Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 91%

84 points 40 28-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey 3 Los Angeles 5	+0.6
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)	+0.4
Carolina 4 Chicago 2			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh vs St Louis	+4.4+4.3+3.6-0.1-0.1-4.9		+0.5+0.5+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	-1.2-1.3-1.0+0.2+0.3+1.3		-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles	-0.6-0.5-0.6+0.1-0.0+0.6
Nashville vs Montreal	+0.5+0.0+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5
Columbus vs Anaheim			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

104	10	0		-	0	In		3.9	%	33	62	4	0	0												3,475
103	9	0		-	1	In		1.1		16	68	15	1	1												3,699
102	9	1		-	0	In		0.2		9	68	20	3	1												27,448
	8	0		-	2	In		0.2		7	65	24	2	2												1,923
101	8	1		-	1	In		0.0		2	54	31	8	5	0											29,186
	7	0		-	3	In		No		2	46	34	11	7	0											556
100	8	2		-	0	In		0.0		1	43	29	17	10	0	0										109,341
	7	1		-	2	In		No		1	37	30	18	13	0	0										13,672
	6	0		-	4	In		No		2	35	33	18	11	1											123
99	7	2		-	1	In		No		0	23	25	27	24	1	0										102,372
	6	1		-	3	In		No		0	20	24	27	28	1	0										3,733
	5	0		-	5	In		No			18	14	45	23												22
98	7	3		-	0	In		No		0	14	15	34	34	2	1	0									258,688
	6	2		-	2	In		No		0	11	13	32	40	3	1	0									42,200
	5	1		-	4	In		No			6	12	33	43	3	3										670	*
97	6	3		-	1	In		No			4	7	29	46	9	5	0									211,622
	5	2		-	3	In		No			3	5	25	48	10	8	0									9,817
	4	1		-	5	In		No			3	4	25	42	16	10										79	*
96	6	4		-	0	100.0	%	No			2	2	22	46	17	11	0	0								399,915
	5	3		-	2	100.0		No			1	1	17	46	19	16	1	0								74,006
	4	2		-	4	In		No			1	1	12	44	22	20	1									1,490	*
95	5	4		-	1	100.0		No			0	0	9	30	27	31	3	0								281,213
	4	3		-	3	99.9		No			0	0	6	25	26	38	4	0								14,429
	3	2		-	5	In		No			1		6	19	20	51	4									140
94	5	5		-	0	99.8		No			0	0	4	19	29	41	7	0	0							424,443
	4	4		-	2	99.6		No			0	0	2	15	26	47	9	0	0							82,025
	3	3		-	4	99.3		No					1	11	23	51	13	1	0							1,706	*
93	4	5		-	1	97.5		No				0	1	4	17	52	24	2	0							247,086
	3	4		-	3	96.6		No					0	3	12	54	28	3	0							12,699
	2	3		-	5	96.9		No						2	9	46	39	3								127
92	4	6		-	0	93.1		No				0	0	2	11	46	34	7	0	0	0					311,953
	3	5		-	2	89.8		No					0	1	7	44	38	9	1	0						57,811
	2	4		-	4	86.0		No						0	6	38	42	13	1							1,111	*
91	3	6		-	1	72.4		No					0	0	2	24	46	23	4	0	0					145,679
	2	5		-	3	67.5		No							1	22	45	27	5	0	0					6,755
	1	4		-	5	64.3		No								20	45	23	13							56
90	3	7		-	0	53.9		No						0	1	13	40	34	11	1	0					156,830
	2	6		-	2	46.3		No						0	0	10	36	38	14	2	0					25,861
	1	5		-	4	39.6		No								7	32	41	16	3	0					407
89	2	7		-	1	21.4		No							0	2	19	40	29	9	1	0				55,179
	1	6		-	3	16.9		No								2	15	40	31	10	1					1,977	*
88	2	8		-	0	9.5		No							0	1	9	29	38	20	4	0	0			52,301
	1	7		-	2	6.3		No								0	6	25	39	24	6	0	0			6,498
	0	6		-	4	3.6		No									4	18	38	30	9	2				56
87	1	8		-	1	1.3		No								0	1	11	32	37	17	2	0			11,966
	0	7		-	3	1.6		No									2	10	28	38	19	3				250
86	1	9		-	0	0.3		No									0	4	19	37	30	9	1			10,181
	0	8		-	2	0.1		No									0	2	18	34	32	13	1			706
85	0	9		-	1	Out		No										1	6	22	42	25	4	0		1,219
84	0	10		-	0	Out		No											1	11	35	40	13	0		1,199

Total:						91.0	%	0.0	%	0	6	5	11	21	13	23	12	5	2	1	0	0	0	0		3,205,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina 4 Chicago 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs St Louis	-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.0
Columbus vs Anaheim	+0.1+0.2+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.2
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

104	10	0		-	0	4	29	62	1	4	1	0		0
103	9	0		-	1	1	15	66	2	11	4	1		1
102	9	1		-	0	0	9	62	5	12	7	3		1	0
	8	0		-	2	0	7	58	7	16	8	2		2
101	8	1		-	1	0	2	45	9	14	17	8	0	5	0	0
	7	0		-	3		2	35	12	13	21	11	0	7		0
100	8	2		-	0	0	1	31	12	9	20	17	0	10	1	0		0
	7	1		-	2		1	24	13	9	22	18	0	13	1	0		0
	6	0		-	4		2	20	15	4	29	17	1	11		1
99	7	2		-	1		0	13	10	4	21	26	1	20	3	1		0
	6	1		-	3		0	10	10	4	20	26	2	24	4	1		0
	5	0		-	5			5	14	5	9	45		23
98	7	3		-	0		0	6	8	1	14	30	4	24	10	2		1		0
	6	2		-	2		0	3	7	1	13	27	5	28	11	3	0	1		0
	5	1		-	4			2	4	1	11	26	7	29	14	3		3
97	6	3		-	1			1	3	0	6	21	7	27	19	9	0	5		0
	5	2		-	3			0	3	0	5	17	8	28	20	10	0	8		0
	4	1		-	5				3		4	14	11	29	13	16		10
96	6	4		-	0			0	2	0	2	13	9	17	29	16	0	11	0	0		0
	5	3		-	2			0	1	0	1	8	9	17	29	19	0	16	0	1		0
	4	2		-	4				1		1	6	6	16	28	21	1	20		1
95	5	4		-	1			0	0		0	3	6	7	22	26	1	31	0	3		0
	4	3		-	3			0	0		0	2	4	6	19	25	1	38	0	4		0
	3	2		-	5				1				6	5	14	19	1	51		4
94	5	5		-	0			0	0		0	1	3	2	17	25	4	40	1	7		0	0
	4	4		-	2				0		0	0	2	1	13	21	4	47	1	9		0	0
	3	3		-	4							0	1	1	10	19	4	50	1	13		1	0
93	4	5		-	1						0	0	0	0	4	12	5	50	2	24	0	2	0
	3	4		-	3							0	0	0	2	9	4	51	3	28	0	3	0
	2	3		-	5										2	3	6	45	2	39		3
92	4	6		-	0						0	0	0	0	2	6	5	40	6	34	0	7	0	0	0
	3	5		-	2								0	0	1	3	4	37	6	38	0	9	1	0
	2	4		-	4										0	3	3	33	5	42	0	13	1
91	3	6		-	1								0		0	1	1	18	6	45	1	23	4	0	0
	2	5		-	3											0	1	16	6	44	1	27	5	0	0
	1	4		-	5													14	5	41	4	23	13
90	3	7		-	0										0	0	1	7	6	37	3	34	11	1	0
	2	6		-	2										0	0	0	5	5	33	3	37	14	2	0
	1	5		-	4													4	4	29	3	41	16	3	0
89	2	7		-	1											0	0	1	2	15	4	39	29	9	1	0
	1	6		-	3													0	1	12	3	40	32	11	1	0
88	2	8		-	0												0	0	1	5	4	27	37	21	5	0	0
	1	7		-	2													0	0	3	3	23	38	25	7	1	0
	0	6		-	4															2	2	14	38	32	11	2
87	1	8		-	1														0	0	1	8	27	36	21	5	1	0
	0	7		-	3															0	1	7	26	36	24	6	1
86	1	9		-	0															0	0	2	12	28	34	19	5	1
	0	8		-	2																0	1	10	28	29	22	8	1
85	0	9		-	1																	0	2	10	26	33	21	7	1	0
84	0	10		-	0																		0	1	10	26	37	20	5	0

Total:						0	0	3	2	1	4	8	3	9	12	11	2	21	2	12	0	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0