Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.04 to 51.9%

5 points 2 0-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	+0.3

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4			-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

123	-163						In		Yes		100																No		82	*
122		54	16		-	9	In		Yes		98				3												No		40	*
121		55	18		-	6	In		Yes		100																No		53	*
120		53	17		-	9	In		98.8	%	99				1												No		86	*
119		52	17		-	10	In		97.7		92	1			7												No		133	*
118		52	18		-	9	99.4	%	96.6		97	1			1				1								No		176	*
117		52	19		-	8	In		98.3		97	1			2	0	0										No		286	*
116		51	19		-	9	In		94.3		91	1			7	1	0	0									No		351	*
115		51	20		-	8	99.8		93.3		89	2			6	2	0		0								No		524	*
114		50	20		-	9	99.9		90.3		87	3	0		7	2	0							0			No		730	*
113		50	21		-	8	99.9		86.0		84	5			9	2	1	0	0								No		996	*
112		49	21		-	9	99.9		82.1		82	5	0		9	2	1	0		0							No		1,240	*
111		49	22		-	8	99.5		75.4		77	8	0		10	3	1	0	0	0							No		1,693	*
110		48	22		-	9	99.5		66.5		71	10	0		12	4	2	1	0	0	0	0					No		2,188	*
109		48	23		-	8	99.2		56.9		65	13	1		13	4	2	1	0	0	0						No		2,707	*
108		47	23		-	9	98.8		45.5		58	17	1		13	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0				No		3,378	*
107		46	23		-	10	98.3		34.7		52	19	2	0	14	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			No		4,109	*
106		46	24		-	9	97.7		24.9		44	21	3	0	15	8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0			No		4,963	*
105		45	24		-	10	96.0		15.6		37	23	4	0	15	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		No		5,966	*
104		45	25		-	9	94.8		8.3		29	25	7	0	14	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		No		6,993	*
103		44	25		-	10	93.1		3.4		22	25	9	1	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0		No		8,004	*
102		44	26		-	9	90.5		1.3		16	24	11	2	14	11	8	5	4	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	No		9,056	*
101		43	26		-	10	87.5		0.4		10	22	14	2	13	11	9	6	5	3	2	2	1	0	0	0	No		10,100	*
100		43	27		-	9	84.4		0.1		7	19	14	4	12	11	10	7	5	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	No		11,037	*
99		42	27		-	10	80.4		0.0		4	15	16	5	12	11	10	8	6	5	3	2	2	1	0	0	No		12,229	*
98		42	28		-	9	75.5		No		2	11	15	6	10	11	10	9	7	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	No		13,004	*
97		41	28		-	10	70.8		No		1	9	14	7	9	10	10	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	0	No		13,635	*
96		41	29		-	9	65.3		No		1	5	13	9	8	10	10	10	9	8	6	5	4	2	1	0	No		13,922	*
95		40	29		-	10	60.0		No		0	3	11	10	7	9	10	10	9	9	7	6	4	3	2	0	No		14,490	*
94		40	30		-	9	53.5		No		0	2	9	10	6	8	9	10	10	9	8	7	5	4	2	1	No		14,668	*
93		39	30		-	10	47.2		No		0	1	6	9	5	7	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	5	3	1	No		14,281	*
92		39	31		-	9	41.7		No		0	1	4	9	4	6	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	2	No		14,258	*
91		38	31		-	10	35.5		No		0	0	3	9	3	5	7	9	9	11	10	10	9	7	5	3	No		13,561	*
90		38	32		-	9	31.2		No			0	2	8	3	4	6	9	9	10	11	11	10	9	6	3	No		13,118	*
89		37	32		-	10	25.0		No			0	1	7	2	3	5	7	9	9	11	12	12	10	8	4	No		12,330	*
88		37	33		-	9	20.1		No			0	1	5	1	3	4	6	8	10	12	11	12	11	10	6	No		11,114	*
87		36	33		-	10	15.9		No				0	4	1	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	13	12	8	No		10,132	*
86		36	34		-	9	13.2		No				0	3	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	14	15	14	9	No		9,179	*
85		35	34		-	10	9.8		No				0	3	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	13	16	15	12	0.0	%	8,111	*
84		35	35		-	9	8.0		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	6	9	11	13	16	18	15	0.2		7,015	*
83		34	35		-	10	5.8		No					2	0	1	1	2	3	6	7	9	13	17	21	19	0.8		6,087	*
82		34	36		-	9	4.2		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	3	5	6	10	13	18	22	21	2.1		5,123	*
81		33	36		-	10	2.6		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	9	12	17	23	27	5.0		4,400	*
80		33	37		-	9	2.4		No					0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	11	16	24	30	9.8		3,531	*
79		32	37		-	10	1.8		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	10	16	26	35	17.8		2,904	*
78		32	38		-	9	1.0		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	9	15	25	39	27.5		2,280	*
77		31	38		-	10	1.0		No					0		0	0	1	1	1	2	4	7	14	25	45	35.6		1,836	*
76		31	39		-	9	0.7		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	13	26	48	46.2		1,335	*
75		30	39		-	10	0.3		No					0		0		0	0	0	1	3	5	10	24	56	58.7		1,096	*
74		30	40		-	9	Out		No										0	0	1	3	5	10	22	60	68.3		830	*
73		29	40		-	10	Out		No										0	0	0	2	4	9	20	64	79.4		606	*
72		29	41		-	9	Out		No											1	1	1	2	5	23	67	84.6		442	*
71		29	42		-	8	Out		No										0		0	1	2	7	19	71	88.6		315	*
70		28	42		-	9	0.4		No									0			0	2	4	4	20	70	90.0		239	*
69		28	43		-	8	Out		No														2	4	11	83	94.0		166	*
68		27	43		-	9	Out		No														1	1	5	93	99.1		117	*
67		26	43		-	10	Out		No														1	4	18	77	97.5		79	*
66		26	44		-	9	Out		No											2					15	83	Yes		53	*
65		27	46		-	6	Out		No																17	83	Yes		36	*
64		25	45		-	9	Out		No																14	86	95.5		22	*
63		25	46		-	8	Out		No																6	94	Yes		16	*
5	-62						Out		No																	100	Yes		49	*

Total:							51.9	%	4.8	%	8	7	6	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	2.1	%	301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal 4 Toronto 6	*-0.0

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4	*-0.0
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9	*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	-163						100
120		53	17		-	9	99	1
119		52	17		-	10	98	2
118		52	18		-	9	97	3
117		52	19		-	8	98	2
116		51	19		-	9	94	6
115		51	20		-	8	93	7
114		50	20		-	9	90	10	0
113		50	21		-	8	86	13	1
112		49	21		-	9	82	16	2	0
111		49	22		-	8	75	22	3	0
110		48	22		-	9	66	29	4	0
109		48	23		-	8	57	34	7	1	0
108		47	23		-	9	46	39	13	3	0
107		46	23		-	10	35	40	20	5	1	0
106		46	24		-	9	25	37	26	9	2	0			0
105		45	24		-	10	16	34	30	14	5	1	0
104		45	25		-	9	8	24	32	23	10	3	1	0
103		44	25		-	10	3	17	27	27	16	7	2	0	0	0	0
102		44	26		-	9	1	8	20	27	24	13	5	1	0	0
101		43	26		-	10	0	3	11	22	26	20	11	4	1	0	0
100		43	27		-	9	0	1	4	13	23	24	20	10	4	1	0	0
99		42	27		-	10	0	0	1	5	14	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
98		42	28		-	9		0	0	2	5	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
97		41	28		-	10			0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
96		41	29		-	9				0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0
95		40	29		-	10					0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
94		40	30		-	9						0	0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0	0
93		39	30		-	10							0	0	0	1	4	9	15	21	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
92		39	31		-	9								0	0	0	1	2	6	12	19	22	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
91		38	31		-	10										0	0	0	1	5	10	17	21	20	14	7	3	1	0	0
90		38	32		-	9										0	0	0	0	1	3	8	14	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
89		37	32		-	10														0	1	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0
88		37	33		-	9														0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	15	7	2	0	0	0
87		36	33		-	10														0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0
86		36	34		-	9																0	0	0	1	3	7	15	23	22	17	9	3	1	0
85		35	34		-	10																		0	0	1	3	7	15	21	24	18	9	3	0	0
84		35	35		-	9																			0	0	1	2	7	17	23	25	16	7	2	0
83		34	35		-	10																				0	0	1	2	8	18	26	24	15	5	1
82		34	36		-	9																					0	0	1	4	10	20	28	24	11	2
81		33	36		-	10																							0	1	5	14	26	31	18	5
80		33	37		-	9																						0	0	0	2	8	20	31	28	10
79		32	37		-	10																						0		0	1	5	13	30	34	18
78		32	38		-	9																									0	1	8	25	39	27
77		31	38		-	10																										1	5	19	40	36
76		31	39		-	9																									0	0	2	11	40	46
75		30	39		-	10																										0	0	8	33	59
74		30	40		-	9																											1	5	26	68
73		29	40		-	10																											0	2	19	79
72		29	41		-	9																												2	13	85
71		29	42		-	8																													11	89
70		28	42		-	9																												1	9	90
69		28	43		-	8																												1	5	94
68		27	43		-	9																													1	99
67		26	43		-	10																													3	97
65	-66																																			100
64		25	45		-	9																													5	95
5	-63																																			100

Total:							5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2