Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.006 to 99.95%

86 points 38 21-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Oilers vs Sabres	-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0		-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Flyers vs Stars			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Sabres finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

112	13	0		-	0	In		100	0															4,592
111	12	0		-	1	In		97	3															4,718
110	12	1		-	0	In		95	5	0														36,045
	11	0		-	2	In		95	5	0														2,641
109	11	1		-	1	In		87	13	0														41,350	*
108	11	2		-	0	In		81	18	1	0													152,373
	10	1		-	2	In		80	19	1	0													20,872	*
107	10	2		-	1	In		64	33	4	0													157,769
	9	1		-	3	In		63	33	4	0													6,517	*
106	10	3		-	0	In		53	40	7	0													395,749
	9	2		-	2	In		53	40	7	0													75,020	*
105	9	3		-	1	In		33	49	17	1													369,458
	8	2		-	3	In		32	49	18	1													20,745	*
104	9	4		-	0	In		23	50	25	2													697,185
	8	3		-	2	In		23	49	26	2													155,660
	7	2		-	4	In		23	50	25	3													3,922	*
103	8	4		-	1	In		10	42	41	7	0												584,957
	7	3		-	3	In		10	41	41	8													38,931	*
102	8	5		-	0	In		6	34	48	13	0												882,436
	7	4		-	2	In		5	33	48	14	0												218,327
	6	3		-	4	In		5	32	49	14	0												6,269	*
101	7	5		-	1	In		1	19	52	27	0												656,568
	6	4		-	3	In		1	18	52	29	0												47,717	*
100	7	6		-	0	In		1	12	49	38	1	0	0										825,194
	6	5		-	2	In		1	11	48	39	1	0											212,086
	5	4		-	4	In		1	11	47	41	1												6,559	*
99	6	6		-	1	In		0	4	37	56	3	0	0										533,705
	5	5		-	3	In		0	4	35	57	3	0											39,948	*
98	6	7		-	0	In		0	2	28	63	7	0	0										575,906
	5	6		-	2	In		0	2	26	64	7	0	0										147,844
	4	5		-	4	In			2	25	64	8	0	0										4,541	*
97	5	7		-	1	In		0	0	14	69	16	1	0										320,831
	4	6		-	3	In			0	13	69	17	1	0										23,134	*
96	5	8		-	0	In		0	0	8	62	28	2	0	0									301,086
	4	7		-	2	In			0	7	61	29	2	0	0									74,264
	3	6		-	4	In			0	6	63	29	2	0										2,170	*
95	4	8		-	1	In			0	3	48	42	7	1	0									138,786
	3	7		-	3	In			0	2	45	43	8	1	0									8,954	*
94	4	9		-	0	100.0	%		0	1	30	51	15	3	0	0								116,177
	3	8		-	2	100.0			0	1	29	51	16	3	0	0								26,229	*
93	3	9		-	1	99.9				0	15	49	28	7	1	0	0							43,181
	2	8		-	3	99.9				0	11	45	33	9	1	0								2,316	*
92	3	10		-	0	99.4				0	5	37	39	13	5	1	0							32,532
	2	9		-	2	99.0				0	4	34	40	14	6	1	0							5,987	*
91	2	10		-	1	95.4					1	21	42	17	15	4	0	0						9,124	*
90	2	11		-	0	83.0					0	9	35	14	25	13	3	0	0					6,917	*
89	1	11		-	1	54.7						3	21	7	24	29	14	3	0					1,116	*
88	1	12		-	0	27.6						1	9	2	17	32	28	10	1					739	*
87	0	12		-	1	9.8							2		8	16	39	24	12					51
86	0	13		-	0	1.7							1		1	8	28	38	23	2				702

Total:						100.0	%	13	23	31	27	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				8,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canucks 4 Predators 3 (so)	+0.1
Jets 5 Avalanche 3	-0.1
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Oilers vs Sabres	+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
Flyers vs Stars	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Sharks vs Ducks	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Devils vs Wild	-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

112	13	0		-	0	62	34	3
111	12	0		-	1	45	45	10	0
110	12	1		-	0	32	51	17	1	0
	11	0		-	2	31	50	19	1
109	11	1		-	1	16	48	31	4	0
108	11	2		-	0	9	40	41	10	1	0
	10	1		-	2	8	38	42	11	1	0
107	10	2		-	1	3	24	46	23	4	0	0
	9	1		-	3	2	22	47	24	5	0
106	10	3		-	0	1	13	41	33	10	1	0	0
	9	2		-	2	1	12	41	34	11	1	0
105	9	3		-	1	0	4	26	40	23	5	0	0
	8	2		-	3	0	3	25	41	25	6	0	0
104	9	4		-	0	0	1	14	35	34	14	2	0	0
	8	3		-	2	0	1	13	34	34	14	2	0	0
	7	2		-	4	0	1	13	33	36	15	2	0	0
103	8	4		-	1	0	0	4	21	37	28	8	1	0	0
	7	3		-	3		0	4	20	37	29	10	1	0
102	8	5		-	0	0	0	1	10	29	37	19	4	0	0
	7	4		-	2		0	1	9	27	37	21	5	0	0
	6	3		-	4			1	8	25	37	22	6	0	0
101	7	5		-	1		0	0	2	14	33	34	14	2	0	0
	6	4		-	3			0	2	12	32	35	16	3	0	0
100	7	6		-	0			0	0	5	21	37	28	8	1	0	0
	6	5		-	2			0	0	4	19	37	29	9	1	0	0
	5	4		-	4			0	0	4	17	36	31	11	1	0
99	6	6		-	1			0	0	1	7	26	38	22	5	0	0	0
	5	5		-	3			0	0	1	7	24	38	24	6	1	0
98	6	7		-	0				0	0	2	13	33	34	15	3	0	0	0
	5	6		-	2				0	0	2	11	31	35	17	3	0	0	0
	4	5		-	4					0	1	9	29	37	18	5	0	0
97	5	7		-	1					0	0	3	16	35	31	13	2	0	0	0
	4	6		-	3					0	0	2	15	34	32	14	3	0	0
96	5	8		-	0						0	1	6	22	35	25	10	2	0	0
	4	7		-	2						0	0	5	20	34	27	11	2	0	0
	3	6		-	4						0	0	3	18	35	28	12	3	0
95	4	8		-	1							0	1	7	23	33	25	9	2	0	0
	3	7		-	3							0	1	6	20	33	27	11	2	0
94	4	9		-	0							0	0	2	9	24	34	23	7	1	0	0	0
	3	8		-	2							0	0	1	8	22	34	25	9	1	0	0
93	3	9		-	1								0	0	1	8	25	35	23	6	1	0	0	0
	2	8		-	3									0	1	7	20	35	28	8	1	0	0
92	3	10		-	0									0	0	2	10	28	35	20	4	0	0	0
	2	9		-	2										0	1	8	26	35	23	6	1	0	0
91	2	10		-	1										0	0	1	11	31	34	17	2	2	1	0
90	2	11		-	0											0	0	3	15	33	33	4	8	4	1	0	0	0
89	1	11		-	1													0	5	16	33	2	14	17	10	2	0	0
88	1	12		-	0														0	4	23	1	9	19	25	14	3	0	0
87	0	12		-	1																10			18	10	35	25	2
86	0	13		-	0																2		0	3	12	24	33	19	6	1

Total:						1	3	8	11	14	15	15	12	9	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0