Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Lost to NY Rangers 7-8 (ot), playoff odds down 0.4 to 59.9%

5 points 2 1-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	-0.3

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9	+4.1		+0.8		-0.7		+0.4
Detroit 6 Buffalo 5							*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

122	-161						In		Yes		100																No		63	*
121		54	16		-	8	In		Yes		96				4												No		25	*
120		54	17		-	7	In		Yes		95				5												No		58	*
119		52	16		-	10	In		96.7	%	95	2			3												No		60	*
118		52	17		-	9	In		96.1		96	1			3												No		102	*
117		52	18		-	8	In		96.6		97	1			2	0											No		205	*
116		51	18		-	9	In		95.1		93	2			3	1											No		246	*
115		51	19		-	8	In		93.7		91	2			7	0											No		350	*
114		50	19		-	9	In		89.6		89	4			6	1											No		520	*
113		50	20		-	8	In		87.5		89	5			5	0	0										No		640	*
112		49	20		-	9	In		82.6		85	6	0		6	2	0										No		902	*
111		48	20		-	10	99.8	%	74.6		81	9	0		7	2	1	0	0	0							No		1,172	*
110		48	21		-	9	99.9		66.1		78	11	0		8	2	1	0	0		0						No		1,548	*
109		48	22		-	8	99.8		57.1		71	15	1		10	3	1	0	0	0	0						No		2,072	*
108		47	22		-	9	99.8		45.3		64	17	1		11	3	2	0	0								No		2,614	*
107		47	23		-	8	99.5		33.9		57	21	2	0	13	4	2	1	0	0	0						No		3,190	*
106		46	23		-	9	99.5		24.3		50	25	3	0	14	5	2	1	0	0	0	0		0			No		3,990	*
105		45	23		-	10	98.9		15.2		41	28	5	0	14	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0				No		4,833	*
104		45	24		-	9	98.2		8.0		34	29	7	1	14	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0				No		5,727	*
103		44	24		-	10	97.6		3.5		25	31	10	1	15	8	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0			No		7,015	*
102		44	25		-	9	96.4		1.3		19	30	13	2	15	9	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		7,754	*
101		43	25		-	10	94.9		0.4		13	27	17	3	14	10	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		8,840	*
100		43	26		-	9	93.0		0.1		9	24	19	4	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0			No		9,971	*
99		42	26		-	10	91.4		0.0		6	20	19	6	14	12	8	6	4	3	1	1	0	0			No		11,023	*
98		42	27		-	9	87.9		No		3	15	20	8	13	12	9	7	5	3	2	1	1	0			No		12,181	*
97		41	27		-	10	85.7		No		2	12	20	10	11	12	10	8	5	4	3	1	1	0			No		12,985	*
96		41	28		-	9	80.9		No		1	8	18	12	11	12	10	9	7	5	4	2	1	0			No		13,532	*
95		40	28		-	10	76.9		No		1	5	16	14	10	11	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	0			No		14,115	*
94		40	29		-	9	71.7		No		0	3	13	15	9	11	12	10	9	7	5	4	2	1			No		14,555	*
93		39	29		-	10	66.6		No		0	2	10	15	7	10	11	11	11	8	6	4	3	1			No		14,786	*
92		39	30		-	9	61.5		No		0	1	7	15	6	9	11	12	11	9	8	6	3	2			No		14,616	*
91		38	30		-	10	55.1		No		0	1	5	14	5	8	10	12	12	10	9	7	5	2			No		14,202	*
90		38	31		-	9	48.0		No		0	0	3	13	4	7	9	11	12	12	11	9	6	3			No		13,988	*
89		37	31		-	10	43.4		No			0	2	12	3	6	9	11	11	13	11	10	7	4			No		13,018	*
88		37	32		-	9	36.9		No			0	1	11	2	5	8	9	12	12	13	12	9	5			No		12,244	*
87		36	32		-	10	31.2		No			0	1	9	2	4	7	9	11	13	14	13	11	7			No		11,561	*
86		36	33		-	9	26.1		No				0	7	1	3	6	8	10	13	14	15	13	9			No		10,357	*
85		35	33		-	10	21.9		No				0	6	1	3	5	7	9	12	15	16	16	11			0.0	%	9,224	*
84		35	34		-	9	17.8		No				0	5	1	2	4	6	9	12	14	17	17	13			0.2		8,155	*
83		34	34		-	10	14.8		No				0	4	1	2	3	5	7	11	14	17	20	16			0.8		7,046	*
82		34	35		-	9	11.0		No				0	3	0	1	3	4	7	10	13	18	22	19			2.2		6,272	*
81		33	35		-	10	8.3		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	9	13	17	24	23			4.8		5,061	*
80		33	36		-	9	7.2		No					1	0	1	2	3	5	6	12	17	23	29			10.1		4,381	*
79		32	36		-	10	5.0		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	6	11	17	24	33			16.7		3,574	*
78		32	37		-	9	3.2		No					1	0	0	1	1	3	6	10	15	26	37			27.4		3,058	*
77		31	37		-	10	2.4		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	4	9	14	26	42			37.2		2,422	*
76		31	38		-	9	2.2		No					1	0	0	0	1	1	3	7	13	26	47			49.1		1,856	*
75		30	38		-	10	1.1		No					0			0	1	1	2	5	12	24	54			57.8		1,396	*
74		30	39		-	9	0.5		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	5	11	23	58			66.5		1,094	*
73		29	39		-	10	0.8		No					0			0	0	1	2	4	8	21	64			78.5		794	*
72		29	40		-	9	0.5		No					0			0		1	2	3	8	21	64			80.8		598	*
71		28	40		-	10	0.2		No									0	0	1	2	6	17	73			84.1		441	*
70		28	41		-	9	Out		No										0	0	1	6	20	72			89.7		312	*
69		27	41		-	10	Out		No										0		0	5	16	78			93.6		236	*
68		27	42		-	9	Out		No											1	1	5	18	74			95.7		141	*
67		26	42		-	10	Out		No												4		13	83			98.3		118	*
66		26	43		-	9	Out		No												1	4	8	87			94.9		79	*
65		25	43		-	10	Out		No														9	91			Yes		54	*
64		24	43		-	11	Out		No														3	98			Yes		40	*
63		24	44		-	10	Out		No													6		94			Yes		16	*
61	-62						Out		No															100			Yes		26	*
60		21	44		-	13	Out		No														15	85			Yes		13	*
5	-59						Out		No															100			Yes		33	*

Total:							59.9	%	3.6	%	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6			2.7	%	301,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9	-0.9

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

120	-161						100
119		52	16		-	10	97	3
118		52	17		-	9	96	4
117		52	18		-	8	97	3
116		51	18		-	9	95	5
115		51	19		-	8	94	6
114		50	19		-	9	90	10	0
113		50	20		-	8	88	12	1
112		49	20		-	9	83	16	2	0
111		48	20		-	10	75	23	2	0
110		48	21		-	9	66	29	4	0
109		48	22		-	8	57	33	9	1	0
108		47	22		-	9	45	40	13	2	0
107		47	23		-	8	34	40	19	5	1	0
106		46	23		-	9	24	39	26	8	2	0	0	0
105		45	23		-	10	15	32	31	16	5	1	0	0
104		45	24		-	9	8	25	32	23	10	2	1	0
103		44	24		-	10	4	16	28	28	17	7	2	0	0
102		44	25		-	9	1	8	20	27	23	13	5	1	0	0
101		43	25		-	10	0	3	11	22	26	21	11	5	1	0
100		43	26		-	9	0	1	4	13	22	25	20	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
99		42	26		-	10	0	0	1	5	13	22	23	19	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
98		42	27		-	9		0	0	1	6	13	20	23	18	11	5	2	0	0
97		41	27		-	10			0	0	1	5	11	19	22	20	12	6	2	1	0	0
96		41	28		-	9				0	0	1	4	9	18	22	21	14	8	3	1	0
95		40	28		-	10					0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
94		40	29		-	9						0	0	0	2	5	12	19	21	20	12	6	2	1	0	0
93		39	29		-	10								0	0	1	4	9	16	21	21	15	9	3	1	0	0	0
92		39	30		-	9								0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
91		38	30		-	10										0	0	0	2	4	10	18	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0
90		38	31		-	9											0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0
89		37	31		-	10													0	0	1	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0
88		37	32		-	9													0		0	0	1	4	9	17	23	20	15	7	2	1	0	0
87		36	32		-	10																0	0	1	3	8	16	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0
86		36	33		-	9																0	0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0
85		35	33		-	10																		0	0	1	3	7	14	23	23	18	9	3	0	0
84		35	34		-	9																				0	1	3	8	15	24	23	17	7	2	0
83		34	34		-	10																				0	0	0	3	9	17	26	25	15	5	1
82		34	35		-	9																					0	0	1	3	10	21	28	22	11	2
81		33	35		-	10																						0	0	1	5	13	27	30	19	5
80		33	36		-	9																							0	0	2	8	19	33	28	10
79		32	36		-	10																								0	0	4	14	30	36	17
78		32	37		-	9																									0	1	8	23	40	27
77		31	37		-	10																										1	5	17	40	37
76		31	38		-	9																										0	2	12	37	49
75		30	38		-	10																										0	1	7	34	58
74		30	39		-	9																											0	4	29	66
73		29	39		-	10																											0	2	19	78
72		29	40		-	9																												2	18	81
71		28	40		-	10																												1	15	84
70		28	41		-	9																												0	10	90
69		27	41		-	10																													6	94
68		27	42		-	9																													4	96
67		26	42		-	10																													2	98
66		26	43		-	9																													5	95
5	-65																																			100

Total:							4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3