Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Beat New Jersey 5-3, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.1%

66 points 29 35-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey 3 Los Angeles 5	+0.1		+0.3
Ottawa 2 San Jose 1			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.3-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3
Pittsburgh vs St Louis			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

86	10	0		-	0	33.5	%	No							5	28	43	21	3						3,295
85	9	0		-	1	11.5		No							1	11	39	38	11	0					3,669
84	9	1		-	0	4.2		No							0	4	25	48	23	0					27,596
	8	0		-	2	2.9		No							0	3	22	49	26	0					1,947
83	8	1		-	1	0.6		No							0	1	9	42	46	2					29,086
	7	0		-	3	0.5		No								0	10	39	48	3	0				629
82	8	2		-	0	0.1		No							0	0	3	31	61	4	0				109,855
	7	1		-	2	0.1		No								0	3	29	63	6	0				13,525
	6	0		-	4	Out		No									1	25	67	7	1				126
81	7	2		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	14	71	14	0				102,831
	6	1		-	3	Out		No									0	12	72	15	0				3,778
	5	0		-	5	Out		No										31	62	8					13
80	7	3		-	0	0.0		No								0	0	7	70	22	1	0			258,725
	6	2		-	2	Out		No									0	6	68	25	1	0			42,052
	5	1		-	4	Out		No										6	66	26	2				618	*
79	6	3		-	1	Out		No									0	2	54	40	4	0			211,643
	5	2		-	3	Out		No									0	1	51	43	5	0			10,036
	4	1		-	5	Out		No										1	45	47	5	1			77
78	6	4		-	0	Out		No									0	0	43	48	9	0			399,741
	5	3		-	2	Out		No									0	0	39	50	11	0			74,614
	4	2		-	4	Out		No										0	36	50	14	0			1,392	*
77	5	4		-	1	Out		No										0	22	54	22	2			280,294
	4	3		-	3	Out		No										0	20	53	25	2			14,540
	3	2		-	5	Out		No											14	53	29	4			120
76	5	5		-	0	Out		No										0	14	51	32	4			422,784
	4	4		-	2	Out		No										0	11	48	36	5			81,859
	3	3		-	4	Out		No											9	45	39	7			1,754	*
75	4	5		-	1	Out		No											4	36	47	13			248,310
	3	4		-	3	Out		No											3	33	49	15			12,862
	2	3		-	5	Out		No											3	25	48	24			112
74	4	6		-	0	Out		No											2	26	51	21			310,818
	3	5		-	2	Out		No											1	21	52	25			58,464
	2	4		-	4	Out		No											1	17	51	31			1,149	*
73	3	6		-	1	Out		No											0	10	46	43			145,789
	2	5		-	3	Out		No											0	9	43	47			6,785
	1	4		-	5	Out		No												6	39	55			66	*
72	3	7		-	0	Out		No											0	6	39	55			156,921
	2	6		-	2	Out		No											0	4	36	59			25,802
	1	5		-	4	Out		No												2	36	62			417	*
71	2	7		-	1	Out		No											0	1	22	77			55,658
	1	6		-	3	Out		No												1	20	79			2,006	*
70	2	8		-	0	Out		No												1	15	84			51,854
	1	7		-	2	Out		No												0	13	87			6,376
	0	6		-	4	Out		No												2	10	88			49
69	1	8		-	1	Out		No												0	5	95			12,141
	0	7		-	3	Out		No													7	93			269
68	1	9		-	0	Out		No												0	3	97			10,326
	0	8		-	2	Out		No													3	97			738
67	0	9		-	1	Out		No													0	100			1,233
66	0	10		-	0	Out		No													0	100			1,156

Total:						0.1	%	No							0	0	1	3	27	32	24	13			3,205,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Jersey 3 Los Angeles 5	-0.5

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles	+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Pittsburgh vs St Louis	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

86	10	0		-	0														5		28	0	3	14	21	19	7	1	0
85	9	0		-	1														1		11		0	4	14	28	27	12	3	0
84	9	1		-	0														0		4		0	1	4	16	31	29	12	2	0
	8	0		-	2														0		3			0	3	15	30	32	14	2	0
83	8	1		-	1														0		1			0	0	3	15	33	34	13	1	0
	7	0		-	3																0				0	3	14	30	37	14	2
82	8	2		-	0														0		0				0	0	4	20	40	29	6	0	0
	7	1		-	2																0				0	0	4	19	39	31	7	1	0
	6	0		-	4																						2	18	37	32	9	2
81	7	2		-	1																0					0	0	5	25	43	22	4	0	0
	6	1		-	3																						0	5	24	43	23	4	0
	5	0		-	5																							8	23	46	23
80	7	3		-	0																0					0	0	1	12	39	35	11	1	0
	6	2		-	2																						0	1	11	38	36	13	2	0
	5	1		-	4																							1	11	35	37	13	3	0
79	6	3		-	1																						0	0	3	20	40	28	8	1	0
	5	2		-	3																							0	2	19	39	30	9	1	0
	4	1		-	5																								4	17	32	35	10	1
78	6	4		-	0																							0	1	10	33	38	17	2	0
	5	3		-	2																							0	1	9	31	38	18	3	0
	4	2		-	4																								0	7	29	40	20	4	0
77	5	4		-	1																								0	2	15	37	35	11	1
	4	3		-	3																								0	2	13	35	36	12	1
	3	2		-	5																									1	9	34	39	16	1
76	5	5		-	0																								0	1	7	28	42	20	2
	4	4		-	2																									0	6	26	42	23	3
	3	3		-	4																								0	0	5	24	40	26	4
75	4	5		-	1																									0	1	11	38	39	10
	3	4		-	3																									0	1	10	37	40	11
	2	3		-	5																										2	5	30	48	14
74	4	6		-	0																									0	0	6	29	47	18
	3	5		-	2																									0	0	4	26	48	21
	2	4		-	4																										0	3	21	49	27
73	3	6		-	1																										0	1	13	46	41
	2	5		-	3																										0	1	11	44	44
	1	4		-	5																												9	38	53
72	3	7		-	0																										0	0	7	39	53
	2	6		-	2																										0	0	5	37	57
	1	5		-	4																												3	38	59
71	2	7		-	1																											0	2	23	76
	1	6		-	3																												1	21	78
70	2	8		-	0																											0	1	16	84
	1	7		-	2																												0	13	86
	0	6		-	4																												2	10	88
69	1	8		-	1																												0	5	95
	0	7		-	3																													7	93
68	1	9		-	0																												0	3	97
	0	8		-	2																													3	97
67	0	9		-	1																													0	100
66	0	10		-	0																													0	100

Total:																			0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	10	14	18	20	18	12