Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Plays Montreal, playoff odds up 0.1 to 52.1%
2 points   1 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Trash On Ice100.0*Average seed
Edmonton 1 Winnipeg 5 -4.1
-0.9
+0.9
-0.4
Washington 2 Chicago 3 -0.2
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Trash On Ice100.0*Average seed
Detroit 6 Buffalo 5 *+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedTrash
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516On IceCount
124-160InYes100No30*
1235614-9InYes8020No5*
120-122InYes100No46*
1195416-9InYes982No48*
1185316-10InYes982No46*
1175317-9In98.7%100No77*
1165318-8In95.695131No137*
1155218-9In95.392161No171*
1145219-8In90.68838000No256*
1135220-7In86.286581No370*
1125019-10In84.781510200No516*
1115020-9In77.3796011210No706*
1105021-899.8%64.7741101131000No981*
1094921-999.955.568141133100No1,257*
1084821-1099.645.4621821251000No1,646*
1074822-999.536.354211014621000No2,135*
1064722-1099.622.046263014621000No2,695*
1054723-998.715.63926501674210000No3,425*
1044623-1098.27.93228701794210000No4,239*
1034624-997.53.8262810117953110000No4,992*
1024524-1096.11.4182712117106421000No6,044*
1014525-994.40.41325143171175321000No6,993*
1004425-1093.00.1823164171285321100No7,947*
994426-990.20.0619185161396432100No9,010*
984326-1087.2No3141871512107632110No10,046*
974327-983.8No2101791413118643210No11,141*
964227-1080.9No17161112131110754210No12,253*
954228-975.9No05141211121210865310No12,907*
944128-1070.6No0311139121211986421No13,646*
934129-965.5No0291481112111097531No14,032*
924029-1059.8No01613710111111108641No14,649*
914030-953.8No00412691111111110752No14,690*
903930-1047.6No00311581011121211963No14,425*
893931-941.8No0210469111212121084No13,929*
883831-1036.7No019368101113121296No13,713*
873832-930.2No017257911131413127No12,972*
863732-1026.0No062468111214151390.0%12,259*
853733-921.2No00513571012141616110.011,185*
843633-1016.7No041246912141718140.210,185*
833634-913.0No031235711141820170.89,090*
823534-1010.6No02013479131821212.28,077*
813535-97.5No02012359131724255.17,028*
803435-106.3No1011358111724299.75,917*
793436-94.6No10012471016263317.95,174*
783336-103.0No1001134815274025.74,335*
773337-92.6No1000124714264436.63,579*
763237-101.7No0000123712245148.62,947*
753238-91.0No000112513265158.12,237*
743138-100.5No000012410226168.81,882*
733139-90.7No001129246275.01,381*
723039-100.1No01145246581.71,078*
713040-90.4No000136187285.2802*
702839-120.5No0000025187490.0603*
692840-110.4No00025157892.8475*
682841-100.9No000023128296.2319*
672842-9OutNo03128498.9263*
662742-10OutNo12298698.7151*
652743-9OutNo1288997.6126*
642845-6OutNo49698.671*
632644-9OutNo10097.439*
622544-10OutNo1288Yes33*
612545-9OutNo100Yes21*
602546-8OutNo6688Yes17*
592648-5OutNo100Yes9*
582447-8OutNo1486Yes7*
2-57OutNo100Yes35*
Total:52.1%2.2%566777777888894.4%301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 1 Winnipeg 5 +1.1
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4 *-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118-160100
1175317-9991
1165318-8964
1155218-9955
1145219-8919
1135220-786131
1125019-1085141
1115020-9772120
1105021-8653041
1094921-95636710
1084821-1045391320
1074822-9364018410
1064722-102239271020
1054723-916333015510
1044623-1082433229300
1034624-94162926176100
1024524-1018202724135100
1014525-90311212522114100
1004425-1001413222520114100
994426-9001613212319104100
984326-10001613202319115200
974327-90001411192320126210
964227-10001491622211583100
954228-900137152022171041000
944128-1000026111922191262000
934129-90013916212115831000
924029-10000126132022181152000
914030-900014101721201473100
903930-100001371421221794100
893931-900026121922191262000
883831-1000014101722211472100
873832-9001381622221683100
863732-10001371522231793100
853733-900127152323178300
843633-100012716232517720
833634-9001381826251551
823534-10001310222823112
813535-90015142630195
803435-1002820322810
793436-91413303418
783336-100028244126
773337-9014174237
763237-1002113849
753238-9173458
743138-10052669
733139-9022275
723039-10011782
713040-911485
702839-1201090
692840-110793
682841-100396
672842-9199
662742-10199
652743-9298
642845-6199
632644-9397
2-62100
Total:223333333333333333344444444444