A Event Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed										Relegated
	P	G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Vollrath	11	1	5	-	0	-	1	25	95.8	%	+22.1	57	39	4						1.5	+0.48	No			1	Vollrath
Douglas	8	2	4	-	1	-	0	9	51.7		-4.9	24	27	43	5					2.3	-0.02	No			5	Douglas

Mantha	7	3	3	-	0	-	1	12	49.8		-1.2	18	32	29	14	7				2.6	-0.03	No			2	Mantha
McEwen	5	2	2	-	2	-	1	0	2.6		-15.9		3	19	39	27	12	0		4.3	-0.64	0.2	%	+0.1	4	McEwen
Lynch	4	2	1	-	2	-	2	-7	Out					3	21	35	28	13		5.3	+0.11	12.9		+0.0	6	Lynch
Gravel	2	3	1	-	3	-	0	-11	Out					2	20	24	22	32		5.6	+0.09	31.8		-0.1	3	Gravel
Coffey	3	1	1	-	4	-	1	-7	Out						0	7	37	55		6.5		55.1		-0.0	7	Coffey
Benard	2		1	-	6	-	0	-21	Out										100	8.0		Yes			8	Benard

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 4/3
Vollrath 6 McEwen 3
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vollrath	+23.1				+0.5
Douglas	-4.9				-0.0
Mantha	-2.2				-0.1
McEwen	-16.0		+0.1		-0.6
Lynch					+0.1
Gravel			-0.2		+0.1

Gravel 3 Vollrath 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vollrath	+16.7				+0.5
Douglas	-4.0				-0.1
Mantha	-4.9		-0.4		-0.1
McEwen	-2.5		-2.5		+0.0
Lynch	Out		-1.4		+0.1
Gravel	Out		+10.7		-0.6
Coffey	Out		-6.4		+0.1

Mantha 8 Benard 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vollrath	-5.5				-0.1
Douglas	-5.9				-0.1
Mantha	+15.2		-0.9		+0.6
McEwen	-2.2		+0.6		-0.1
Lynch	-0.2		-2.8		+0.0
Gravel	-1.4
Coffey					+0.1
Benard			Yes		-0.3

Coffey 3 McEwen 6
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vollrath	-3.5				-0.1
Douglas	-1.9				-0.1
Mantha	-2.4		No		-0.1
McEwen	+8.5		-15.0		+0.9
Lynch	-0.2		-4.3		+0.0
Gravel	-0.4		-2.4		-0.0
Coffey	Out		+24.9		-0.8
Benard			-2.1		+0.1

Week of 4/10
Mantha vs DouglasIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vollrath	In89.392.4				1.41.61.6
Douglas	13.062.889.3				3.02.01.6
Mantha	81.548.018.4				1.92.73.3
McEwen	5.5OutOut				4.34.44.2
Lynch					5.35.25.2

McEwen vs ManthaHomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vollrath	InIn91.2				1.31.41.6
Douglas	63.261.839.2				2.22.12.4
Mantha	31.338.269.6				3.22.72.0
McEwen	5.5OutOut		NoNo0.4		3.74.64.9
Lynch			12.8*12.813.0		5.45.25.1
Gravel			32.132.031.5		5.75.55.5

Mantha vs LynchHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vollrath	91.2InIn				1.61.41.3
Douglas	39.261.863.2				2.42.22.2
Mantha	69.638.231.3				2.12.73.1
McEwen	OutOut5.5		No0.40.4		4.24.24.3
Lynch			25.911.8No		5.85.54.7
Gravel			25.436.737.8		5.55.75.7
Coffey			48.851.161.8		6.36.46.6

Vollrath vs DouglasHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vollrath	InIn91.2				1.11.11.9
Douglas	38.149.865.5				2.72.51.8
Mantha	56.845.843.3				2.62.72.6
McEwen	5.14.3Out				4.24.34.3

McEwen vs GravelHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Douglas					2.32.22.2
Mantha	46.952.452.5				2.72.52.5
McEwen	5.5OutOut		NoNo0.4		3.64.34.9
Lynch			11.8*13.013.9		5.35.15.2
Gravel			39.538.023.6		6.16.05.1
Coffey			48.749.062.1		6.46.46.6

Coffey vs GravelHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
McEwen			0.4NoNo		4.24.44.4
Lynch			24.722.6No
Gravel			64.127.3No		6.35.55.0
Coffey			10.750.1Yes		5.96.57.0

Lynch vs GravelHomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Mantha					2.72.52.6
McEwen			No3.9No		4.34.34.2
Lynch			No9.026.2		4.55.56.0
Gravel			50.237.013.0		6.35.75.0
Coffey			49.850.160.8		6.56.26.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.