B Event Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed										Relegated
	P	G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Douglas	10		5	-	1	-	0	27	In		+23.3	100								1.0	+0.74	No			2	Douglas
McEwen	8		4	-	2	-	0	2	52.7	%	+0.3		53	17	23	7				2.8	-0.28	No			6	McEwen

Sacret	7		3	-	2	-	1	13	22.6		+11.4		23	25	23	25	4			3.6	+1.09	No		-11.7	4	Sacret
Crance	6		3	-	3	-	0	-10	15.7		+2.1		16	20	9	18	26	12		4.5	+0.88	14.2	%	-28.4	5	Crance
Whitaker	6		3	-	3	-	0	-2	9.0		-19.1		9	24	15	14	26	12		4.6	-1.14	11.8		+9.6	7	Whitaker
Reichelt	6		3	-	3	-	0	2	Out		-17.9			14	26	12	25	23		5.2	-1.12	22.7		+14.6	1	Reichelt
Peloquin	5		2	-	3	-	1	-10	Out						5	23	18	54		6.2	-0.16	51.2		+15.9	3	Peloquin
Verberne	0		0	-	6	-	0	-22	Out										100	8.0		Yes			8	Verberne

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 1/17
Douglas 9 Peloquin 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Douglas	+21.3		No		+0.9
McEwen	+0.5		-2.5
Sacret	-2.2		-2.6
Crance	-1.5		-0.9
Whitaker	-0.2		-2.2
Reichelt	-2.1		-4.2
Peloquin	-15.8		+20.1		-1.2
Verberne			-2.4

McEwen 9 Verberne 7
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Douglas	-4.1		+1.9
McEwen	+17.5		No		+1.0
Sacret	-2.9		-2.7		-0.1
Crance	+1.5		+2.5
Whitaker	-4.1		-0.5
Reichelt	-4.9				-0.2
Peloquin	-3.0		-1.0
Verberne			Yes		-0.2

Whitaker 10 Crance 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Douglas	+0.8		-1.6
McEwen	-1.5		+2.9
Sacret					-0.0
Crance	-13.2		+18.6		-1.1
Whitaker	+14.8		-18.8		+1.1
Reichelt	-0.8
Peloquin			-1.1
Verberne			-0.4

Week of 1/24
Douglas 9 Whitaker 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Douglas	In				+0.7
McEwen	+8.5
Sacret	-3.4		-0.5		+0.1
Crance	+0.4		-0.4
Whitaker	-25.0		+2.5		-0.9
Reichelt	-3.8
Peloquin			-1.6

Crance 6 Reichelt 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
McEwen	-5.1				-0.2
Sacret	+6.2
Crance	+10.1		-32.7		+1.2
Whitaker	+3.0		+5.7
Reichelt	Out		+12.2		-0.9
Peloquin			+14.8

Verberne 2 Sacret 7
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
McEwen	-3.0
Sacret	+8.6		No		+0.9
Crance	-4.3		+4.2		-0.2
Whitaker	-1.3		+1.4		-0.3
Reichelt			+2.9		-0.2
Peloquin			+2.7		-0.2

Week of 1/31
McEwen vs CranceIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
McEwen	InIn0.5				2.02.03.8
Sacret	OutOut47.5
Crance	OutOut33.1		29.62.3No		6.05.53.0
Whitaker	OutOut18.9		No22.522.6		4.54.94.7
Reichelt			22.9*22.722.6		4.95.05.4
Peloquin			47.552.554.9		6.06.06.5

Douglas vs SacretHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
McEwen	52.952.952.5				2.62.63.1
Sacret	OutOut47.5				4.74.42.5
Crance	29.929.9Out				4.34.34.8
Whitaker	17.117.1Out				4.44.44.9
Reichelt					4.95.05.4
Peloquin					6.16.36.3

Whitaker vs ReicheltHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
McEwen	53.052.452.5				3.02.72.7
Sacret					3.63.53.6
Crance	5.525.024.9		2.027.224.9
Whitaker	18.9OutOut		NoNo24.9		3.15.46.0
Reichelt			47.9NoNo		6.54.14.0
Peloquin			50.172.850.1		6.26.76.2

Verberne vs PeloquinHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Sacret					3.53.53.7
Crance			No44.425.2		4.34.34.8
Whitaker			NoNo24.9		4.44.44.9
Reichelt			No3.247.5		4.94.95.4
Peloquin			Yes52.52.4		7.07.05.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.