Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 81.3%

79 points 35 25-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	+1.0		+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets	-7.2-0.2-0.1+6.4+7.1+7.9		-0.5-0.0-0.0+0.4+0.5+0.5
Senators vs Lightning	+0.2-0.8-0.6-0.9-0.9*-0.0
Red Wings vs Penguins	+0.2-0.4-0.3-0.5-0.4-0.1		+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Devils vs Wild	-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Blue Jackets finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

105	13	0		-	0	In		33	47	19	2													1,444
104	12	0		-	1	In		19	45	29	6	1												1,291
103	12	1		-	0	In		8	36	40	15	1												10,980	*
102	11	1		-	1	In		3	22	41	29	5	0	0										14,827	*
101	11	2		-	0	In		1	11	36	40	11	0	0										54,266
	10	1		-	2	In		1	10	35	41	14	0	0										9,772	*
100	10	2		-	1	In		0	4	24	46	25	0	0										72,224
	9	1		-	3	In		0	3	22	45	29	0	1										3,783	*
99	10	3		-	0	In		0	1	14	45	38	0	1										180,569
	9	2		-	2	In		0	1	12	43	41	1	2										44,082	*
98	9	3		-	1	In		0	0	5	34	55	2	4	0									216,649
	8	2		-	3	In			0	5	31	57	2	5										15,442	*
97	9	4		-	0	In		0	0	2	24	63	5	7	0									408,903
	8	3		-	2	In			0	2	21	63	6	8	0									116,578
	7	2		-	4	In			0	2	19	62	7	10										3,730	*
96	8	4		-	1	In			0	0	11	63	10	15	0									438,770
	7	3		-	3	In				0	9	61	12	17	0									37,528	*
95	8	5		-	0	100.0	%		0	0	6	54	17	22	1	0								661,057
	7	4		-	2	100.0			0	0	4	51	19	25	1	0								208,797
	6	3		-	4	100.0				0	4	47	20	28	1	0								7,918	*
94	7	5		-	1	99.9				0	2	36	24	36	3	0	0							629,805
	6	4		-	3	99.9				0	1	33	25	38	4	0								59,021	*
93	7	6		-	0	99.6				0	0	22	28	41	8	0	0							792,244
	6	5		-	2	99.3				0	0	18	28	43	10	1	0							263,649
	5	4		-	4	98.9					0	16	28	43	12	1	0							10,618	*
92	6	6		-	1	97.2					0	8	25	44	20	3	0	0						660,371
	5	5		-	3	96.1					0	6	23	43	23	4	0	0						63,119	*
91	6	7		-	0	89.4					0	3	20	35	32	9	1	0	0					713,572
	5	6		-	2	85.8					0	2	17	31	35	12	2	0	0					235,066
	4	5		-	4	81.7					0	1	15	27	38	16	2	0	0					9,373	*
90	5	7		-	1	70.2					0	0	10	20	39	24	6	1	0					507,621
	4	6		-	3	64.0						0	8	17	39	27	8	1	0					47,709	*
89	5	8		-	0	44.3						0	6	8	31	36	17	3	0	0				477,097
	4	7		-	2	36.7						0	4	6	27	38	21	5	0	0				150,042
	3	6		-	4	30.9						0	3	4	23	37	25	6	1					5,587	*
88	4	8		-	1	18.7						0	2	2	15	35	32	12	2	0				284,172
	3	7		-	3	13.8							1	1	11	32	35	16	2	0				24,143	*
87	4	9		-	0	5.9							1	0	5	23	39	26	6	0	0			238,146
	3	8		-	2	3.6							0	0	3	18	37	32	9	0	0			69,289	*
86	3	9		-	1	1.0							0	0	1	8	29	40	19	2	0			112,416
	2	8		-	3	0.4							0		0	6	25	42	24	2	0			8,041	*
85	3	10		-	0	0.1							0		0	2	16	40	34	7	0	0		85,065
	2	9		-	2	0.1									0	1	12	38	39	9	0	0		20,374	*
84	2	10		-	1	0.0									0	0	5	27	47	19	2	0		31,373	*
83	2	11		-	0	Out										0	2	15	46	31	6	0		20,550
	1	10		-	2	Out											1	12	45	35	7	0		3,599	*
82	1	11		-	1	Out											0	5	31	44	17	2		4,886	*
81	1	12		-	0	Out												2	20	45	28	5		3,171	*
80	0	12		-	1	Out												1	10	39	37	13		310
79	0	13		-	0	Out												0	4	25	48	23	0	861

Total:						81.3	%	0	0	1	6	24	14	23	13	8	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	8,039,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 2	-0.1
Jets 5 Avalanche 3	-0.1
Canucks 4 Predators 3 (so)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets	+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.1
Red Wings vs Penguins	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Oilers vs Sabres	+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0*+0.0-0.0
Senators vs Lightning	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

105	13	0		-	0		3	24	39	26	6	1
104	12	0		-	1		0	9	30	36	19	5	1
103	12	1		-	0		0	3	16	34	30	14	3	0
102	11	1		-	1			1	5	18	32	30	12	2	0
101	11	2		-	0			0	1	8	23	34	24	8	1	0	0
	10	1		-	2			0	1	7	21	34	26	10	2	0
100	10	2		-	1			0	0	1	8	24	34	24	8	1	0	0
	9	1		-	3				0	1	7	22	33	25	10	1	0
99	10	3		-	0				0	0	2	12	29	34	19	4	0	0
	9	2		-	2				0	0	2	10	27	35	21	5	1	0
98	9	3		-	1				0	0	0	2	12	30	34	18	4	0	0
	8	2		-	3					0	0	2	11	28	35	20	5	0	0
97	9	4		-	0					0	0	0	4	17	34	30	12	2	0	0
	8	3		-	2						0	0	3	15	33	31	14	3	0	0
	7	2		-	4							0	3	15	31	33	14	3	0
96	8	4		-	1						0	0	0	4	19	34	29	11	2	0	0
	7	3		-	3							0	0	4	17	34	31	13	2	0
95	8	5		-	0							0	0	1	7	24	35	25	8	1	0	0
	7	4		-	2								0	1	6	21	34	27	9	1	0	0
	6	3		-	4								0	1	6	19	34	29	10	2	0	0
94	7	5		-	1								0	0	1	8	24	37	23	6	1	0	0
	6	4		-	3								0	0	1	7	22	36	26	7	1	0	0
93	7	6		-	0									0	0	2	10	30	36	18	3	0	0	0
	6	5		-	2									0	0	1	8	27	37	21	4	1	0	0
	5	4		-	4										0	1	7	26	37	23	5	1	0	0
92	6	6		-	1										0	0	2	13	35	35	13	2	1	0	0	0
	5	5		-	3										0	0	1	11	32	36	16	2	1	0	0
91	6	7		-	0										0	0	0	4	20	38	27	4	4	2	0	0	0
	5	6		-	2											0	0	3	16	36	30	5	6	3	0	0	0
	4	5		-	4											0	0	2	13	33	34	6	7	4	1	0	0
90	5	7		-	1												0	1	6	26	38	5	12	9	3	1	0	0
	4	6		-	3												0	0	5	22	38	5	13	12	5	1	0	0
89	5	8		-	0													0	1	11	32	3	13	20	14	5	1	0	0	0
	4	7		-	2													0	1	8	28	2	13	22	17	7	1	0	0
	3	6		-	4													0	1	6	24	2	12	22	21	9	2	0	0
88	4	8		-	1													0	0	3	16	1	7	20	27	19	7	1	0	0
	3	7		-	3														0	2	12	0	5	18	28	23	10	2	0	0
87	4	9		-	0														0	0	5	0	2	9	23	30	21	8	1	0	0	0
	3	8		-	2														0	0	3	0	1	7	20	30	24	11	2	0	0
86	3	9		-	1														0	0	1		0	2	9	23	31	24	9	2	0	0
	2	8		-	3															0	0	0	0	1	6	19	31	27	12	2	0
85	3	10		-	0																0		0	0	2	9	24	33	23	7	1	0	0
	2	9		-	2																0			0	1	7	20	33	28	9	1	0
84	2	10		-	1																0			0	0	2	8	25	35	23	6	1	0
83	2	11		-	0																				0	0	2	12	30	35	17	3	0	0
	1	10		-	2																					0	1	9	28	36	21	4	0
82	1	11		-	1																						0	3	15	31	34	15	2	0
81	1	12		-	0																							1	6	20	37	27	8	1
80	0	12		-	1																								1	11	32	31	19	5
79	0	13		-	0																								0	3	15	36	36	10	0

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	8	10	12	14	13	11	1	3	4	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0