Nashville Predators Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Lost to Canucks 3-4 (so), playoff odds up 0.3 to 94.4%

84 points 36 22-12

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jets 5 Avalanche 3	+0.3		+0.1
Canucks 4 Predators 3 (so)	+0.2		-0.0
Blackhawks 5 Blues 4 (so)	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Oilers vs Sabres	-0.6-0.5-0.6-0.1-0.0+0.6
Devils vs Wild	+0.4-0.0+0.0-0.3-0.2-0.3		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Coyotes vs Panthers	-0.1-0.2-0.0-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Flyers vs Stars	+0.0-0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Predators finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

108	12	0		-	0	In		14	52	33	1													5,309
107	11	0		-	1	In		5	38	53	4													5,488
106	11	1		-	0	In		2	27	59	11	0												41,959
	10	0		-	2	In		2	25	60	12	0												3,136
105	10	1		-	1	In		0	13	63	23	0												46,970
	9	0		-	3	In		1	12	62	26													1,139
104	10	2		-	0	In		0	7	52	41	0												176,974
	9	1		-	2	In		0	6	51	43	0												24,162	*
103	9	2		-	1	In		0	2	39	57	1	0											179,758
	8	1		-	3	In			2	37	59	2												7,239	*
102	9	3		-	0	In		0	1	22	73	4	0											451,771
	8	2		-	2	In			0	20	74	5	0											82,193
	7	1		-	4	In			0	19	74	7	0											1,423	*
101	8	3		-	1	In			0	11	78	10	0	0										411,610
	7	2		-	3	In			0	10	77	13	1											22,197	*
100	8	4		-	0	In			0	4	77	18	1	0	0									774,106
	7	3		-	2	In			0	3	73	22	2	0	0									165,492
	6	2		-	4	In				3	70	25	2											3,895	*
99	7	4		-	1	In			0	1	63	32	4	0	0									623,245
	6	3		-	3	In				1	58	36	5	0	0									39,165	*
98	7	5		-	0	100.0	%			0	51	40	8	0	0	0								942,508
	6	4		-	2	100.0				0	45	44	11	0	0	0								219,905
	5	3		-	4	In				0	41	46	13	0	0									5,794	*
97	6	5		-	1	99.9				0	32	48	19	0	1	0	0							662,291
	5	4		-	3	99.9				0	27	49	23	0	1	0	0							44,721	*
96	6	6		-	0	99.5				0	21	48	29	0	2	0	0							833,265
	5	5		-	2	99.3					16	46	34	0	3	1	0							199,737
	4	4		-	4	99.2					13	46	37	0	3	1	0							5,593	*
95	5	6		-	1	97.3					9	38	45	0	5	3	0	0						500,143
	4	5		-	3	96.7					6	35	49	0	6	3	0							33,491	*
94	5	7		-	0	92.4					4	28	51	0	9	7	0	0						539,394
	4	6		-	2	90.8					3	24	54	0	10	9	1	0						125,019
	3	5		-	4	88.5					2	21	54	0	11	11	1	0						3,327	*
93	4	7		-	1	78.7					1	14	52	0	12	18	3	0	0					269,146
	3	6		-	3	75.8					1	11	52	0	12	20	4	0						16,895	*
92	4	8		-	0	62.5					0	7	43	0	12	29	8	1	0					254,109
	3	7		-	2	58.3					0	5	41	0	13	31	10	1	0					53,598
	2	6		-	4	55.8					0	5	38		13	32	11	1						1,238	*
91	3	8		-	1	38.0					0	2	28	0	8	37	21	4	0	0				101,196
	2	7		-	3	34.0						1	25		7	36	25	5	0					5,403	*
90	3	9		-	0	21.6					0	1	16		5	35	32	10	1	0				85,211
	2	8		-	2	18.2						0	14		4	32	35	13	2	0				15,232	*
89	2	9		-	1	8.1						0	7		1	21	39	25	6	0				25,152
	1	8		-	3	6.3							6		0	18	37	31	7					1,026	*
88	2	10		-	0	3.0						0	3		0	11	35	36	13	1				18,940
	1	9		-	2	2.6							2		0	9	31	40	16	2	0			2,465	*
87	1	10		-	1	0.7							1		0	2	18	43	31	6	0			3,934	*
86	1	11		-	0	0.1							0			1	9	33	42	14	0			2,832	*
85	0	11		-	1	Out											3	16	50	30	1			272
84	0	12		-	0	Out											1	10	39	46	4			832

Total:						94.4	%	0	1	6	39	28	19	0	3	4	1	0	0	0	0			8,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canucks 4 Predators 3 (so)	+0.2
Jets 5 Avalanche 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Devils vs Wild	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Flyers vs Stars	+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Sharks vs Ducks	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Red Wings vs Penguins	-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Oilers vs Sabres	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	12	0		-	0	11	43	38	8	1	0
107	11	0		-	1	3	25	46	21	4	0
106	11	1		-	0	1	14	41	32	10	2	0	0
	10	0		-	2	1	12	39	33	12	2	0
105	10	1		-	1	0	4	24	39	25	7	1	0
	9	0		-	3	0	3	22	37	28	8	1	0
104	10	2		-	0	0	1	12	32	34	17	4	0	0
	9	1		-	2	0	1	11	30	35	18	5	0	0	0
103	9	2		-	1		0	3	16	33	31	14	3	0	0
	8	1		-	3		0	3	15	31	33	14	3	0
102	9	3		-	0		0	1	6	21	34	27	9	1	0	0
	8	2		-	2		0	1	5	20	34	28	11	2	0
	7	1		-	4			0	5	17	34	29	12	2
101	8	3		-	1			0	1	8	25	36	23	6	1	0
	7	2		-	3		0	0	1	8	23	35	25	8	1	0
100	8	4		-	0			0	0	2	12	30	35	17	3	0	0
	7	3		-	2			0	0	2	10	28	36	20	4	0	0
	6	2		-	4				0	1	8	26	36	22	5	1
99	7	4		-	1			0	0	0	3	16	35	33	12	2	0	0
	6	3		-	3				0	0	2	13	32	35	14	2	0	0
98	7	5		-	0				0	0	1	5	23	39	25	6	1	0	0			0
	6	4		-	2				0	0	0	4	20	38	28	9	1	0	0			0
	5	3		-	4					0	0	3	17	36	31	11	2	0
97	6	5		-	1					0	0	1	8	28	37	21	5	1	0	0		0	0
	5	4		-	3						0	1	6	24	37	24	7	1	0			0	0
96	6	6		-	0						0	0	2	15	33	32	14	3	0	0	0	0	0
	5	5		-	2						0	0	1	11	30	35	17	4	0	0		1	0
	4	4		-	4					0		0	1	9	27	36	20	5	1	0		1	0
95	5	6		-	1							0	0	3	16	33	30	13	2	0	0	3	0	0
	4	5		-	3							0	0	2	13	30	32	16	3	0	0	3	0
94	5	7		-	0								0	1	6	21	32	24	8	1	0	7	0	0
	4	6		-	2								0	0	4	17	32	26	10	2	0	9	1	0
	3	5		-	4								0	0	2	14	29	30	12	2	0	11	1	0
93	4	7		-	1								0	0	1	6	18	28	19	6	1	18	3	0	0
	3	6		-	3									0	0	4	15	26	21	8	1	20	4	0
92	4	8		-	0									0	0	1	7	18	22	12	3	29	8	1	0	0
	3	7		-	2									0	0	1	5	15	21	13	4	31	10	1	0
	2	6		-	4											0	4	14	19	15	4	31	11	1
91	3	8		-	1										0	0	1	4	11	14	8	35	22	5	0	0	0
	2	7		-	3											0	0	3	9	13	9	33	26	6	1
90	3	9		-	0											0	0	1	4	8	9	30	33	13	2	0	0
	2	8		-	2												0	0	2	6	9	26	35	17	4	0	0
89	2	9		-	1													0	0	2	6	12	31	30	14	4	1	0
	1	8		-	3														0	0	6	9	27	33	17	6	1	0
88	2	10		-	0														0	0	3	4	18	30	27	14	4	1	0
	1	9		-	2															0	2	3	13	26	33	17	6	1	0
87	1	10		-	1															0	1	0	3	12	26	30	19	7	2	0
86	1	11		-	0																0	0	1	3	12	25	30	21	8	1	0
85	0	11		-	1																			0	1	9	22	40	19	7	1
84	0	12		-	0																				0	2	10	25	33	23	7	1	0

Total:						0	0	1	2	4	7	10	13	15	14	11	8	5	3	1	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0