Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 99.8%

89 points 39 19-11

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Canucks 4 Predators 3 (so)			-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks vs Ducks	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Kings vs Capitals			-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

115	13	0		-	0	In		97	3															2,986
114	12	0		-	1	In		94	6															3,226
113	12	1		-	0	In		84	16	0														24,128
	11	0		-	2	In		80	19	0														1,892
112	11	1		-	1	In		72	27	1														30,554	*
111	11	2		-	0	In		55	40	5														110,908
	10	1		-	2	In		50	43	6														16,648	*
110	10	2		-	1	In		39	49	11														123,920
	9	1		-	3	In		35	51	14														5,648	*
109	10	3		-	0	In		23	54	23				0										313,185
	9	2		-	2	In		20	53	26				0										64,224	*
108	9	3		-	1	In		13	50	37	0			0										316,894
	8	2		-	3	In		11	49	40	0			0										19,032	*
107	9	4		-	0	In		5	40	54	0	0		0										597,506
	8	3		-	2	In		4	37	58	0			1										143,683
	7	2		-	4	In		4	36	59	0			1										3,882	*
106	8	4		-	1	In		2	28	67	1	0		3										544,917
	7	3		-	3	In		2	25	69	1			3										39,500	*
105	8	5		-	0	In		1	16	77	1	0		5										821,806
	7	4		-	2	In		0	14	77	2	0		7	0									219,917
	6	3		-	4	In		0	12	77	2			8										6,811	*
104	7	5		-	1	In		0	8	72	5	0	0	15	0									661,420
	6	4		-	3	In		0	7	71	5	0		17										52,193	*
103	7	6		-	0	In		0	3	66	8	0	0	22	0									833,569
	6	5		-	2	In		0	2	63	9	0	0	25	0									234,289
	5	4		-	4	In			2	59	9	0		29	0									7,805	*
102	6	6		-	1	In		0	1	44	14	1	0	41	0									585,489
	5	5		-	3	In		0	1	39	13	1	0	46	0									47,466	*
101	6	7		-	0	In			0	30	16	2	0	51	1									632,444
	5	6		-	2	In			0	26	15	2	0	55	1									176,465
	4	5		-	4	In			0	23	15	2	0	58	2									5,874	*
100	5	7		-	1	100.0	%		0	11	13	4	0	69	2	0								378,952
	4	6		-	3	In			0	9	12	4	0	72	3									29,839	*
99	5	8		-	0	100.0			0	5	9	5	1	74	6	0								358,423
	4	7		-	2	100.0			0	4	8	4	1	75	8	0								95,727
	3	6		-	4	In				3	7	4	1	75	10									2,956	*
98	4	8		-	1	100.0				1	3	3	1	78	14	0								179,341
	3	7		-	3	99.9				0	2	2	1	76	18	0								12,748	*
97	4	9		-	0	99.8				0	1	2	1	70	26	0								151,372	*
	3	8		-	2	99.7				0	1	1	1	67	30	0	0							35,527
96	3	9		-	1	98.4				0	0	0	0	56	42	2	0							60,315
	2	8		-	3	98.1						0	0	51	46	2	0							3,617	*
95	3	10		-	0	94.6					0	0	0	39	55	5	0							45,226
	2	9		-	2	93.6						0	0	34	59	6	0							9,220	*
94	2	10		-	1	83.4						0		21	62	16	1	0						13,770	*
93	2	11		-	0	66.9								10	57	29	4	0						10,652	*
92	1	11		-	1	45.2								3	42	43	11	1	0					1,839	*
91	1	12		-	0	26.3								1	25	48	22	4	0					1,255	*
90	0	12		-	1	10.8									11	40	35	14	1					111
89	0	13		-	0	4.3									4	27	39	25	4	0				729

Total:						99.8	%	4	15	45	6	1	0	26	2	0	0	0	0	0				8,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sharks vs Ducks	+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
Flyers vs Stars	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Oilers vs Sabres	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Kings vs Capitals	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

115	13	0		-	0	97	3
114	12	0		-	1	94	6	0
113	12	1		-	0	83	16	0
	11	0		-	2	80	19	0
112	11	1		-	1	71	27	2	0
111	11	2		-	0	53	41	6	0	0
	10	1		-	2	49	44	7	0
110	10	2		-	1	36	49	14	1	0
	9	1		-	3	32	49	17	1	0
109	10	3		-	0	19	49	28	4	0	0
	9	2		-	2	17	48	31	4	0
108	9	3		-	1	9	40	39	10	1	0
	8	2		-	3	7	37	41	13	1	0
107	9	4		-	0	3	25	46	22	3	0	0
	8	3		-	2	2	23	47	24	4	0	0
	7	2		-	4	2	22	44	27	5	0
106	8	4		-	1	1	12	40	34	11	1	0	0
	7	3		-	3	1	10	37	37	13	2	0	0
105	8	5		-	0	0	4	27	41	22	5	0	0
	7	4		-	2	0	3	25	41	24	5	0	0
	6	3		-	4	0	3	23	42	25	6	1	0
104	7	5		-	1	0	1	12	34	34	15	3	0	0
	6	4		-	3	0	1	10	32	36	17	4	0	0
103	7	6		-	0	0	0	5	22	37	27	9	1	0	0
	6	5		-	2	0	0	4	20	36	28	10	2	0	0
	5	4		-	4		0	3	18	36	30	11	2	0
102	6	6		-	1		0	1	8	25	35	23	7	1	0	0
	5	5		-	3			1	6	22	36	26	8	1	0	0
101	6	7		-	0		0	0	2	13	30	33	17	4	0	0
	5	6		-	2		0	0	2	11	29	34	19	4	0	0	0
	4	5		-	4			0	1	10	27	35	21	6	0	0
100	5	7		-	1			0	0	3	14	31	33	16	3	0	0					0
	4	6		-	3			0	0	2	13	30	33	17	4	0	0
99	5	8		-	0			0	0	1	5	20	35	28	10	2	0	0				0
	4	7		-	2				0	1	4	18	33	30	12	2	0	0				0
	3	6		-	4				0	0	3	16	33	30	14	3	0
98	4	8		-	1				0	0	1	5	20	35	27	10	2	0	0			0
	3	7		-	3						0	5	19	34	28	12	2	0				0
97	4	9		-	0					0	0	1	8	25	34	23	8	1	0			0
	3	8		-	2					0	0	1	7	22	34	25	9	2	0	0		0	0
96	3	9		-	1							0	1	8	24	34	22	7	1	0		2	0
	2	8		-	3							0	1	8	23	33	25	8	1	0	0	2	0
95	3	10		-	0							0	0	2	10	26	32	18	5	1	0	5	0
	2	9		-	2								0	2	9	23	32	21	6	1	0	6	0
94	2	10		-	1									0	2	10	24	29	15	3	0	16	1	0
93	2	11		-	0									0	0	2	10	22	22	9	2	29	4	0
92	1	11		-	1											0	2	8	14	15	5	42	12	1	0
91	1	12		-	0												0	2	6	10	9	43	25	5	1
90	0	12		-	1														1	2	8	23	42	20	4
89	0	13		-	0														0	0	4	13	28	33	16	6	0	0

Total:						4	9	16	17	15	13	10	7	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0