Nashville Predators Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 97.3%

83 points 40 30-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton 5 Winnipeg 6 (so)	-0.3
Calgary 4 Colorado 3 (so)	-0.2
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)	-0.2
Dallas 2 Buffalo 1 (so)			-0.1
Carolina 4 Chicago 2			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville vs Montreal	+1.6+1.6+1.5+0.3+0.4-1.9		+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.3
Vancouver vs Winnipeg	+0.5*+0.2+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	+0.5+0.2+0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4
Detroit vs Arizona	+0.5-0.0-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

101	9	0		-	0	In		No		1	87	6	6	0												6,379
100	8	0		-	1	In		No		0	72	9	17	2	0											6,489
99	8	1		-	0	In		0.0	%	0	61	6	28	4	1											49,629
	7	0		-	2	In		No		0	59	6	29	5	1											3,074
98	7	1		-	1	In		No			37	4	43	11	4											46,527
	6	0		-	3	In		No			36	3	43	12	5											889
97	7	2		-	0	In		No			26	2	48	14	10											176,378
	6	1		-	2	In		No			23	2	49	14	11											18,808
	5	0		-	4	In		No			23	1	47	10	18											137
96	6	2		-	1	In		No			10	0	43	18	28	0										144,589
	5	1		-	3	In		No			8	0	41	18	32	0										4,556
	4	0		-	5	In		No			10		35	10	45											20
95	6	3		-	0	In		No			6	0	37	16	42	0	0									361,744
	5	2		-	2	In		No			5	0	35	15	45	0										50,166
	4	1		-	4	In		No			5		34	11	50											644
94	5	3		-	1	In		No			1	0	21	10	67	1	0									254,297
	4	2		-	3	In		No			1		19	10	70	1	0									9,968
	3	1		-	5	In		No			1		24	6	65	4										79
93	5	4		-	0	In		No			1	0	14	7	77	2	0									480,244
	4	3		-	2	In		No			0	0	13	6	78	2	0									74,390
	3	2		-	4	In		No			0		12	3	82	2	0									1,102
	2	1		-	6	In		No							100											3
92	4	4		-	1	100.0	%	No			0	0	5	2	88	4	1	0								280,701
	3	3		-	3	100.0		No			0		5	2	86	7	1	0								11,618
	2	2		-	5	In		No					6	2	82	10										100
	1	1		-	7	In		No							100											1
91	4	5		-	0	99.9		No			0		3	1	85	9	2	0								422,601
	3	4		-	2	99.9		No			0		2	1	84	10	2	0								66,085
	2	3		-	4	99.9		No					3	0	81	12	3	0								1,032
90	3	5		-	1	99.4		No					1	0	79	13	7	1	0							198,160
	2	4		-	3	98.9		No					1	0	69	18	11	1	0							7,813
	1	3		-	5	98.1		No							68	17	13	2								53
89	3	6		-	0	96.9		No					0	0	64	17	16	3	0							249,288
	2	5		-	2	95.9		No					0	0	62	17	17	4	0							34,885
	1	4		-	4	95.7		No					0		59	17	20	4	1							460
	0	3		-	6	In		No							100											1
88	2	6		-	1	88.5		No					0		50	13	26	11	1	0						87,635
	1	5		-	3	80.2		No							38	13	29	18	2							2,747
	0	4		-	5	40.0		No									40	60								5
87	2	7		-	0	71.1		No					0		30	9	32	25	4	0						93,406
	1	6		-	2	67.9		No					0		29	8	31	27	5							10,368
	0	5		-	4	55.4		No							19	9	27	30	15							74
86	1	7		-	1	46.6		No							18	3	25	40	13	0						21,813
	0	6		-	3	34.7		No							9	4	21	42	23	0						426
85	1	8		-	0	22.5		No							7	1	15	46	31	1						20,671
	0	7		-	2	18.1		No							5	1	12	46	35	1						1,267
84	0	8		-	1	8.1		No							3		5	39	48	5						2,346
83	0	9		-	0	1.6		No							1		1	21	66	11	0					2,232

Total:						97.3	%	0.0	%	0	5	0	16	6	60	5	4	2	1	0	0					3,205,900

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas 2 Buffalo 1 (so)	+0.2
Carolina 4 Chicago 2	-0.1
Edmonton 5 Winnipeg 6 (so)	+0.1
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nashville vs Montreal	-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.8
Vancouver vs Winnipeg	-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Columbus vs Anaheim	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

101	9	0		-	0		1	38	48	4	3	5	0	0
100	8	0		-	1		0	20	51	4	5	16	2	2	0	0
99	8	1		-	0	0	0	9	53	1	5	22	5	4	0	1
	7	0		-	2		0	9	50	1	5	22	7	4	0	1
98	7	1		-	1			2	35	0	4	25	18	9	2	4	0
	6	0		-	3			1	35	0	3	26	18	10	3	5
97	7	2		-	0			0	26	0	2	18	31	9	5	9	0
	6	1		-	2			0	23	0	2	16	33	8	6	11	0
	5	0		-	4			1	23		1	12	36	7	4	18
96	6	2		-	1			0	10	0	0	7	36	7	11	25	3	0
	5	1		-	3			0	8		0	6	36	6	12	28	4	0
	4	0		-	5				10			5	30	5	5	35	10
95	6	3		-	0			0	6		0	2	34	2	14	29	12	0	0	0
	5	2		-	2				5		0	2	33	2	13	32	14	0	0
	4	1		-	4				5			2	33	1	10	33	17
94	5	3		-	1				1		0	0	20	0	10	34	34	0	0	0	0
	4	2		-	3				1			0	18	0	10	33	36	0	0	0	0
	3	1		-	5				1				24		6	28	37	1	3
93	5	4		-	0				1		0	0	14	0	7	22	55	1	1	0	0
	4	3		-	2				0		0	0	13	0	6	21	57	1	1	0	0
	3	2		-	4				0			0	12	0	3	22	60	1	2		0
	2	1		-	6											33	67
92	4	4		-	1				0		0	0	5	0	2	14	73	1	4	0	0	0
	3	3		-	3				0				5		2	12	73	1	6	0	0	0
	2	2		-	5								6		2	12	70	1	9
	1	1		-	7												100
91	4	5		-	0				0			0	3		1	6	79	0	9	1	1	0	0	0	0
	3	4		-	2				0			0	2		1	5	79	0	10	1	2	0	0	0	0
	2	3		-	4								3		0	4	77	0	12	0	3	0
90	3	5		-	1								1		0	2	77	0	13	1	6	0	0	0	0
	2	4		-	3								1		0	2	67	0	18	1	10	0	0	0	0
	1	3		-	5												68		17	6	8				2
89	3	6		-	0								0		0	0	63	0	17	0	16	1	1	1	0	0	0
	2	5		-	2								0		0	0	61	0	17	0	17	1	1	1	1	0
	1	4		-	4								0			1	58		17	1	19	1	2	1	0
	0	3		-	6												100
88	2	6		-	1								0			0	50		13	0	25	1	2	4	3	1	0	0
	1	5		-	3												38		13	0	29	1	3	7	6	2	0
	0	4		-	5																40			60
87	2	7		-	0								0			0	30		9		32	0	2	7	11	7	2	0	0
	1	6		-	2								0				29		8		31	0	2	7	12	9	3	0	0
	0	5		-	4												19		9		27			8	22	9	4	1
86	1	7		-	1												18		3		25	0	0	3	13	20	13	3	0	0
	0	6		-	3												9		4		21			2	15	22	21	5	1
85	1	8		-	0												7		1		15	0	0	1	8	23	29	14	2	0
	0	7		-	2												5		1		12			1	7	25	30	15	3	0
84	0	8		-	1												3				5		0		1	10	31	34	14	2	0
83	0	9		-	0												1				1				0	2	16	39	32	8	1

Total:						0	0	0	5	0	0	2	13	1	5	14	46	0	5	0	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0