DIRTS Playoff Chances 2021 50/50
Lost to FREDDY 106.6-151.1, playoff odds down 9.8 to 40.9%
204.06 points 0-2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting #1 playoff seed | 100.0* | Odds of getting last seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DIRTS 106.6 FREDDY 151.1 | -10.7 | -2.9 | +5.8 | -0.7 | ||||
| ROB 146.76 ADAM 95.48 | +0.1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | |||||
| JACK 95.72 STINK 117.32 | *-0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| HENDZEL 85.22 CHEESE 163.3 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting #1 playoff seed | 100.0* | Odds of getting last seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DIRTS vs RICE | +10.8-7.9-10.6 | +2.0-1.5-2.0 | -6.7+5.0+6.5 | +0.7-0.5-0.7 | ||||
| FREDDY vs HENDZEL | *+0.0+2.1-0.1 | -0.0+0.3*+0.0 | +0.1-1.0-0.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
| CHEESE vs STINK | +0.3+1.7-0.4 | -0.2+0.5+0.2 | -0.3-0.8+0.3 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
| FRENCH vs ROB | -0.4+1.6+0.3 | +0.2+0.4-0.2 | +0.4-0.7-0.4 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||
| ADAM vs JACK | +0.1-2.0*-0.0 | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the DIRTS finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Odds of getting #1 playoff seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Odds of getting last seed | Count | |||||
| 0 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 24.8 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0.7 | % | 1,670,550 | |||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 89.6 | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,432,499 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 44 | 18 | 18.1 | 1,431,924 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 61 | 61.0 | 895,841 | |||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 2.8 | 3 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 895,529 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 31.7 | 32 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 399,533 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 89.7 | 399,222 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 34.3 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0.4 | 325,528 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 1.1 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 40 | 13 | 13.4 | 324,642 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 233,060 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 55 | 55.2 | 232,135 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 98.4 | 119,528 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 74.5 | 75 | 24 | 2 | 0 | No | 119,170 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 4.7 | 5 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 116,520 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 87.1 | 116,515 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 97.9 | 39,173 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 39.1 | 39 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 38,916 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 1.8 | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 9.6 | 31,714 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 45.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 26,597 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 50 | 49.7 | 26,268 | |||||||||||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 94.6 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 21,931 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 99.9 | 21,696 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 15 | 85 | 85.0 | 15,066 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 96.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | No | 15,048 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | 7,867 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 80.5 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 7,625 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 7.2 | 7 | 32 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | No | 5,686 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 96.9 | 5,645 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99.7 | 100 | 0 | No | 4,051 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 4,044 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 45 | 44.9 | 1,661 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 3.2 | No | 0 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 6 | 5.9 | 1,647 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 99.6 | 1,310 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 47.9 | 48 | 42 | 9 | 1 | No | 1,253 | * | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 55.6 | No | 0 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,146 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 20 | 79 | 79.4 | 1,122 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 723 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 96.8 | 97 | 3 | No | 666 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 95.1 | 490 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 98.5 | No | 3 | 18 | 41 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 476 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 125 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.2 | 81.5 | 81 | 18 | 1 | No | 124 | * | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 13.1 | 13 | 36 | 34 | 16 | 2 | No | 107 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 99.0 | 100 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | No | 3 | 15 | 45 | 37 | 37.0 | 73 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | No | 27 | 73 | 72.5 | 51 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 4.2 | No | 4 | 35 | 25 | 27 | 8 | 8.3 | 48 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 6 | 94 | 93.5 | 31 | * | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 65.4 | No | 4 | 19 | 42 | 23 | 12 | No | 26 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 9 | - | 3 | 7.9 | No | 3 | 5 | 92 | 92.1 | 38 | * | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 40.9 | % | 3.3 | % | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 18.7 | % | 8,994,740 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:35 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
