Phoenix Coyotes Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Plays at Detroit, playoff odds up 0.05 to 56.7%

4 points 2 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Washington 2 Chicago 3	-0.3

Wednesday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the Phoenix finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

121	-162						In		Yes		100																No		116	*
120		53	16		-	10	In		97.8	%	93	2			4												No		45	*
119		53	17		-	9	In		96.7		97	1			1	1											No		90	*
118		53	18		-	8	In		97.5		94	1			3	2											No		118	*
117		51	17		-	11	In		97.6		95	1			4												No		170	*
116		52	19		-	8	In		94.3		92	2			5	1	0										No		265	*
115		51	19		-	9	In		93.2		93	1			4	2											No		337	*
114		51	20		-	8	In		91.4		92	2			5	1	1										No		510	*
113		50	20		-	9	99.9	%	88.2		87	4	0		7	1	0			0							No		738	*
112		49	20		-	10	In		81.5		84	5	0		8	2	1										No		1,013	*
111		49	21		-	9	99.8		73.5		78	8	0		9	3	1	0	0		0						No		1,353	*
110		48	21		-	10	99.5		66.5		73	10	0		12	3	1	0	0	0							No		1,685	*
109		48	22		-	9	99.4		55.5		67	14	0		12	4	1	1	0	0	0	0					No		2,169	*
108		47	22		-	10	99.5		45.7		62	17	1		12	5	1	0	0	0	0		0				No		2,737	*
107		47	23		-	9	99.3		33.5		53	21	2		13	6	2	1	0	0	0						No		3,356	*
106		46	23		-	10	98.9		23.0		46	23	3	0	15	6	3	1	1	0	0	0					No		4,218	*
105		46	24		-	9	98.3		14.5		40	26	5	0	14	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0				No		4,994	*
104		45	24		-	10	97.1		7.9		32	27	7	1	15	9	4	3	1	1	0	0	0				No		5,964	*
103		45	25		-	9	96.1		3.2		24	28	9	1	16	10	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		6,958	*
102		44	25		-	10	95.2		1.4		18	26	12	2	16	11	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		7,926	*
101		44	26		-	9	93.5		0.3		12	25	15	2	15	12	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0			No		9,175	*
100		43	26		-	10	91.6		0.1		8	22	17	3	14	12	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0			No		10,099	*
99		43	27		-	9	87.9		0.0		5	18	17	5	14	12	10	6	5	3	2	1	0	0			No		11,166	*
98		42	27		-	10	85.3		No		3	14	18	7	13	12	10	8	6	4	3	1	1	0			No		12,061	*
97		42	28		-	9	81.9		No		1	10	17	9	12	12	11	9	7	5	3	2	1	0			No		13,103	*
96		41	28		-	10	76.9		No		1	7	16	10	10	12	12	10	8	6	4	3	1	0			No		13,584	*
95		41	29		-	9	71.5		No		0	5	13	12	9	11	11	11	9	7	6	4	2	1			No		13,814	*
94		40	29		-	10	66.3		No		0	3	11	12	8	10	12	11	10	9	7	4	3	1			No		14,479	*
93		40	30		-	9	60.3		No		0	1	8	13	7	9	11	11	11	10	8	6	4	1			No		14,776	*
92		39	30		-	10	55.3		No		0	1	6	12	6	9	10	11	11	10	9	7	5	2			No		14,470	*
91		39	31		-	9	48.6		No			0	4	11	5	7	10	11	11	12	11	9	6	3			No		14,067	*
90		38	31		-	10	43.6		No			0	3	11	4	6	8	11	11	12	12	10	7	4			No		13,406	*
89		38	32		-	9	37.1		No			0	2	9	3	5	8	10	12	13	13	12	9	5			No		13,160	*
88		37	32		-	10	31.6		No			0	1	8	2	4	7	9	11	12	14	13	11	7			No		12,011	*
87		37	33		-	9	26.9		No				1	7	2	4	6	8	11	13	14	14	13	8			No		11,408	*
86		36	33		-	10	22.7		No				0	5	1	3	5	8	9	12	14	16	15	11			No		10,398	*
85		36	34		-	9	17.4		No				0	4	1	2	4	6	9	11	15	17	17	14			0.0	%	9,267	*
84		35	34		-	10	13.7		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	9	11	14	18	20	16			0.2		8,184	*
83		35	35		-	9	11.7		No				0	3	0	1	3	5	7	10	13	18	21	20			0.8		7,039	*
82		34	35		-	10	9.1		No				0	2	0	1	2	4	5	9	13	18	23	24			2.2		6,077	*
81		34	36		-	9	6.2		No				0	1	0	1	1	3	5	8	11	17	26	27			5.4		5,058	*
80		33	36		-	10	4.8		No					1	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	17	25	33			9.9		4,321	*
79		33	37		-	9	3.4		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	6	8	16	26	37			17.8		3,466	*
78		32	37		-	10	2.3		No					1	0	0	0	1	2	4	9	14	26	43			27.6		2,833	*
77		32	38		-	9	1.5		No					0		0	0	1	2	3	6	13	27	47			35.1		2,271	*
76		31	38		-	10	0.6		No					0	0		0	0	2	3	6	12	24	53			48.0		1,797	*
75		30	38		-	11	1.3		No					0		0	0	1	1	2	4	9	25	57			58.9		1,338	*
74		30	39		-	10	0.3		No					0				0	1	2	3	9	21	64			68.3		1,037	*
73		29	39		-	11	0.8		No					0			0	1	0	1	3	8	19	68			75.4		842	*
72		29	40		-	10	Out		No										0	1	3	7	19	70			85.2		560	*
71		28	40		-	11	0.2		No					0					0	0	1	5	18	75			84.5		440	*
70		28	41		-	10	Out		No										0	0	1	3	14	82			91.8		304	*
69		28	42		-	9	Out		No												1	4	14	82			89.0		219	*
68		27	42		-	10	Out		No												1	1	9	89			94.7		150	*
67		26	42		-	11	Out		No										1			3	8	88			98.2		113	*
66		26	43		-	10	Out		No												1		10	89			Yes		82	*
65		25	43		-	11	Out		No														9	91			Yes		47	*
64		26	45		-	8	Out		No												3		5	93			97.5		40	*
63		23	43		-	13	Out		No															100			Yes		21	*
62		23	44		-	12	Out		No														8	92			Yes		13	*
4	-61						Out		No															100			Yes		42	*

Total:							56.7	%	3.7	%	7	7	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7			2.6	%	301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit 6 Buffalo 5	*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	-162						100
120		53	16		-	10	98	2
119		53	17		-	9	97	3
118		53	18		-	8	97	3
117		51	17		-	11	98	2
116		52	19		-	8	94	5	0
115		51	19		-	9	93	7
114		51	20		-	8	91	8	0	0
113		50	20		-	9	88	11	1
112		49	20		-	10	82	17	2
111		49	21		-	9	73	23	3	0
110		48	21		-	10	67	28	5	1	0
109		48	22		-	9	56	36	8	1	0
108		47	22		-	10	46	39	13	2	0
107		47	23		-	9	33	41	19	5	1	0
106		46	23		-	10	23	39	26	9	2	0	0
105		46	24		-	9	14	34	31	15	4	1	0
104		45	24		-	10	8	25	31	23	10	2	0	0
103		45	25		-	9	3	15	28	27	17	7	2	0	0	0
102		44	25		-	10	1	8	20	27	23	13	5	1	0	0
101		44	26		-	9	0	3	11	22	25	21	11	4	1	0
100		43	26		-	10	0	1	5	14	22	25	19	10	4	1	0	0
99		43	27		-	9	0	0	1	5	13	21	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
98		42	27		-	10		0	0	2	6	12	21	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
97		42	28		-	9			0	0	2	5	11	18	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0
96		41	28		-	10			0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	8	3	1	0	0
95		41	29		-	9					0	0	1	3	7	15	21	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
94		40	29		-	10						0	0	1	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
93		40	30		-	9							0	0	0	1	4	8	16	21	21	16	8	3	1	0	0
92		39	30		-	10								0	0	0	1	2	7	13	19	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
91		39	31		-	9											0	0	1	4	10	17	21	20	14	7	3	1	0	0
90		38	31		-	10											0	0	0	1	3	8	14	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0
89		38	32		-	9												0	0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0
88		37	32		-	10														0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	8	3	1	0	0
87		37	33		-	9															0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	15	8	3	1	0
86		36	33		-	10																	0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	0	0
85		36	34		-	9																0		0	0	1	2	7	15	22	25	17	9	2	0	0
84		35	34		-	10																			0	0	1	3	7	15	25	24	17	7	2	0
83		35	35		-	9																					0	1	3	8	17	26	25	15	5	1
82		34	35		-	10																						0	1	3	9	21	29	24	10	2
81		34	36		-	9																							0	1	5	15	25	30	18	5
80		33	36		-	10																							0	0	2	8	21	32	27	10
79		33	37		-	9																								0	1	4	12	29	36	18
78		32	37		-	10																								0	0	2	8	23	40	28
77		32	38		-	9																									0	0	4	18	43	35
76		31	38		-	10																										0	2	12	37	48
75		30	38		-	11																											1	7	33	59
74		30	39		-	10																											0	5	27	68
73		29	39		-	11																											0	3	21	75
72		29	40		-	10																												1	14	85
71		28	40		-	11																												1	14	85
70		28	41		-	10																												0	8	92
69		28	42		-	9																												0	11	89
68		27	42		-	10																													5	95
67		26	42		-	11																													2	98
65	-66																																			100
64		26	45		-	8																													3	98
4	-63																																			100

Total:							4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3