Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.8 to 66%

77 points 32 25-13

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	+1.6		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets	+9.2+8.2+6.7-2.5-2.5-11.9		+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6
Senators vs Lightning	+0.4-1.2-1.3-1.3-1.7-0.1		-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Red Wings vs Penguins	+0.3-0.9-0.8-0.7-0.7-0.1

Chances based on how well the Canadiens finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

101	12	0		-	0	In		1	13	38	38	10	0											4,754
100	11	0		-	1	In		0	5	25	45	23	0	0										5,031
99	11	1		-	0	In		0	1	15	45	37	1	0										37,850
	10	0		-	2	In		0	1	13	44	39	1	1										2,805
98	10	1		-	1	In		0	0	7	35	53	4	1	0									43,486
	9	0		-	3	In			0	5	31	58	4	2										1,004
97	10	2		-	0	In			0	2	25	62	9	2	0									163,416	*
	9	1		-	2	In		0	0	2	23	62	10	3	0									22,172
96	9	2		-	1	In			0	1	13	62	19	5	0									169,366
	8	1		-	3	In				0	10	61	22	6	0									7,001	*
95	9	3		-	0	100.0	%		0	0	6	54	29	10	0	0								424,815
	8	2		-	2	100.0				0	5	52	31	12	0	0								78,332
	7	1		-	4	In				0	4	49	33	13	1									1,381	*
94	8	3		-	1	100.0				0	2	38	41	17	2	0	0							395,196
	7	2		-	3	99.9				0	1	33	44	19	2	0								21,787	*
93	8	4		-	0	99.7				0	1	23	46	25	5	0	0							745,292
	7	3		-	2	99.6				0	0	20	46	26	6	0	0							163,164
	6	2		-	4	99.3					0	16	47	26	9	1	0							3,904	*
92	7	4		-	1	98.1					0	10	46	28	14	2	0	0						613,965
	6	3		-	3	96.9					0	7	44	28	17	3	0	0						39,829	*
91	7	5		-	0	92.8					0	3	36	27	26	7	1	0						926,944
	6	4		-	2	90.1					0	3	34	26	28	9	1	0						221,427
	5	3		-	4	87.0						2	31	23	32	12	1	0	0					6,095	*
90	6	5		-	1	76.4					0	1	25	17	34	19	4	0	0					668,996
	5	4		-	3	70.2						0	22	14	34	23	6	1	0					46,223	*
89	6	6		-	0	54.0					0	0	14	9	32	32	12	2	0	0				841,164
	5	5		-	2	47.2						0	12	7	29	34	16	3	0	0				206,175
	4	4		-	4	40.6						0	10	5	26	35	20	4	0					5,811	*
88	5	6		-	1	25.9						0	6	2	17	36	28	9	1	0	0			517,803
	4	5		-	3	20.0						0	5	1	14	35	32	12	1	0				35,791	*
87	5	7		-	0	10.2							2	0	7	28	38	20	4	0	0			558,503
	4	6		-	2	7.5							2	0	5	24	39	25	5	0	0			132,935
	3	5		-	4	5.2							1	0	4	18	38	30	9	0				3,570	*
86	4	7		-	1	2.2							1	0	2	12	34	37	14	1	0	0		285,914
	3	6		-	3	1.5							0		1	9	30	39	18	2	0			18,418	*
85	4	8		-	0	0.4							0	0	0	4	22	41	28	4	0	0		269,974
	3	7		-	2	0.2							0		0	3	18	41	32	5	0	0		59,057
	2	6		-	4	0.2							0		0	2	14	38	38	7	0			1,380	*
84	3	8		-	1	0.0							0		0	1	8	32	45	14	1	0		110,551
	2	7		-	3	0.0							0			0	6	28	46	18	2	0		5,878	*
83	3	9		-	0	0.0							0			0	3	19	47	26	4	0		92,898
	2	8		-	2	Out										0	2	16	47	30	5	0		17,142	*
82	2	9		-	1	Out										0	0	7	38	41	13	1	0	28,220
	1	8		-	3	Out											0	6	34	43	16	2		1,197	*
81	2	10		-	0	Out											0	2	24	45	25	4	0	21,417
	1	9		-	2	Out												2	23	43	27	5	0	3,022	*
80	1	10		-	1	Out												0	12	38	39	11	0	4,469	*
79	1	11		-	0	Out												0	5	28	45	22	1	3,233	*
78	0	11		-	1	Out													1	14	42	41	1	295
77	0	12		-	0	Out													0	6	35	53	7	848

Total:						66.0	%	0	0	0	2	12	23	14	15	13	10	7	4	1	0	0	0	8,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	-0.1
Blackhawks 5 Blues 4 (so)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets	-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.3+0.3+1.2
Red Wings vs Penguins	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Senators vs Lightning	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

101	12	0		-	0			0	2	9	25	35	23	6	1	0
100	11	0		-	1			0	0	2	10	26	34	22	5	1	0	0
99	11	1		-	0				0	0	3	13	30	33	17	4	0	0
	10	0		-	2					0	2	12	29	34	18	5	0
98	10	1		-	1					0	0	3	15	32	32	14	3	0	0
	9	0		-	3						0	2	11	31	33	18	3	1
97	10	2		-	0						0	1	5	20	35	28	10	2	0	0
	9	1		-	2					0	0	0	4	17	34	30	12	2	0	0
96	9	2		-	1						0	0	1	6	22	35	26	9	1	0	0
	8	1		-	3							0	0	5	18	34	28	12	2	0
95	9	3		-	0							0	0	1	9	26	34	22	6	1	0	0
	8	2		-	2							0	0	1	7	23	34	25	8	1	0	0
	7	1		-	4							0		1	7	20	33	27	10	2	0
94	8	3		-	1								0	0	2	10	27	35	20	5	0	0	0	0
	7	2		-	3									0	1	8	24	35	24	7	1	0	0
93	8	4		-	0									0	0	3	13	32	34	15	2	0	0	0
	7	3		-	2									0	0	2	10	30	36	18	3	0	0	0	0
	6	2		-	4										0	1	8	26	37	22	6	1	0
92	7	4		-	1									0	0	0	3	16	36	32	11	1	1	0	0
	6	3		-	3										0	0	2	12	33	35	14	2	1	0	0
91	7	5		-	0										0	0	0	5	23	39	25	3	3	1	0	0	0
	6	4		-	2											0	0	4	20	38	28	4	4	1	0	0	0
	5	3		-	4												0	3	15	36	33	5	6	2	0	0
90	6	5		-	1											0	0	1	8	29	38	5	10	7	2	0	0	0
	5	4		-	3												0	0	6	25	39	5	12	9	3	1	0	0
89	6	6		-	0												0	0	2	15	37	3	14	17	9	2	0	0	0
	5	5		-	2													0	1	12	34	3	14	19	12	4	1	0	0
	4	4		-	4													0	1	8	31	3	13	21	16	5	1	0
88	5	6		-	1													0	0	4	22	1	9	22	24	14	4	1	0	0
	4	5		-	3													0	0	3	17	1	7	21	27	17	6	1	0	0
87	5	7		-	0														0	1	9	0	3	13	26	27	15	4	1	0	0
	4	6		-	2														0	0	7	0	2	11	24	29	19	6	1	0	0
	3	5		-	4															0	5	0	2	8	23	30	22	9	2
86	4	7		-	1														0	0	2	0	0	3	13	26	30	18	6	1	0	0
	3	6		-	3															0	1		0	2	10	24	31	22	8	1	0
85	4	8		-	0															0	0	0	0	1	4	14	28	31	17	5	1	0	0
	3	7		-	2																0		0	0	3	11	26	33	21	6	1	0
	2	6		-	4																0			0	2	9	23	32	26	7	1	0
84	3	8		-	1																0			0	0	3	13	29	33	18	4	0	0
	2	7		-	3																0			0	0	2	9	26	34	21	6	1	0
83	3	9		-	0																0				0	0	4	16	33	31	13	2	0	0
	2	8		-	2																				0	0	3	13	31	33	16	3	0	0
82	2	9		-	1																					0	0	4	19	35	30	10	2	0
	1	8		-	3																						0	4	15	35	31	12	3	0
81	2	10		-	0																						0	1	7	24	37	25	7	1	0
	1	9		-	2																							1	6	24	37	24	8	1
80	1	10		-	1																							0	1	11	31	35	19	3
79	1	11		-	0																								0	4	18	35	32	11	0
78	0	11		-	1																									0	6	25	44	23	1
77	0	12		-	0																										1	12	39	42	5

Total:								0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	13	15	15	2	4	6	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0