How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flyers vs Stars+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Oilers vs Sabres+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flyers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112140-0In10003,725
111130-1In9913,940
110131-0In982031,959*
109121-1In918034,865*
108122-0In851410128,641
111-2In83161018,277*
107112-1In692830136,067
101-3In6631305,728*
106113-0In563770340,819
102-2In53398066,403*
105103-1In3547172328,461
92-3In324718219,402*
104104-0In23462640620,681
93-2In21462850143,842
82-4In18472963,715*
10394-1In103940110544,504
83-3In9374113038,655*
10295-0In52846210821,000
84-2In42746230213,744
73-4In426462406,522*
10185-1In1154637100643,429
74-3In11445391050,462*
10086-0In083951200810,947
75-2In073753300224,201
64-4In0635553007,707*
9976-1In032764600562,504
65-3In02256580046,233*
9877-0In01166913000607,433
66-2In0115681500170,413
55-4In1136817116,026*
9767-1In0086425110369,330
56-3In07612922030,044*
9668-0In0035436430347,454
57-2In03493955099,062*
9558-1100.0%01334611900181,363
47-3In0129461211113,914*
9459-0100.0002045171610150,744
48-2100.00164320191040,078*
9349-199.60731282960064,873
38-399.605282931704,531*
92410-098.602203034131048,986
39-297.42152936163011,264*
91310-189.40623303091017,707*
90311-075.7021522371940013,699*
89211-142.7067303617303,218*
88212-023.40321936301012,123*
87112-15.200526372571305*
86113-0Out133238180205*
85013-1Out526373219
84014-0Out1633381830676
Total:99.9%12182633822000000008,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Jets 5 Avalanche 3 -0.1
Canucks 4 Predators 3 (so)+0.1
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Flyers vs Stars-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.9
Oilers vs Sabres-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Sharks vs Ducks-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Devils vs Wild-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112140-068302
111130-1464590
110131-034501610
109121-1164832400
108122-0940419100
111-2838431010
107112-12224823400
101-3220462650
106113-0112413311200
102-211140351220
105103-103244025710
92-3032139288100
104104-00112323417400
93-20111303518400
82-4009283620510
10394-100317343112200
83-30315333314200
10295-0017233526810
84-20162135289100
73-4052034291010
10185-1019273620400
74-3018263722500
10086-0000313323515200
75-200212313616300
64-4021030361830
9976-1000418372910100
65-300317363111200
9877-000162437247100
66-200052237268100
55-40052037279100
9767-100192835206100
56-30182635227100
9668-0002133032174000
57-202112833206100
9558-1003142932174000
47-300212273220610
9459-0004163231143000
48-2003132933174000
9349-100315323214200
38-30211313319300
92410-0000521372781000
39-203163532122100
91310-1005203727352000
90311-0019293641082000
89211-1110312132215410
88212-00042017222615510
87112-105210253019730
86113-0212243120101
85013-1516164716
84014-011129331971
Total:12691213141310753211000000000000