New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 0.9%

68 points 30 31-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Devils vs Wild	+0.7+0.6+0.5-0.2-0.2-0.6		+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.3
Senators vs Lightning	+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
Red Wings vs Penguins	+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.0		-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets	-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0
Kings vs Capitals			+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Devils finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94	13	0		-	0	99.9	%			0	2	34	11	44	8	0								1,009
93	12	0		-	1	98.7					1	13	19	47	19	1								594
92	12	1		-	0	93.7					0	6	13	41	34	6	0							5,095	*
91	11	1		-	1	79.8						1	9	27	42	18	2	0						7,767	*
90	11	2		-	0	61.7						0	4	16	41	30	8	1	0					28,656
	10	1		-	2	55.2						0	3	13	38	33	10	1	0					5,798	*
89	10	2		-	1	30.3						0	1	4	24	39	24	6	1	0				46,350	*
88	10	3		-	0	13.8						0	0	1	12	34	35	15	3	0	0			108,800
	9	2		-	2	10.3							0	1	9	30	37	19	4	0				30,466	*
87	9	3		-	1	2.7							0	0	3	16	35	32	12	2	0			150,316
	8	2		-	3	1.7							0	0	2	12	32	35	16	3	0			12,419	*
86	9	4		-	0	0.6							0	0	1	6	25	38	24	5	0	0		282,603
	8	3		-	2	0.3							0	0	0	5	21	38	28	7	0	0		91,759
	7	2		-	4	0.1									0	4	18	36	31	10	0	0		3,268	*
85	8	4		-	1	0.0							0		0	1	10	31	39	17	1	0		346,482
	7	3		-	3	0.0									0	1	7	27	42	22	2	0		33,959	*
84	8	5		-	0	0.0									0	0	4	20	41	31	4	0		523,001
	7	4		-	2	0.0									0	0	3	16	40	35	6	0		189,259
	6	3		-	4	Out										0	2	13	38	39	8	0		7,882	*
83	7	5		-	1	0.0									0	0	1	7	32	46	12	1		570,775
	6	4		-	3	Out										0	0	5	28	50	16	1		60,929	*
82	7	6		-	0	Out										0	0	3	20	50	24	3	0	716,571
	6	5		-	2	Out											0	2	17	50	28	4	0	271,857
	5	4		-	4	Out											0	1	14	48	32	5	0	12,323	*
81	6	6		-	1	Out											0	1	9	44	39	8	0	684,155
	5	5		-	3	Out												0	6	41	42	10	0	75,282	*
80	6	7		-	0	Out											0	0	3	32	48	16	0	735,113
	5	6		-	2	Out												0	3	28	49	20	0	278,407
	4	5		-	4	Out												0	1	24	50	24	0	12,485	*
79	5	7		-	1	Out												0	1	18	50	30	1	597,976
	4	6		-	3	Out												0	1	15	49	35	1	63,776	*
78	5	8		-	0	Out													0	9	44	45	2	564,289
	4	7		-	2	Out													0	7	41	50	2	201,628
	3	6		-	4	Out													0	5	37	55	3	8,438	*
77	4	8		-	1	Out													0	4	32	59	5	380,952
	3	7		-	3	Out													0	2	28	64	6	37,038	*
76	4	9		-	0	Out													0	1	21	68	10	318,423
	3	8		-	2	Out													0	1	17	71	11	102,324
	2	7		-	4	Out														1	13	73	13	3,706	*
75	3	9		-	1	Out														0	10	70	20	171,995
	2	8		-	3	Out														0	8	70	22	14,111	*
74	3	10		-	0	Out														0	5	66	29	129,656
	2	9		-	2	Out														0	3	66	31	35,522	*
73	2	10		-	1	Out														0	2	55	44	55,541	*
72	2	11		-	0	Out															1	46	54	35,668
	1	10		-	2	Out															0	43	56	7,150	*
71	1	11		-	1	Out															0	31	69	9,846	*
70	1	12		-	0	Out																22	78	6,575	*
69	0	12		-	1	Out																12	88	772
68	0	13		-	0	Out																8	92	1,134

Total:						0.9	%			0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	13	25	26	21	3	8,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Jets 5 Avalanche 3	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Devils vs Wild	-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.0+0.0+0.6
Kings vs Capitals	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Flyers vs Stars	-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Red Wings vs Penguins	+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

94	13	0		-	0									0	3	13	27	31	19	6		0
93	12	0		-	1											2	9	24	37	22	5	1
92	12	1		-	0										0	0	2	13	30	34	15	4	2	0	0
91	11	1		-	1												0	2	14	33	31	9	8	3	0	0
90	11	2		-	0												0	0	5	22	34	8	16	11	3	0	0
	10	1		-	2													0	3	19	33	9	18	13	4	1	0
89	10	2		-	1													0	1	6	23	4	17	25	16	6	1	0	0
88	10	3		-	0													0	0	2	12	1	9	24	28	17	6	1	0	0
	9	2		-	2														0	1	9	1	8	22	29	20	8	2	0	0
87	9	3		-	1														0	0	3	0	2	9	23	30	22	9	2	0	0
	8	2		-	3															0	2	0	1	7	19	29	25	13	3	0	0
86	9	4		-	0															0	1	0	0	2	11	24	30	22	9	2	0	0	0
	8	3		-	2															0	0	0	0	2	8	20	30	25	12	3	0	0
	7	2		-	4																0		0	1	6	17	29	28	14	4	1
85	8	4		-	1																0		0	0	2	8	20	31	26	11	2	0	0
	7	3		-	3																0		0	0	1	5	17	30	29	14	3	0	0
84	8	5		-	0																0		0	0	0	2	9	23	32	25	9	1	0	0
	7	4		-	2																0			0	0	1	7	20	32	28	11	2	0	0
	6	3		-	4																			0	0	1	5	16	31	31	14	2	0
83	7	5		-	1																0			0	0	0	1	8	24	35	24	7	1	0
	6	4		-	3																				0	0	1	6	21	36	28	8	1	0
82	7	6		-	0																				0	0	0	2	11	30	36	18	3	0
	6	5		-	2																					0	0	1	9	27	37	20	4	0	0
	5	4		-	4																						0	1	7	25	38	23	5	0
81	6	6		-	1																						0	0	3	15	36	33	12	1	0
	5	5		-	3																						0	0	2	13	34	36	14	2	0
80	6	7		-	0																						0	0	1	6	24	40	25	5	0
	5	6		-	2																						0	0	0	4	22	40	27	6	0
	4	5		-	4																								0	3	20	39	30	7	0
79	5	7		-	1																							0	0	1	11	34	39	15	0
	4	6		-	3																								0	1	9	32	41	17	0
78	5	8		-	0																								0	0	4	22	45	28	1
	4	7		-	2																								0	0	3	20	44	32	1
	3	6		-	4																									0	2	17	44	35	2
77	4	8		-	1																									0	1	10	39	47	4
	3	7		-	3																									0	1	8	37	50	5
76	4	9		-	0																									0	0	4	28	59	8
	3	8		-	2																										0	3	26	62	9
	2	7		-	4																										0	2	22	65	11
75	3	9		-	1																										0	1	15	66	18
	2	8		-	3																										0	1	12	67	20
74	3	10		-	0																										0	0	8	65	27
	2	9		-	2																											0	6	64	30
73	2	10		-	1																											0	2	54	43
72	2	11		-	0																												1	46	53
	1	10		-	2																												1	43	56
71	1	11		-	1																												0	31	69
70	1	12		-	0																													23	77
69	0	12		-	1																													12	88
68	0	13		-	0																													8	92

Total:														0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	15	17	16	14	3