How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Average seed
Ottawa 2 San Jose 1 +0.1
New Jersey 3 Los Angeles 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs St Louis-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the St Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
8490-04.7%No00528472006,501
8380-10.7No01104343306,640
8281-00.1No0330588049,597
70-20.0No032959903,041
8171-1OutNo11365201046,500
60-3OutNo11265201785
8072-0OutNo06593230175,721
61-2OutNo0558333019,127
50-4OutNo456356139
7962-1OutNo01434790144,408
51-3OutNo14248904,378
40-5OutNo47421119
7863-0OutNo02952180362,079
52-2OutNo0285219050,361
41-4OutNo02951190665
30-6OutNo1001
7753-1OutNo01450332254,123
42-3OutNo014503429,905
31-5OutNo9603165
7654-0OutNo0741475478,916
43-2OutNo064048674,511
32-4OutNo6385151,203
21-6OutNo67333
7544-1OutNo2265715280,705
33-3OutNo226571511,589
22-5OutNo123581980
7445-0OutNo1155925423,195
34-2OutNo114602565,547
23-4OutNo01658251,039
12-6OutNo33673
7335-1OutNo065044198,588
24-3OutNo0649447,662
13-5OutNo4534245
7236-0OutNo024156249,219
25-2OutNo02415734,868
14-4OutNo43858427
03-6OutNo50502
7126-1OutNo1257487,783
15-3OutNo126732,695
04-5OutNo188211
7027-0OutNo0188294,031
16-2OutNo0188210,321
05-4OutNo3187978
6917-1OutNo089222,089
06-3OutNo793431
6818-0OutNo059520,802
07-2OutNo4961,289
6708-1OutNo2982,400
6609-0OutNo1992,313
Total:0.0%No00001142836203,205,900
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 3 Los Angeles 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs St Louis+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8490-00050041630301320
8380-101031533321420
8281-00004183830810
70-20003173832810
8171-1005234125610
60-30323412471
8072-00011035371530
61-201933371630
50-4929401651
7962-10021737321110
51-302153633121
40-5114726115
7863-000727382350
52-200726382450
41-4072537265
30-6100
7753-101113238161
42-301123238161
31-59403812
7654-00042142293
43-20042042303
32-4041842333
21-6333333
7544-1018334711
33-3018334711
22-56294818
7445-0003225421
34-2003215422
23-403235222
12-63367
7335-10095041
24-3094942
13-595636
7236-00044254
25-2044155
14-444056
03-65050
7126-1012673
15-312673
04-51882
7027-0001882
16-2001882
05-431879
6917-10891
06-3793
6818-00595
07-2496
6708-1298
6609-0199
Total:000000001251015212819