STINK Playoff Chances 2021
Beat JACK 117.32-95.72, playoff odds up 11.8 to 62.5%
235.12 points 1-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting #1 playoff seed | 100.0* | Odds of getting last seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| JACK 95.72 STINK 117.32 | +11.0 | +2.8 | -5.7 | +0.7 | ||||
| ROB 146.76 ADAM 95.48 | +0.1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | |||||
| RICE 101.92 FRENCH 101.04 | +0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| DIRTS 106.6 FREDDY 151.1 | +0.2 | |||||||
| HENDZEL 85.22 CHEESE 163.3 | -0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting #1 playoff seed | 100.0* | Odds of getting last seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| CHEESE vs STINK | -9.6-7.1+10.7 | -3.9-2.7+4.4 | +3.1+2.4-3.4 | -0.7-0.5+0.8 | ||||
| ADAM vs JACK | *-0.0+2.3-0.1 | +0.1-1.1*-0.0 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||||
| FREDDY vs HENDZEL | *-0.0+2.2-0.0 | +0.0+0.4-0.0 | -0.0-0.5+0.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
| FRENCH vs ROB | -0.5+1.7+0.4 | +0.4+1.0-0.4 | +0.2-0.4-0.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||
| DIRTS vs RICE | -0.5+1.6+0.4 | +0.7+0.8-0.7 | +0.6-0.5-0.5 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the STINK finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Odds of getting #1 playoff seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Odds of getting last seed | Count | |||||
| 0 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 87.4 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 4,655,978 | ||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99.9 | 1.4 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,030,907 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 24.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0.7 | 3,946,776 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 21.5 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,547,150 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 16.7 | 2,438,959 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 62.8 | 63 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,145,238 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 58 | 58.4 | 1,071,682 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 92.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 915,055 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 33.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0.3 | 903,768 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 2.4 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 660,401 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 38 | 12 | 12.3 | 637,746 | ||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 90.0 | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 346,713 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 27.4 | 27 | 47 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 332,756 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 88.8 | 318,832 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 52 | 52.0 | 315,771 | |||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 69.0 | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | No | 112,538 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 85.7 | 103,631 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 43.1 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 | 88,426 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 95.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 74,635 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 2.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 8.6 | 73,374 | |||||||||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98.5 | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 63,337 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 98.4 | 57,340 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 4.0 | 4 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 43,043 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 46 | 45.6 | 41,198 | |||||||||||
| 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 92.6 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 22,636 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 97.7 | 20,602 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 34.2 | 34 | 46 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 16,284 | * | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 17 | 82 | 82.3 | 15,323 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100.0 | 100 | 0 | No | 11,484 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | 11,105 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 54.2 | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 4,954 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 4.3 | No | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 29 | 6 | 6.2 | 4,562 | ||||||||||
| 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 73.4 | 73 | 25 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,780 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 96.8 | 3,429 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 97.8 | No | 2 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 3,205 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 14 | 45 | 40 | 40.0 | 3,126 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 99.1 | 99 | 1 | No | 2,022 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 99.6 | 1,937 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 6.6 | 7 | 31 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,403 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 77.3 | 1,282 | * | |||||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 41.0 | 41 | 45 | 13 | 1 | No | 376 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 92.9 | 93 | 7 | 1 | No | 397 | * | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 98.9 | 350 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 8 | - | 3 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 94 | 94.2 | 381 | * | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 5.3 | No | 0 | 5 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 3 | 2.7 | 225 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 65.4 | No | 1 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 1 | No | 159 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.7 | No | 1 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 36 | 35.8 | 151 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 98.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 34 | 5 | 1 | No | 79 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 4 | 29 | 67 | 67.1 | 73 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 2.4 | No | 2 | 98 | 97.6 | 41 | * | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 62.5 | % | 7.7 | % | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 7.2 | % | 25,054,620 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:35 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
