"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Minnesota Swarm Playoff Chances Season1
Beat LumberJax 9-8, Plays Barrage, Plays Lizards, Plays LumberJax, playoff odds up 0.1 to 99.999%
9 points 3 0-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Sunday, 2/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lizards 4 Swarm 5 | +0.6 | +27.2 | -4.8 | +0.3 | ||||
| Monday, 2/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Barrage 13 Lizards 12 | -0.1 | +14.6 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Tuesday, 2/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LumberJax 8 Swarm 9 | +0.1 | +4.1 | -1.3 | +0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOTieAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Swarm vs Barrage | InInInIn*In*In-0.0 | +1.2+1.2+1.2-14.8-0.9-0.9-17.6 | NoNoNo+0.2-0.0-0.0+2.4 | +0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Swarm vs LumberJax | InInInIn*In*+0.0-0.0 | +1.2+1.2+1.2-14.8-0.9-1.0-17.7 | NoNoNo+0.2-0.0-0.0+2.4 | +0.0+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| LumberJax vs Lizards | -0.0-0.0-0.0In+0.0+0.0+0.0 | +1.2+1.8+1.8+2.2-0.2-0.2-0.2 | ||||||
| Lizards vs Barrage | +0.0*-0.0*+0.0In-0.0-0.0-0.0 | -0.2-0.2-0.2+2.1+1.8+1.8+1.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Swarm vs Lizards | InInInInInIn-0.0 | +2.3+2.3+2.3+2.1+1.8+1.8-4.1 | NoNoNo-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| LumberJax vs Barrage | +0.0*+0.0*-0.0In-0.0-0.0*-0.0 | +0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Swarm finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Relegated | Count | |||||||
| 13 | -18 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 58,725,303 | * | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 61.0 | % | 61 | 39 | No | 2,193,122 | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 57.4 | 57 | 43 | No | 887,948 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 360,151 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 445 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | In | 16.9 | 17 | 83 | No | 6,080 | |||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 12.3 | 12 | 88 | No | 3,858 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 15.1 | 15 | 82 | 3 | 2.7 | % | 34,567 | |||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 24.4 | 24 | 76 | No | 21,598 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 10.6 | 11 | 83 | 7 | 0 | 6.8 | 10,727 | |||||||
| 9 | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 13.8 | 14 | 86 | No | 60,732 | |||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.3 | 3.3 | 3 | 41 | 55 | 1 | 55.4 | 49,320 | ||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 5.7 | 6 | 67 | 28 | 27.7 | 48,911 | |||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 7,726 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 100.0 | % | 97.7 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 62,410,488 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:35 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
