New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.1 to 22.1%

75 points 33 28-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	+1.0		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets	*-0.0-1.0-0.8-0.7-0.9+0.3
Red Wings vs Penguins	+0.4-0.6-0.3-0.6-0.8-0.3		-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Senators vs Lightning	+0.1-0.9-0.7-0.8-0.9+0.1		+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Devils vs Wild			-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

99	12	0		-	0	In			2	17	45	33	0	2										1,609
98	11	0		-	1	In			1	6	34	52	1	6	0									1,468
97	11	1		-	0	In			0	3	25	58	1	12	0									11,888	*
96	10	1		-	1	In			0	1	12	58	4	23	1									16,222	*
95	10	2		-	0	100.0	%			0	5	49	9	33	3	0								59,571
	9	1		-	2	99.9				0	4	45	10	36	5	0								10,729	*
94	9	2		-	1	99.7				0	1	31	13	44	10	0	0							79,953
	8	1		-	3	99.6					1	25	14	46	13	0								4,246	*
93	9	3		-	0	98.3				0	0	16	15	47	20	2	0							200,721
	8	2		-	2	97.6					0	13	14	46	24	2	0							48,134
	7	1		-	4	97.3					0	10	14	45	28	3	0							1,100	*
92	8	3		-	1	92.7					0	5	11	41	36	7	0	0						241,651
	7	2		-	3	90.6					0	4	11	38	38	9	1	0						17,460	*
91	8	4		-	0	79.3					0	1	7	27	43	18	3	0	0					453,736
	7	3		-	2	74.2						1	6	23	44	22	4	0	0					127,252
	6	2		-	4	70.1						1	6	20	44	25	5	0						3,929	*
90	7	4		-	1	54.6					0	0	3	12	39	33	11	1	0	0				480,682
	6	3		-	3	48.4						0	2	9	37	36	13	2	0					39,863	*
89	7	5		-	0	29.0						0	1	4	24	40	25	6	0	0				726,749
	6	4		-	2	23.5						0	1	3	20	39	28	8	1	0				222,036
	5	3		-	4	19.5							1	2	17	39	31	10	1	0				7,746	*
88	6	5		-	1	10.4						0	0	1	9	32	38	18	3	0				671,660
	5	4		-	3	7.8							0	0	7	29	39	20	3	0	0			59,394	*
87	6	6		-	0	2.6							0	0	2	17	39	33	9	0	0			845,108
	5	5		-	2	1.8							0	0	2	14	37	36	11	1	0			266,287
	4	4		-	4	1.2							0	0	1	11	36	38	13	1	0			9,936	*
86	5	6		-	1	0.4							0	0	0	6	27	42	22	3	0	0		668,994
	4	5		-	3	0.3							0	0	0	5	24	43	25	4	0			58,360
	3	4		-	5	Out										3	24	41	28	4	0			1,037	*
85	5	7		-	0	0.0							0	0	0	2	13	40	36	8	0	0		719,111
	4	6		-	2	0.0							0		0	1	11	38	39	10	1	0		219,126
	3	5		-	4	0.0									0	1	9	36	41	12	1	0		7,741	*
84	4	7		-	1	0.0									0	0	5	26	44	21	3	0		472,999
	3	6		-	3	Out										0	4	23	45	24	4	0		38,993	*
83	4	8		-	0	Out										0	1	15	43	33	8	0		445,565
	3	7		-	2	Out										0	1	12	40	37	10	1	0	123,605
	2	6		-	4	Out										0	1	10	37	40	12	1		3,879	*
82	3	8		-	1	Out										0	0	5	27	44	21	3	0	233,713
	2	7		-	3	Out											0	4	23	45	24	3		16,262	*
81	3	9		-	0	Out											0	2	17	43	32	6	0	195,953
	2	8		-	2	Out											0	1	13	42	36	8	0	45,914
	1	7		-	4	Out												1	11	39	39	9	0	1,061	*
80	2	9		-	1	Out											0	0	5	30	46	19	0	76,664
	1	8		-	3	Out												0	4	27	46	22	0	3,888	*
79	2	10		-	0	Out												0	2	20	48	29	1	57,932
	1	9		-	2	Out												0	1	18	47	33	1	10,186	*
78	1	10		-	1	Out													0	7	39	52	3	15,589	*
77	1	11		-	0	Out													0	3	30	60	7	11,357	*
76	0	11		-	1	Out														0	15	70	15	1,345
75	0	12		-	0	Out														0	9	66	25	1,496

Total:						22.1	%		0	0	0	2	2	7	12	14	17	19	15	8	3	1	0	8,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	-0.1
Blackhawks 5 Blues 4 (so)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Coyotes vs Panthers	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
Red Wings vs Penguins	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Flyers vs Stars	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Senators vs Lightning	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Devils vs Wild	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

99	12	0		-	0					1	3	13	29	32	17	4	0
98	11	0		-	1						0	2	11	30	34	17	5	0
97	11	1		-	0						0	0	4	16	33	31	13	2	0	0
96	10	1		-	1							0	0	4	17	34	30	12	2	0
95	10	2		-	0								0	1	6	21	34	27	9	1	0	0
	9	1		-	2								0	1	5	19	33	29	11	2	0	0	0
94	9	2		-	1								0	0	1	7	22	36	26	8	1	0	0	0
	8	1		-	3									0	1	6	20	34	28	10	1	0	0
93	9	3		-	0									0	0	1	8	26	36	22	5	1	0	0	0
	8	2		-	2										0	1	6	23	36	25	6	2	0	0
	7	1		-	4										0	1	6	20	35	26	10	2	0
92	8	3		-	1										0	0	1	9	29	36	17	5	2	0	0	0
	7	2		-	3											0	1	7	26	37	20	6	3	1	0
91	8	4		-	0											0	0	2	13	33	31	8	9	4	1	0	0
	7	3		-	2											0	0	1	10	30	33	9	11	5	1	0	0
	6	2		-	4												0	1	8	27	34	10	13	6	1	0
90	7	4		-	1												0	0	3	17	34	7	17	15	5	1	0	0
	6	3		-	3												0	0	2	14	32	7	18	17	7	2	0	0
89	7	5		-	0													0	1	6	23	3	16	25	19	7	1	0	0
	6	4		-	2													0	0	4	19	3	15	26	21	9	2	0	0
	5	3		-	4														0	3	16	2	14	27	23	11	3	0
88	6	5		-	1													0	0	1	9	1	7	21	29	22	9	2	0	0	0
	5	4		-	3														0	1	7	0	6	18	30	24	11	3	0	0
87	6	6		-	0														0	0	2	0	1	8	23	31	23	9	2	0	0
	5	5		-	2														0	0	2	0	1	7	20	31	25	11	2	0	0
	4	4		-	4															0	1	0	1	5	18	31	28	13	3	0
86	5	6		-	1															0	0	0	0	2	8	22	32	24	9	2	0	0
	4	5		-	3															0	0		0	1	7	20	31	27	12	2	0	0
	3	4		-	5																			1	5	18	30	27	15	3	0
85	5	7		-	0															0	0		0	0	2	9	24	33	23	7	1	0	0
	4	6		-	2																0	0	0	0	1	7	21	33	26	9	1	0	0
	3	5		-	4																0			0	1	6	19	33	28	11	2	0
84	4	7		-	1																0			0	0	2	9	25	34	22	7	1	0	0
	3	6		-	3																				0	1	7	22	34	25	8	1	0	0
83	4	8		-	0																			0	0	0	2	12	29	34	18	4	0	0
	3	7		-	2																				0	0	2	10	27	34	21	5	1	0
	2	6		-	4																					0	1	7	23	35	25	8	1
82	3	8		-	1																					0	0	3	14	31	33	16	3	0	0
	2	7		-	3																						0	2	11	29	35	18	4	0
81	3	9		-	0																					0	0	1	5	20	36	28	10	1	0
	2	8		-	2																						0	0	4	17	34	31	11	2	0
	1	7		-	4																							0	3	14	32	36	13	2	0
80	2	9		-	1																						0	0	1	6	23	38	26	6	0
	1	8		-	3																							0	0	5	22	38	28	7	0
79	2	10		-	0																							0	0	2	12	34	38	14	0
	1	9		-	2																								0	1	10	32	39	17	0
78	1	10		-	1																									0	3	19	43	33	2
77	1	11		-	0																								0	0	1	9	38	48	5
76	0	11		-	1																										0	3	22	63	12
75	0	12		-	0																											1	14	62	23

Total:										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	2	5	7	9	10	11	10	9	7	4	2	1	0	0