Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 47.3%

2 points 0 1-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Washington 2 Chicago 3	+0.2

Wednesday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

120	-160						In		Yes		100																No		78	*
119		54	16		-	9	In		Yes		97					3											No		37	*
118		54	17		-	8	97.9	%	97.9	%	96	2							2								No		47	*
117		54	18		-	7	In		97.3		96	1			1	1											No		75	*
116		53	18		-	8	In		94.9		95	1			3	1											No		118	*
115		52	18		-	9	In		94.0		90	1			6	2											No		168	*
114		52	19		-	8	In		89.2		90	3			7		0										No		277	*
113		51	19		-	9	99.7		85.7		87	3			8	1	0		0								No		363	*
112		51	20		-	8	99.8		83.4		85	6	0		7	1	0	0	0								No		530	*
111		50	20		-	9	99.7		72.5		78	10	1		9	2	0		0								No		771	*
110		50	21		-	8	99.9		65.5		75	9	0		11	3	1	0		0							No		963	*
109		49	21		-	9	99.9		55.4		66	15	1		13	4	1	1	0								No		1,279	*
108		48	21		-	10	99.7		42.9		60	18	2	0	12	5	2	1	0	0							No		1,693	*
107		48	22		-	9	99.0		33.3		53	21	2	0	14	6	3	1	0	0	0	0					No		2,130	*
106		47	22		-	10	98.6		22.3		46	24	4	0	14	6	3	2	1	0	0	0		0			No		2,713	*
105		47	23		-	9	98.5		15.8		38	27	5	0	16	7	3	2	1	0	0	0					No		3,340	*
104		46	23		-	10	96.8		7.5		31	28	6	1	16	9	4	2	1	1	1	0	0	0		0	No		4,175	*
103		46	24		-	9	96.3		4.0		23	30	10	1	16	9	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		No		4,885	*
102		45	24		-	10	94.6		1.6		18	28	12	2	16	10	6	4	2	1	1	1	0	0		0	No		5,907	*
101		45	25		-	9	92.7		0.3		12	25	15	3	16	11	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		6,928	*
100		44	25		-	10	90.1		0.1		8	22	17	4	14	11	8	6	4	2	2	1	0	0	0		No		7,938	*
99		44	26		-	9	87.3		0.0		5	18	19	6	14	12	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		8,914	*
98		43	26		-	10	84.1		No		3	13	18	7	14	12	9	7	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	No		10,252	*
97		43	27		-	9	79.7		No		2	10	17	9	12	12	10	8	7	5	4	2	2	1	0	0	No		11,255	*
96		42	27		-	10	75.0		No		1	7	15	11	10	11	11	9	7	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	No		12,103	*
95		42	28		-	9	69.5		No		0	4	13	12	10	11	10	10	8	7	6	4	3	2	1	0	No		12,806	*
94		41	28		-	10	63.3		No		0	2	10	13	8	10	10	10	9	8	7	5	3	2	1	0	No		13,599	*
93		41	29		-	9	58.5		No		0	1	8	13	7	9	10	10	9	9	7	6	5	3	2	0	No		14,231	*
92		40	29		-	10	52.9		No		0	1	6	13	6	8	10	10	10	9	8	7	6	4	2	1	No		14,298	*
91		40	30		-	9	45.5		No		0	0	4	12	5	7	8	10	10	10	10	9	7	5	3	1	No		14,606	*
90		39	30		-	10	40.3		No			0	2	10	4	6	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	2	No		14,502	*
89		39	31		-	9	34.4		No			0	1	9	3	5	7	8	10	11	10	10	10	8	5	3	No		13,973	*
88		38	31		-	10	29.1		No			0	1	8	2	4	6	8	9	10	11	11	11	9	6	3	No		13,514	*
87		38	32		-	9	24.4		No				1	7	2	3	5	7	9	10	10	12	11	10	9	5	No		13,101	*
86		37	32		-	10	19.9		No			0	0	5	1	3	4	6	8	9	11	12	12	12	11	6	No		12,092	*
85		37	33		-	9	16.5		No				0	5	1	2	3	5	6	8	10	12	14	13	12	8	0.0	%	11,193	*
84		36	33		-	10	12.9		No				0	3	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	13	15	14	10	0.2		10,267	*
83		36	34		-	9	9.5		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	14	15	17	13	0.7		9,089	*
82		35	34		-	10	8.0		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	14	16	18	16	2.1		8,079	*
81		35	35		-	9	5.0		No				0	1	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	13	17	20	19	4.8		7,359	*
80		34	35		-	10	3.9		No				0	1	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	9	12	17	22	23	9.6		6,188	*
79		34	36		-	9	2.7		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	11	17	24	29	17.3		5,122	*
78		33	36		-	10	2.3		No					1	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	6	11	16	25	31	27.3		4,389	*
77		33	37		-	9	1.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	9	17	26	35	37.1		3,548	*
76		32	37		-	10	1.1		No					0		0	0	0	1	2	2	4	9	14	24	43	49.4		2,931	*
75		32	38		-	9	0.5		No							0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	13	26	46	59.0		2,371	*
74		31	38		-	10	0.2		No					0				0	1	1	1	4	6	11	27	50	68.6		1,819	*
73		31	39		-	9	0.3		No								0	0	0	0	1	3	5	10	23	57	76.3		1,457	*
72		30	39		-	10	0.1		No					0					0	0	0	2	4	8	24	60	82.8		1,064	*
71		30	40		-	9	Out		No												1	2	3	7	22	65	86.0		827	*
70		29	40		-	10	0.2		No					0						0	1	1	3	7	21	68	89.3		633	*
69		28	40		-	11	0.2		No					0							0	0	1	5	14	79	94.8		465	*
68		28	41		-	10	Out		No												1	1	3	4	16	76	97.7		310	*
67		27	41		-	11	Out		No													0	1	3	14	82	97.9		235	*
66		28	43		-	8	Out		No														1	3	13	83	96.8		157	*
65		26	42		-	11	Out		No															4	11	84	99.1		114	*
64		27	44		-	8	Out		No																7	93	Yes		61	*
63		25	43		-	11	Out		No																2	98	Yes		47	*
62		24	43		-	12	Out		No																3	97	Yes		33	*
61		25	45		-	9	Out		No																5	95	Yes		22	*
60		23	44		-	12	Out		No																6	94	Yes		17	*
59		23	45		-	11	Out		No																	100	Yes		3	*
58		24	47		-	8	Out		No															8	8	83	Yes		12	*
2	-56						Out		No																	100	Yes		27	*

Total:							47.3	%	2.2	%	5	5	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	4.5	%	301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9	*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

119	-160						100
118		54	17		-	8	98	2
117		54	18		-	7	97	3
116		53	18		-	8	95	5
115		52	18		-	9	94	5	1
114		52	19		-	8	89	11
113		51	19		-	9	86	14	0
112		51	20		-	8	83	15	1
111		50	20		-	9	73	23	4	0
110		50	21		-	8	66	28	6	0
109		49	21		-	9	55	34	10	1	0
108		48	21		-	10	43	40	15	2	0
107		48	22		-	9	33	40	20	6	1
106		47	22		-	10	22	38	27	10	2	0
105		47	23		-	9	16	33	30	16	5	1	0
104		46	23		-	10	7	25	33	22	10	2	0	0
103		46	24		-	9	4	15	28	27	16	7	2	0		0
102		45	24		-	10	2	7	20	28	24	13	5	1	0	0
101		45	25		-	9	0	3	11	22	26	21	11	5	1	0	0
100		44	25		-	10	0	1	5	13	21	24	20	10	4	1	0	0		0
99		44	26		-	9	0	0	1	5	14	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
98		43	26		-	10		0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	11	5	2	0	0
97		43	27		-	9		0	0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
96		42	27		-	10				0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	15	7	3	1	0	0
95		42	28		-	9				0	0	0	1	3	7	15	21	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
94		41	28		-	10							0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	13	6	2	1	0	0
93		41	29		-	9							0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	21	16	8	3	1	0	0
92		40	29		-	10									0	0	1	3	6	13	20	21	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
91		40	30		-	9										0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0
90		39	30		-	10												0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
89		39	31		-	9													0	0	1	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0
88		38	31		-	10													0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	0	0
87		38	32		-	9															0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
86		37	32		-	10																	0	0	1	3	7	15	21	23	18	9	3	1	0
85		37	33		-	9																		0	0	1	2	7	15	22	24	18	8	3	0	0
84		36	33		-	10																			0	0	1	2	7	15	24	24	18	7	2	0
83		36	34		-	9																				0	0	1	3	8	17	26	26	14	5	1
82		35	34		-	10																						0	1	3	10	21	28	24	11	2
81		35	35		-	9																						0	0	1	5	14	26	30	19	5
80		34	35		-	10																							0	0	2	7	21	32	28	10
79		34	36		-	9																								0	1	4	13	29	36	17
78		33	36		-	10																								0	0	1	7	25	39	27
77		33	37		-	9																									0	1	4	17	41	37
76		32	37		-	10																										0	2	12	37	49
75		32	38		-	9																											0	7	34	59
74		31	38		-	10																											0	4	27	69
73		31	39		-	9																											0	3	21	76
72		30	39		-	10																											0	1	16	83
71		30	40		-	9																												0	14	86
70		29	40		-	10																												0	10	89
69		28	40		-	11																													5	95
68		28	41		-	10																													2	98
67		27	41		-	11																													2	98
66		28	43		-	8																													3	97
65		26	42		-	11																													1	99
2	-64																																			100

Total:							2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4