Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 52.7%

7 points 3 0-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	+0.4

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4	+4.2		+0.7		-0.8		+0.5
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9							*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

125	-163						In		Yes		100																No		51	*
124		54	15		-	9	In		Yes		93							7									No		15	*
123		53	15		-	10	In		Yes		100																No		36	*
122		54	17		-	7	In		Yes		98				2												No		47	*
121		53	17		-	8	In		Yes		96				4												No		72	*
120		53	18		-	7	In		99.1	%	97	1			2												No		111	*
119		52	18		-	8	In		98.1		97	1			1		1										No		157	*
118		51	18		-	9	In		97.3		96	0			3	0											No		220	*
117		51	19		-	8	In		98.5		95	1			3	1											No		339	*
116		50	19		-	9	99.8	%	96.7		92	1			6	1	1		0								No		483	*
115		50	20		-	8	In		92.3		90	2			7	1											No		626	*
114		49	20		-	9	99.8		89.8		86	3			8	2	0	0	0	0							No		932	*
113		49	21		-	8	99.8		86.7		84	4	0		8	2	1	1	0	0							No		1,217	*
112		48	21		-	9	99.7		82.3		82	5			9	3	1	0	0	0							No		1,573	*
111		48	22		-	8	99.3		74.0		74	8	0		11	4	2	1	0	0	0		0		0		No		2,046	*
110		47	22		-	9	99.4		66.2		70	11	0		11	5	2	1	0	0	0						No		2,594	*
109		47	23		-	8	99.1		56.3		64	14	1		13	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0				No		3,189	*
108		46	23		-	9	98.2		45.7		57	16	1	0	13	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0				No		4,036	*
107		45	23		-	10	97.8		35.3		50	19	2		13	8	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		4,851	*
106		45	24		-	9	96.6		24.0		43	21	3	0	14	8	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		5,934	*
105		44	24		-	10	95.2		14.4		34	23	5	0	15	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		6,704	*
104		44	25		-	9	93.8		8.3		27	25	7	0	14	9	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0		No		7,840	*
103		43	25		-	10	91.6		3.5		21	25	8	1	15	10	7	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		8,825	*
102		43	26		-	9	89.3		1.5		15	23	10	1	13	11	9	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		10,014	*
101		42	26		-	10	85.5		0.4		10	21	13	2	12	11	9	7	5	4	2	2	1	0	0	0	No		11,081	*
100		42	27		-	9	82.4		0.1		6	18	14	3	11	12	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		12,144	*
99		41	27		-	10	77.3		0.0		4	14	14	5	10	11	11	9	8	6	4	2	2	1	0	0	No		12,891	*
98		41	28		-	9	72.7		No		2	11	14	6	9	11	10	9	8	6	5	4	2	1	1	0	No		13,421	*
97		40	28		-	10	67.2		No		1	8	13	7	8	10	10	9	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	0	No		14,107	*
96		40	29		-	9	62.2		No		1	5	12	8	7	9	10	10	9	8	7	6	4	3	1	0	No		14,681	*
95		39	29		-	10	56.4		No		0	3	9	9	6	9	10	11	10	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	No		14,566	*
94		39	30		-	9	49.6		No		0	2	7	9	5	7	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	3	1	No		14,579	*
93		38	30		-	10	42.5		No		0	1	5	8	4	6	8	9	11	10	11	9	7	5	3	2	No		14,379	*
92		38	31		-	9	37.8		No		0	0	4	8	3	5	7	9	10	10	10	10	9	7	5	2	No		13,754	*
91		37	31		-	10	31.3		No		0	0	2	7	2	4	7	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	6	3	No		13,056	*
90		37	32		-	9	26.1		No		0	0	2	6	2	3	6	7	9	10	12	12	11	10	7	4	No		12,391	*
89		36	32		-	10	21.7		No			0	1	6	1	3	5	6	8	10	11	12	12	12	9	5	No		11,407	*
88		36	33		-	9	17.6		No				1	4	1	2	4	6	7	9	11	12	13	13	11	6	No		10,321	*
87		35	33		-	10	14.4		No				0	4	1	2	3	5	6	8	10	12	14	14	13	8	No		9,284	*
86		35	34		-	9	11.1		No				0	3	1	2	2	4	5	8	10	12	14	15	14	11	No		8,358	*
85		34	34		-	10	8.3		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	4	6	9	11	14	16	17	15	No		7,205	*
84		34	35		-	9	6.4		No				0	2	0	1	2	2	4	5	7	10	13	17	19	17	0.1	%	6,183	*
83		33	35		-	10	4.7		No				0	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	7	9	13	17	21	21	0.7		5,216	*
82		33	36		-	9	3.1		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	8	11	16	24	25	1.9		4,424	*
81		32	36		-	10	2.3		No					1	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	12	16	24	30	4.5		3,580	*
80		32	37		-	9	1.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	16	25	35	10.7		3,024	*
79		31	37		-	10	0.9		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	9	16	24	39	18.8		2,388	*
78		31	38		-	9	1.2		No					0		0	0	1	1	1	2	4	7	14	23	46	25.4		1,789	*
77		30	38		-	10	0.5		No					0			0	0	1	1	2	4	6	13	24	49	38.1		1,393	*
76		30	39		-	9	0.5		No					0			0	0	1	0	1	2	6	14	24	52	49.2		1,097	*
75		29	39		-	10	0.5		No					0		0		0	0	0	1	2	4	8	22	62	57.7		801	*
74		29	40		-	9	0.2		No								0		0	0	1	2	3	8	21	65	68.0		575	*
73		28	40		-	10	0.2		No							0				0	0	2	3	5	21	69	76.1		451	*
72		28	41		-	9	Out		No												1	0	3	3	20	73	82.6		316	*
71		28	42		-	8	Out		No											0	0		1	6	16	76	87.6		202	*
70		27	42		-	9	Out		No													1	3	2	16	78	92.9		168	*
69		26	42		-	10	Out		No													1	1	3	13	83	96.2		104	*
68		26	43		-	9	Out		No														1		8	90	98.6		72	*
67		25	43		-	10	Out		No															2	10	88	98.3		58	*
66		25	44		-	9	Out		No															3	11	87	Yes		38	*
65		25	45		-	8	Out		No																4	96	Yes		27	*
64		24	45		-	9	Out		No																10	90	Yes		10	*
63		23	45		-	10	Out		No																	100	Yes		11	*
62		22	45		-	11	Out		No																25	75	Yes		4	*
61		23	47		-	8	Out		No																33	67	Yes		3	*
7	-60						Out		No																	100	Yes		29	*

Total:							52.7	%	5.8	%	9	7	6	4	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	1.6	%	301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	*-0.0

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4	-0.9
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9	*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	-163						100
120		53	18		-	7	99	1
119		52	18		-	8	98	2
118		51	18		-	9	97	3
117		51	19		-	8	99	1
116		50	19		-	9	97	3	0
115		50	20		-	8	92	8
114		49	20		-	9	90	10	0
113		49	21		-	8	87	12	1	0
112		48	21		-	9	82	16	1
111		48	22		-	8	74	23	3	0
110		47	22		-	9	66	28	5	0
109		47	23		-	8	56	34	8	1	0
108		46	23		-	9	46	40	12	3	0
107		45	23		-	10	35	41	19	5	1	0
106		45	24		-	9	24	38	27	9	2	0	0
105		44	24		-	10	14	33	31	16	4	1	0	0
104		44	25		-	9	8	24	32	22	10	3	0	0	0
103		43	25		-	10	3	16	28	28	16	6	2	0	0
102		43	26		-	9	2	8	21	27	24	13	5	1	0	0	0
101		42	26		-	10	0	3	11	22	26	21	12	4	1	0	0
100		42	27		-	9	0	1	5	12	23	24	19	10	4	1	0	0
99		41	27		-	10	0	0	1	5	13	22	24	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
98		41	28		-	9		0	0	2	5	13	21	23	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
97		40	28		-	10			0	0	1	5	12	19	23	19	12	6	2	1	0	0
96		40	29		-	9				0	0	1	4	10	17	21	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
95		39	29		-	10				0	0	0	1	3	8	15	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
94		39	30		-	9						0	0	0	2	5	12	18	22	19	12	6	2	1	0	0
93		38	30		-	10							0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	21	15	8	4	1	0	0				0
92		38	31		-	9									0	0	1	2	6	12	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0	0
91		37	31		-	10											0	0	1	4	10	17	21	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
90		37	32		-	9											0	0	0	1	3	7	14	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0
89		36	32		-	10													0	0	1	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
88		36	33		-	9														0	0	0	1	4	9	17	21	21	15	7	2	1	0	0
87		35	33		-	10														0		0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
86		35	34		-	9																	0	0	1	3	8	14	23	23	17	8	3	0	0
85		34	34		-	10																		0	0	1	2	7	16	22	23	18	8	3	0
84		34	35		-	9																			0	0	1	2	7	16	23	25	16	7	2	0
83		33	35		-	10																					0	1	3	9	17	26	25	14	5	1
82		33	36		-	9																						0	1	3	11	20	27	24	12	2
81		32	36		-	10																							0	1	5	14	26	30	19	5
80		32	37		-	9																							0	0	2	7	21	31	28	11
79		31	37		-	10																							0	0	1	4	13	29	35	19
78		31	38		-	9																								0	0	1	6	25	41	25
77		30	38		-	10																										1	4	19	38	38
76		30	39		-	9																										0	2	12	37	49
75		29	39		-	10																											1	8	33	58
74		29	40		-	9																											1	5	26	68
73		28	40		-	10																												3	21	76
72		28	41		-	9																											0	0	17	83
71		27	41		-	10																												0	12	88
70		27	42		-	9																												1	7	93
69		26	42		-	10																													4	96
68		26	43		-	9																													1	99
67		25	43		-	10																													2	98
7	-66																																			100

Total:							6	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2