Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Beat Lightning 4-2, playoff odds up 0.006 to 99.9997%

92 points 42 21-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Average seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Average seed
Flyers vs Stars	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Oilers vs Sabres	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

114	11	0		-	0	In		100																18,029
113	10	0		-	1	In		100	0															16,409
112	10	1		-	0	In		100	0															125,758
	9	0		-	2	In		100	0															7,507
111	9	1		-	1	In		99	1															110,404
	8	0		-	3	In		99	1															1,994
110	9	2		-	0	In		98	2	0														415,940
	8	1		-	2	In		98	2	0														43,818
	7	0		-	4	In		98	2															353
109	8	2		-	1	In		94	6	0														328,929
	7	1		-	3	In		94	6	0														10,108	*
108	8	3		-	0	In		89	11	0	0													827,264
	7	2		-	2	In		88	11	0	0													114,834
	6	1		-	4	In		89	11	0														1,535	*
107	7	3		-	1	In		79	20	1	0													577,648
	6	2		-	3	In		78	21	1	0													23,307	*
106	7	4		-	0	In		66	30	4	0													1,092,871
	6	3		-	2	In		65	31	4	0													176,889
	5	2		-	4	In		65	30	5	0													3,088	*
105	6	4		-	1	In		50	41	9	0	0												666,221
	5	3		-	3	In		50	41	9	0													30,514
	4	2		-	5	In		53	35	11	1													275	*
104	6	5		-	0	In		34	46	18	2	0												1,004,886
	5	4		-	2	In		33	46	19	2	0												173,228
	4	3		-	4	In		31	47	20	2													3,382	*
103	5	5		-	1	In		20	46	29	5	0												524,116
	4	4		-	3	In		19	46	30	5													25,078
	3	3		-	5	In		20	41	34	5													221
102	5	6		-	0	In		10	37	40	12	0												660,261
	4	5		-	2	In		10	37	41	13	0	0											113,407
	3	4		-	4	In		9	37	39	15	0												2,118	*
101	4	6		-	1	In		4	26	46	23	0	0											284,427
	3	5		-	3	In		4	26	46	24	0												13,106	*
100	4	7		-	0	In		1	15	44	38	2	0											307,485
	3	6		-	2	In		1	14	44	39	2	0											49,186
	2	5		-	4	In		2	15	42	39	2	0											841	*
99	3	7		-	1	In		0	7	36	51	6	0	0										106,697
	2	6		-	3	In		0	7	34	51	6	0											4,331	*
98	3	8		-	0	In		0	2	23	60	14	1	0										100,375
	2	7		-	2	In		0	2	22	60	14	1	0										13,888
	1	6		-	4	In			1	18	66	14	1											168
97	2	8		-	1	In		0	1	12	58	27	2	0	0									26,117
	1	7		-	3	In			0	13	59	25	4	0										811	*
96	2	9		-	0	In			0	5	47	40	7	1	0									22,010
	1	8		-	2	In			0	4	45	41	8	2										2,222	*
95	1	9		-	1	In				2	28	48	18	4	0									3,751	*
94	1	10		-	0	In				0	14	47	29	8	2									2,860
	0	9		-	2	In				1	12	47	28	10	2									156
93	0	10		-	1	In					3	27	39	21	11									237
92	0	11		-	0	97.1	%				1	18	44	19	16	2	0							840

Total:						100.0	%	52	27	15	6	1	0	0	0	0	0							8,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	-0.4
Canucks 4 Predators 3 (so)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Oilers vs Sabres	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
Kings vs Capitals	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Flyers vs Stars	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Sharks vs Ducks	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

114	11	0		-	0	84	16	1
113	10	0		-	1	69	29	2
112	10	1		-	0	58	37	4	0
	9	0		-	2	59	37	5	0
111	9	1		-	1	39	49	12	0	0
	8	0		-	3	37	49	14
110	9	2		-	0	28	51	20	1	0	0
	8	1		-	2	28	51	20	1	0
	7	0		-	4	27	51	21	1
109	8	2		-	1	13	47	36	4	0	0
	7	1		-	3	13	47	36	4	0
108	8	3		-	0	7	38	45	9	1	0
	7	2		-	2	7	37	45	9	1	0
	6	1		-	4	7	37	45	10	1	0
107	7	3		-	1	2	22	52	21	3	0	0
	6	2		-	3	2	21	51	22	3	0
106	7	4		-	0	1	12	45	33	9	1	0	0
	6	3		-	2	1	12	44	33	9	1	0
	5	2		-	4	1	11	43	33	10	2
105	6	4		-	1	0	4	29	41	21	4	0	0
	5	3		-	3	0	4	29	41	22	4	0	0
	4	2		-	5	0	5	25	41	22	6	0
104	6	5		-	0	0	1	15	36	33	13	2	0	0	0
	5	4		-	2	0	1	14	35	33	14	2	0	0
	4	3		-	4		1	14	35	34	14	2	0
103	5	5		-	1	0	0	5	23	37	26	8	1	0	0
	4	4		-	3		0	5	22	37	27	8	1	0
	3	3		-	5			5	23	30	28	14	0
102	5	6		-	0		0	1	9	27	35	21	6	1	0	0
	4	5		-	2		0	1	9	26	35	22	6	1	0
	3	4		-	4			1	8	27	34	23	7	1
101	4	6		-	1		0	0	3	14	31	33	16	3	0	0
	3	5		-	3			0	2	13	31	33	17	3	0	0
100	4	7		-	0			0	0	4	17	33	31	13	2	0	0
	3	6		-	2			0	0	4	16	32	32	13	2	0	0
	2	5		-	4				0	2	17	35	30	12	3	0
99	3	7		-	1			0	0	1	6	21	35	26	9	1	0	0
	2	6		-	3				0	1	6	21	35	27	9	2	0	0
98	3	8		-	0				0	0	1	7	24	35	24	8	1	0	0
	2	7		-	2					0	1	7	23	36	25	8	1	0
	1	6		-	4							8	18	40	21	11	1	1
97	2	8		-	1					0	0	2	10	27	34	20	6	1	0
	1	7		-	3							2	9	26	35	22	6	1
96	2	9		-	0							0	2	11	28	32	19	6	1	0
	1	8		-	2							0	1	10	26	33	21	7	1	0
95	1	9		-	1								0	2	13	26	31	20	6	1	0
94	1	10		-	0									0	3	11	29	32	20	5	1
	0	9		-	2										3	13	25	33	15	9	1
93	0	10		-	1											3	8	28	35	19	6
92	0	11		-	0											0	2	12	33	34	16	1	2	0

Total:						5	15	24	19	14	10	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0