Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Beat Buffalo 2-1 (so), playoff odds up 0.03 to 99.98%

88 points 39 24-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas 2 Buffalo 1 (so)	+0.1		+0.3
Carolina 4 Chicago 2			+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver vs Winnipeg	-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Montreal			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

106	9	0		-	0	In		28.6	%	46	54	0														6,423
105	8	0		-	1	In		13.1		31	68	0														6,521
104	8	1		-	0	In		5.6		18	82	0	0													49,789
	7	0		-	2	In		4.6		16	84	0														3,077
103	7	1		-	1	In		1.4		10	89	1	0													46,472
	6	0		-	3	In		1.0		7	92	1	0													888
102	7	2		-	0	In		0.3		4	94	2	1													175,261
	6	1		-	2	In		0.2		3	94	2	1													18,920
	5	0		-	4	In		No		3	95	3														152
101	6	2		-	1	In		0.0		1	93	3	3													144,282
	5	1		-	3	In		No		1	92	3	4													4,448
	4	0		-	5	In		No			100															14
100	6	3		-	0	In		0.0		0	90	4	6	0	0											362,223
	5	2		-	2	In		0.0		0	89	4	8	0												50,165
	4	1		-	4	In		No			85	5	11													687
99	5	3		-	1	In		No		0	81	3	16	0	0											254,069
	4	2		-	3	In		No		0	79	3	17	0	0											9,939
	3	1		-	5	In		No			88		12													68
98	5	4		-	0	In		No		0	73	3	24	0	0											478,845
	4	3		-	2	In		No		0	70	2	27	0	0											74,229
	3	2		-	4	In		No			61	2	36	1	1											1,154
	2	1		-	6	In		No			71		29													7
97	4	4		-	1	In		No			57	1	40	1	1											280,779
	3	3		-	3	In		No		0	55	1	41	1	1											11,588
	2	2		-	5	In		No			53	2	44	1												87
96	4	5		-	0	In		No			45	1	49	2	3											423,788
	3	4		-	2	In		No			42	0	51	2	5											66,088
	2	3		-	4	In		No			35	0	55	3	7											1,031
95	3	5		-	1	In		No			28	0	60	3	10	0										198,515
	2	4		-	3	In		No			25	0	59	3	12	0										7,574
	1	3		-	5	In		No			27		56	4	13											48
94	3	6		-	0	In		No			17	0	57	3	23	0	0									248,782
	2	5		-	2	In		No			15	0	55	3	27	0										35,124
	1	4		-	4	In		No			12		49	2	37											451
93	2	6		-	1	In		No			7	0	50	2	40	1	0									87,475
	1	5		-	3	In		No			7		44	2	46	1	0									2,734
	0	4		-	5	In		No			10		40		50											10
92	2	7		-	0	100.0	%	No			3		35	1	59	2	0	0								94,633
	1	6		-	2	In		No			3		30	1	65	2	0									10,176
	0	5		-	4	In		No			2		23	1	74											84
91	1	7		-	1	99.9		No			1		20	0	70	7	1	0								22,074
	0	6		-	3	In		No			0		16	0	74	9	1									418
90	1	8		-	0	99.4		No			0		9	0	75	10	5	1	0							20,647
	0	7		-	2	99.6		No			0		6		78	9	7	0								1,325
89	0	8		-	1	96.6		No			0		2		64	15	15	3	0							2,482
88	0	9		-	0	88.5		No			0		0		54	10	24	11	0							2,354

Total:						100.0	%	0.2	%	1	59	2	29	1	7	0	0	0	0							3,205,900

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas 2 Buffalo 1 (so)	-0.6
Carolina 4 Chicago 2	-0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nashville vs Montreal	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

106	9	0		-	0	29	18	53	0	0
105	8	0		-	1	13	18	66	2	0
104	8	1		-	0	6	13	76	6	0	0	0
	7	0		-	2	5	11	77	7	0
103	7	1		-	1	1	8	73	17	1	0	0
	6	0		-	3	1	6	73	19	1		0
102	7	2		-	0	0	3	66	28	1	0	1	0
	6	1		-	2	0	3	63	31	2	0	1
	5	0		-	4		3	70	24	3
101	6	2		-	1	0	1	45	47	2	1	3	0
	5	1		-	3		1	44	49	2	1	4	0
	4	0		-	5			43	57
100	6	3		-	0	0	0	31	59	2	2	6	0	0	0	0
	5	2		-	2	0	0	28	61	2	2	7	0	0
	4	1		-	4			23	62	2	2	10	1
99	5	3		-	1		0	14	67	1	2	13	2	0	0	0
	4	2		-	3		0	13	67	1	2	14	3	0	0	0
	3	1		-	5			15	74			10	1
98	5	4		-	0		0	7	66	0	2	17	7	0	0	0	0
	4	3		-	2		0	5	65	0	2	17	9	0	0	0	0
	3	2		-	4			3	58	0	1	22	14	1	0	1
	2	1		-	6				71			29
97	4	4		-	1			1	56	0	1	18	22	1	0	1	0
	3	3		-	3		0	1	54	0	1	17	24	1	1	1	0
	2	2		-	5				53		2	25	18	1
96	4	5		-	0			0	45	0	1	13	37	1	1	3	0
	3	4		-	2			0	42	0	0	11	40	1	1	4	0
	2	3		-	4			0	35		0	9	46	1	2	7	1
95	3	5		-	1			0	28		0	6	54	1	2	7	2	0	0
	2	4		-	3				25		0	5	54	0	3	9	3	0
	1	3		-	5				27			4	52	2	2	10	2
94	3	6		-	0			0	17		0	2	55	0	3	13	9	0	0	0
	2	5		-	2				15		0	1	54	0	3	15	12	0	0
	1	4		-	4				12			2	47	0	1	21	16
93	2	6		-	1				7		0	0	49	0	2	12	27	0	0	0	0
	1	5		-	3				7			0	44		2	13	33	0	1	0
	0	4		-	5				10				40				50
92	2	7		-	0				3			0	35		1	11	48	1	1	0	0	0
	1	6		-	2				3			0	30		1	12	53	0	2	0	0
	0	5		-	4				2				23		1	11	63
91	1	7		-	1				1			0	20		0	5	65	1	6	1	1	0	0
	0	6		-	3				0				16		0	6	68	1	8	0	0
90	1	8		-	0				0				9		0	3	72	0	10	1	4	0	0	0
	0	7		-	2				0				6			2	75	0	9	2	4	0	0	0
89	0	8		-	1				0				2			1	64		15	1	15	1	1	1	0
88	0	9		-	0				0				0			0	54		10	0	24	2	4	4	2	0

Total:						0	1	15	44	1	1	9	20	0	1	3	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0