	0	4	16	27	20	7	1	21	3	0	0
	4	6		-	3									0	0	3	13	25	22	8	1	24	3	0
92	5	8		-	0									0	0	1	6	16	21	13	3	32	8	1	0	0
	4	7		-	2									0	0	1	4	13	20	14	4	35	10	1	0
	3	6		-	4										0	0	2	10	19	15	5	36	12	1	0
91	4	8		-	1										0	0	1	3	10	13	9	39	21	4	0	0
	3	7		-	3												0	2	8	12	10	39	24	5	0	0
90	4	9		-	0											0	0	1	3	7	10	32	33	12	2	0	0	0
	3	8		-	2												0	0	2	6	9	30	35	15	3	0	0	0
89	3	9		-	1													0	0	1	6	14	33	29	13	3	1	0
	2	8		-	3														0	1	6	11	29	32	16	5	1	0
88	3	10		-	0														0	0	3	5	19	30	26	13	4	1	0	0
	2	9		-	2															0	2	3	15	29	29	16	5	1	0	0
87	2	10		-	1															0	1	0	4	13	27	29	19	7	1	0	0
86	2	11		-	0																0	0	1	4	14	25	29	19	6	1	0
	1	10		-	2																0	0	0	3	10	23	31	22	8	1	0
85	1	11		-	1																			0	2	9	25	33	22	7	1	0
84	1	12		-	0																				0	3	11	26	34	19	6	1
83	0	12		-	1																						2	9	28	39	17	4
82	0	13		-	0																							2	15	31	29	18	4	1

Total:						0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	13	14	13	10	7	4	2	1	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0