Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 99.4%

88 points 40 24-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey 3 Los Angeles 5	+0.1
Carolina 4 Chicago 2					-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Columbus vs Anaheim	+0.4+0.4+0.4+0.1*+0.1-0.5		+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.2-0.1-0.4		+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.0-0.4
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles	-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs St Louis					-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Winnipeg			-0.2-0.3-0.2+0.0-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

108	10	0		-	0	In		50.9	%	85	14	0														3,434
107	9	0		-	1	In		35.4		71	28	1														3,586
106	9	1		-	0	In		20.2		62	36	2														27,906
	8	0		-	2	In		20.1		62	35	3														1,945
105	8	1		-	1	In		9.8		42	52	6	0													28,868
	7	0		-	3	In		12.5		44	50	6														602
104	8	2		-	0	In		3.7		31	60	9	0													109,688
	7	1		-	2	In		3.5		31	60	9	0	0												13,637
	6	0		-	4	In		5.0		27	61	11	1													141
103	7	2		-	1	In		1.0		15	66	18	1	0												103,108
	6	1		-	3	In		0.7		15	64	20	1	0												3,797
	5	0		-	5	In		No			93	7														14
102	7	3		-	0	In		0.2		8	66	23	3	0												258,292
	6	2		-	2	In		0.2		8	66	23	3	0												42,325
	5	1		-	4	In		0.3		7	67	22	3	1												665	*
101	6	3		-	1	In		0.0		2	56	32	9	1												211,642
	5	2		-	3	In		0.0		2	55	33	9	1												9,907
	4	1		-	5	In		No		4	58	23	14	1												81
100	6	4		-	0	In		0.0		1	47	32	18	2	0	0										399,436
	5	3		-	2	In		No		1	46	33	18	2	0											74,307
	4	2		-	4	In		No		1	45	32	19	3												1,480	*
99	5	4		-	1	In		No		0	30	31	33	6	0	0										280,460
	4	3		-	3	In		No		0	28	31	33	7	0	0										14,480
	3	2		-	5	In		No			28	30	33	8	1	1										130
98	5	5		-	0	In		No		0	20	21	46	11	1	0	0									421,850
	4	4		-	2	In		No		0	19	20	46	15	1	0	0									82,466
	3	3		-	4	In		No			18	18	45	17	2	0										1,669	*
97	4	5		-	1	In		No			8	12	50	23	5	2	0									247,825
	3	4		-	3	In		No			7	11	48	25	7	2	0									12,830
	2	3		-	5	In		No			9	6	45	30	3	8										105
96	4	6		-	0	100.0	%	No			4	5	47	28	12	5	0	0								312,024
	3	5		-	2	100.0		No			3	4	40	31	15	7	0	0								58,273
	2	4		-	4	In		No			2	3	37	34	17	8	0									1,179	*
95	3	6		-	1	100.0		No			1	1	26	25	27	18	2	0								146,821
	2	5		-	3	99.9		No			0	1	21	24	29	23	2	0								6,802
	1	4		-	5	In		No					22	28	20	25	5									60
94	3	7		-	0	99.8		No			0	0	16	18	33	29	4	0	0							157,181
	2	6		-	2	99.6		No			0	0	10	15	32	35	7	0	0							25,329
	1	5		-	4	99.5		No					7	13	34	38	7	0								435	*
93	2	7		-	1	97.5		No				0	3	5	26	44	20	2	0							54,980
	1	6		-	3	96.5		No					2	3	22	45	24	3								1,994	*
92	2	8		-	0	92.3		No					1	2	17	42	31	7	1	0						52,056
	1	7		-	2	88.3		No					0	1	12	38	37	11	1	0						6,480
	0	6		-	4	84.5		No						2	7	40	36	16								58
91	1	8		-	1	65.8		No					0	0	4	21	41	28	6	0						12,103
	0	7		-	3	59.1		No							2	21	37	30	10	1						257
90	1	9		-	0	44.8		No					0	0	1	10	33	37	16	3	0					10,152
	0	8		-	2	37.3		No							1	6	31	38	21	5						711
89	0	9		-	1	10.3		No								1	9	34	37	16	3	0				1,208
88	0	10		-	0	3.6		No								0	3	18	39	30	9	1				1,121

Total:						99.4	%	0.6	%	4	29	18	25	10	6	5	2	0	0	0	0	0				3,205,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina 4 Chicago 2	+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Columbus vs Anaheim	-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.1+0.1+0.9
Pittsburgh vs St Louis	+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Florida	-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	10	0		-	0	51	35	14		0
107	9	0		-	1	35	36	28		1
106	9	1		-	0	20	42	36	0	2	0
	8	0		-	2	20	42	35	0	2	0
105	8	1		-	1	10	32	52	0	6	0	0
	7	0		-	3	12	32	50	0	5	0
104	8	2		-	0	4	27	59	1	8	1	0
	7	1		-	2	4	27	59	1	8	1	0		0
	6	0		-	4	5	22	58	3	11	1	1
103	7	2		-	1	1	14	64	2	13	4	1		0
	6	1		-	3	1	14	62	3	15	5	1		0
	5	0		-	5			93		7
102	7	3		-	0	0	8	60	6	15	8	3	0	0
	6	2		-	2	0	8	58	8	15	8	3	0	0
	5	1		-	4	0	7	56	11	15	7	3		1
101	6	3		-	1	0	2	46	10	15	18	8	0	0	0
	5	2		-	3	0	2	44	11	15	18	9	0	1	0
	4	1		-	5		4	43	15	15	9	14		1
100	6	4		-	0	0	1	33	14	10	22	18	0	2	0	0		0
	5	3		-	2		1	29	17	10	23	18	0	2	0	0
	4	2		-	4		1	27	18	9	23	19	1	3	0
99	5	4		-	1		0	16	14	5	26	31	2	5	1	0		0
	4	3		-	3		0	14	14	5	27	31	2	6	1	0		0
	3	2		-	5			15	12	5	25	31	2	5	2	1		1
98	5	5		-	0		0	7	13	2	19	41	6	8	3	1	0	0		0
	4	4		-	2		0	6	13	1	18	38	8	10	5	1	0	0		0
	3	3		-	4			5	13	1	17	35	10	11	6	2		0
97	4	5		-	1			2	6	0	11	36	14	13	11	5	0	2		0
	3	4		-	3			1	6	0	11	32	15	13	12	7	0	2		0
	2	3		-	5				9		6	24	21	16	14	3		8
96	4	6		-	0			0	3	0	4	26	21	10	19	12	0	5	0	0		0
	3	5		-	2			0	3	0	4	19	21	10	22	14	0	7	0	0		0
	2	4		-	4				2		3	14	22	10	24	16	0	8		0
95	3	6		-	1			0	1	0	1	9	17	5	20	26	2	18	0	2		0
	2	5		-	3			0	0		1	6	15	4	20	27	2	23	0	2		0
	1	4		-	5							2	20	3	25	18	2	25		5
94	3	7		-	0			0	0		0	3	13	1	17	27	5	28	0	4		0	0
	2	6		-	2				0		0	1	9	1	14	26	6	35	1	7		0	0
	1	5		-	4							1	6	1	13	27	7	37	1	7		0
93	2	7		-	1						0	0	3	0	5	18	8	42	2	20	0	2	0
	1	6		-	3							0	2	0	3	15	7	43	2	24		3
92	2	8		-	0							0	1	0	2	8	9	37	5	31	0	7	1	0
	1	7		-	2								0	0	1	5	6	33	5	37	0	11	1	0
	0	6		-	4										2	3	3	33	7	36		16
91	1	8		-	1								0		0	1	2	15	5	41	1	27	6	0
	0	7		-	3											0	2	18	2	36	0	30	10	1
90	1	9		-	0								0		0	0	1	5	5	31	2	37	16	3	0
	0	8		-	2												1	3	3	28	3	37	21	5
89	0	9		-	1													0	1	8	1	33	37	16	3	0
88	0	10		-	0														0	2	2	17	38	31	10	1

Total:						1	3	22	8	5	12	19	6	5	6	5	1	5	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0