Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.005 to 58.1%

7 points 3 0-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	-0.3

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9			-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

123	-163						In		Yes		100																No		108	*
122		53	16		-	9	In		Yes		98				2												No		45	*
121		53	17		-	8	In		Yes		98				2												No		64	*
120		52	17		-	9	99.0	%	99.0	%	98				1					1							No		104	*
119		52	18		-	8	In		98.2		99	1			1												No		167	*
118		52	19		-	7	In		97.1		94	1			4	1											No		244	*
117		51	19		-	8	In		97.8		95	1			4		0										No		313	*
116		50	19		-	9	In		95.9		93	2			4	1	0										No		458	*
115		50	20		-	8	In		93.8		93	1			5	1											No		628	*
114		49	20		-	9	99.9		89.8		87	3			8	2	0		0								No		937	*
113		49	21		-	8	99.9		86.0		84	5			8	2	1					0					No		1,202	*
112		48	21		-	9	99.7		79.9		80	6	0		10	3	1	0	0	0	0						No		1,565	*
111		48	22		-	8	99.7		74.7		76	8	0		11	3	2	0	0	0							No		2,075	*
110		47	22		-	9	99.7		66.2		69	11	0		13	4	2	1	0	0							No		2,616	*
109		46	22		-	10	99.7		57.2		65	12	1		14	5	2	1	0	0	0						No		3,190	*
108		46	23		-	9	99.4		45.8		60	16	1	0	13	6	2	1	0	0	0	0					No		3,912	*
107		45	23		-	10	98.4		35.0		51	19	2	0	15	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0				No		4,871	*
106		45	24		-	9	97.8		24.7		43	22	3	0	15	8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0				No		5,730	*
105		44	24		-	10	97.2		15.8		38	24	4	0	15	8	5	3	2	1	0	0	0				No		6,644	*
104		44	25		-	9	95.7		7.9		28	26	7	0	15	10	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		7,938	*
103		43	25		-	10	94.7		3.8		23	26	8	1	15	11	7	4	3	1	1	0	0	0			No		8,876	*
102		43	26		-	9	92.1		1.3		16	25	11	2	14	11	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0			No		10,027	*
101		42	26		-	10	89.7		0.4		11	23	13	2	14	12	9	6	5	3	2	1	0	0			No		10,946	*
100		42	27		-	9	86.6		0.1		7	19	15	3	13	12	10	8	5	4	2	1	1	0			No		11,907	*
99		41	27		-	10	83.5		0.0		5	16	15	5	12	12	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	0			No		12,805	*
98		41	28		-	9	79.7		No		3	12	17	5	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	2	1	0			No		13,715	*
97		40	28		-	10	74.8		No		1	9	14	7	10	11	12	10	9	6	5	3	2	1			No		14,109	*
96		40	29		-	9	70.1		No		1	6	13	9	8	11	12	11	9	8	5	4	2	1			No		14,579	*
95		39	29		-	10	65.0		No		0	4	11	10	7	10	11	11	10	9	7	5	3	1			No		14,853	*
94		39	30		-	9	58.3		No		0	2	9	10	6	9	10	11	11	10	8	6	4	2			No		14,393	*
93		38	30		-	10	52.5		No		0	1	7	10	5	8	10	11	11	11	10	8	5	2			No		14,259	*
92		38	31		-	9	47.2		No		0	1	5	10	4	7	10	11	12	12	11	9	6	3			No		13,839	*
91		37	31		-	10	40.6		No			0	3	9	3	6	9	10	12	12	12	11	8	5			No		13,021	*
90		37	32		-	9	34.6		No		0	0	2	8	3	5	7	9	11	13	14	12	10	6			No		12,325	*
89		36	32		-	10	30.1		No			0	1	7	2	4	6	9	10	13	13	13	12	7			No		11,433	*
88		36	33		-	9	24.3		No			0	1	6	1	3	5	8	11	12	14	16	13	10			No		10,409	*
87		35	33		-	10	19.2		No			0	0	5	1	2	4	7	10	12	15	16	16	12			No		9,248	*
86		35	34		-	9	15.8		No			0	0	4	1	2	4	6	8	11	15	17	18	14			No		8,455	*
85		34	34		-	10	12.3		No				0	3	1	1	3	5	7	10	14	18	20	18			0.0	%	7,104	*
84		34	35		-	9	9.4		No				0	3	0	1	2	4	6	10	13	18	22	22			0.1		6,128	*
83		33	35		-	10	7.3		No					2	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	18	23	26			0.5		5,325	*
82		33	36		-	9	5.5		No				0	1	0	1	1	3	4	7	11	17	26	29			1.9		4,473	*
81		32	36		-	10	3.8		No				0	1	0	0	1	2	4	5	11	16	25	35			5.8		3,620	*
80		32	37		-	9	2.5		No				0	1		0	1	1	2	4	8	16	26	40			10.5		3,019	*
79		31	37		-	10	1.7		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	14	26	45			16.8		2,394	*
78		31	38		-	9	1.3		No					0		0	0	1	1	3	5	11	25	54			26.1		1,935	*
77		30	38		-	10	1.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	12	26	54			34.9		1,451	*
76		30	39		-	9	0.6		No					0			0	0	1	2	4	10	22	60			47.8		1,062	*
75		29	39		-	10	0.4		No					0			0	0	1	2	4	6	24	63			56.3		824	*
74		29	40		-	9	0.8		No							0	0	0	0	1	3	7	19	69			67.1		639	*
73		28	40		-	10	Out		No											1	1	6	20	72			74.6		425	*
72		28	41		-	9	Out		No												2	6	17	75			79.6		339	*
71		27	41		-	10	Out		No											0	0	3	19	77			86.6		231	*
70		27	42		-	9	Out		No											1	1	3	11	84			90.1		161	*
69		27	43		-	8	Out		No												2	1	17	81			92.7		109	*
68		26	43		-	9	Out		No													5	14	80			98.7		76	*
67		26	44		-	8	Out		No											2		2	6	90			94.1		51	*
66		24	43		-	11	Out		No														14	86			97.1		35	*
65		25	45		-	8	Out		No													4	4	93			Yes		27	*
7	-64						Out		No															100			Yes		62	*

Total:							58.1	%	5.8	%	10	8	7	5	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7			1.6	%	301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton 1 Winnipeg 5	*+0.0

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	-163						100
120		52	17		-	9	99	1
119		52	18		-	8	98	2
118		52	19		-	7	97	3
117		51	19		-	8	98	2
116		50	19		-	9	96	4
115		50	20		-	8	94	6
114		49	20		-	9	90	10	0
113		49	21		-	8	86	13	1
112		48	21		-	9	80	18	2
111		48	22		-	8	75	23	3	0
110		47	22		-	9	66	28	5	0
109		46	22		-	10	57	34	8	1
108		46	23		-	9	46	38	13	3	0	0
107		45	23		-	10	35	40	19	5	1	0
106		45	24		-	9	25	40	24	9	2	0	0	0
105		44	24		-	10	16	33	31	15	5	1	0
104		44	25		-	9	8	25	32	22	10	3	0	0
103		43	25		-	10	4	15	29	27	16	7	2	0	0
102		43	26		-	9	1	8	20	27	24	14	5	1	0	0
101		42	26		-	10	0	3	11	22	26	20	11	4	1	0	0
100		42	27		-	9	0	1	4	12	22	25	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
99		41	27		-	10	0	0	2	5	13	22	24	18	10	4	1	0	0
98		41	28		-	9		0	0	2	5	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0
97		40	28		-	10		0	0	0	1	5	11	19	22	19	12	6	2	1	0	0
96		40	29		-	9				0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	15	7	3	1	0	0
95		39	29		-	10					0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0
94		39	30		-	9						0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	1	0	0
93		38	30		-	10							0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
92		38	31		-	9									0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	17	11	5	2	0	0
91		37	31		-	10											0	0	2	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0
90		37	32		-	9											0	0	0	1	3	8	14	20	21	17	10	4	1	0	0
89		36	32		-	10													0	0	1	2	5	12	18	22	19	12	6	2	0	0
88		36	33		-	9															0	0	1	4	10	17	23	21	14	7	2	1	0
87		35	33		-	10															0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
86		35	34		-	9																	0	0	1	3	7	15	22	22	17	9	3	0	0
85		34	34		-	10																		0	0	1	3	7	15	21	24	18	8	3	0	0
84		34	35		-	9																			0	0	1	2	8	16	24	23	17	7	2	0
83		33	35		-	10																					0	1	3	8	17	25	25	15	5	1
82		33	36		-	9																				0		0	1	3	10	22	27	24	11	2
81		32	36		-	10																					0	0	0	1	5	14	25	29	20	6
80		32	37		-	9																							0	0	2	7	22	31	27	10
79		31	37		-	10																									1	3	13	30	36	17
78		31	38		-	9																									0	1	8	24	40	26
77		30	38		-	10																									0	0	4	18	43	35
76		30	39		-	9																										0	2	11	39	48
75		29	39		-	10																										0	1	8	35	56
74		29	40		-	9																											0	4	28	67
73		28	40		-	10																											0	2	23	75
72		28	41		-	9																												1	19	80
71		27	41		-	10																												0	13	87
70		27	42		-	9																													10	90
69		27	43		-	8																													7	93
68		26	43		-	9																													1	99
67		26	44		-	8																													6	94
66		24	43		-	11																													3	97
7	-65																																			100

Total:							6	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2